NEOM SC vs Al-Fayha preview

Saudi Arabia flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia
King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Pro League
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
|
Goal
Hugo Moura - 75'
|

CONTEXT

NEOM SC hosted Al-Fayha in a match that concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side. The halftime score stood at 2-0 in favor of NEOM SC after they capitalized on early opportunities. Despite a red card to the home team in the second half, NEOM SC maintained their lead against Al-Fayha who pushed for an equalizer. Possession favored NEOM SC at 60 percent to 40 percent. The expected goals stood at 1.65 for the home team and 1.51 for the visitors reflecting a close contest in underlying metrics. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment delivered the win in line with the data points available.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: NEOM SC 2-1 Al-Fayha. NEOM SC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall output.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the xG differential of 0.14.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market projections for the winner.
  • xG expectations: NEOM SC posted 1.65 xG while Al-Fayha recorded 1.51 xG.
  • Event impact: The red card to NEOM SC altered second half dynamics without changing the result.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected the second half adjustments for the home side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Ettifaq Rank: 53 D
Al Hilal Rank: 77 L
Al Shabab Rank: 47 W
Al Fateh Rank: 45 D
Al Hazm Rank: 43 D
Al Najma Rank: 33 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Al Hilal Rank: 77 L
Damac FC Rank: 41 L
Al-Qadsiah Rank: 67 L
Al Riyadh Rank: 39 W
Al Kholood Rank: 42 D
Al Hazm Rank: 43 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.68
43.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NEOM SC
Al-Fayha
Power Score
48.68
43.64
League Position
4
13
Global Rank
904
1015

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
NEOM SC Opponent-weighted form score
Al-Fayha Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NEOM SC Al-Fayha

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

NEOM SC

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Al-Fayha

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NEOM SC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Al-Fayha
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.92
41.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.50
29.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NEOM SC -1.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Al-Fayha +1.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NEOM SC
Al-Fayha
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NEOM SC
vs
Al-Fayha
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NEOM SC Al-Fayha
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
15%
20%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.25 vs -0.30
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NEOM SC Al-Fayha
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
20%
15%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.30 vs -0.25
NEOM SC
Al-Fayha
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

NEOM SC
vs
Al-Fayha
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NEOM SC Al-Fayha
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NEOM SC Al-Fayha
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
NEOM SC
Al-Fayha
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEO had peak pressure around 8'.
  • NEO started the game with stronger pressure.
NEO Pressure FAY Pressure
Pressure Index: NEO reached the top pressure at 8' (70.60).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NEOM SC NEO Home
2 matches
Al-Fayha FAY Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-15T00:00:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Saudi Arabia · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Capacity
1200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
NEO
56%
FAY
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 6
59 Dangerous attacks 72
60 Possession 40
3 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 71
5 Goal Kicks 6
8 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 3
14 Throwins 9
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 1
7 Dribble Attempts 15
2 Successful Dribbles 5
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

81 Attacks 77
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

32 Long Passes 42
531 Passes 357
477 Successful Passes 315
90 Successful Passes Percentage 88
11 Key Passes 10
18 Successful Long Passes 25
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

4 Saves 2
15 Tackles 9
7 Interceptions 6
38 Duels Won 29

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 12
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 11

Lineup

Starting XI

1
Marcin Bulka
Marcin Bulka Goalkeeper
6.96
2
Mohammed Al-Burayk
6.9
4
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
6.71
5
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
6.66
27
Islam Hawsawi
Islam Hawsawi Defender
6.73
44
Nathan Zézé
Nathan Zézé Defender
6.78
7
Georgios Masouras
Georgios Masouras Midfielder
6.79
70
Haroune Camara
Haroune Camara
Attacker87'
15
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari
7.39
18
Alaa Hejji
Alaa Hejji Midfielder
6.39
72
Amadou Koné
Amadou Koné Midfielder
7.37
8
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
Midfielder87'
10
Saïd Benrahma
Saïd Benrahma Attacker
8.37
77
Muhanad Al-Saad
Muhanad Al-Saad
Attacker60'
6.45
91
Alexandre Lacazette
7.72
19
Mohannad Abu Taha
6.5

Starting XI

52
Orlando Mosquera
Orlando Mosquera Goalkeeper
6.13
2
Makhir Al-Rashidi
7.01
15
Paulo Oliveira
Paulo Oliveira Defender
6.43
22
Mohammed Al-Baqawi
5.98
24
Ahmed Bamsaud
Ahmed Bamsaud Defender
6.7
77
Rayan Enad
Rayan Enad
Attacker67'
6.74
5
Hugo Moura
Hugo Moura Midfielder
7.6
10
Fashion Sakala
Fashion Sakala Midfielder
6.62
20
Abdullah Al-Qahtani
Abdullah Al-Qahtani Midfielder
6.79
17
Lázaro
Lázaro
Attacker67'
6.49
30
Alfa Semedo
Alfa Semedo Midfielder
6.68
23
Jason
Jason Attacker
6.76
7
Nawaf Al-Harthi
Nawaf Al-Harthi
Midfielder33'
7.7
35
Silvere Ganvoula
Silvere Ganvoula Attacker
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Haroune Camara Georgios Masouras
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Faisal Al-Ghamdi Amadou Koné
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Khalifah Al-Dawsari Mohammed Al-Burayk
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Mohannad Abu Taha Alexandre Lacazette
6th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
75'
Event
Header / 3rd Goal
67'
Event
Rayan Enad Ahmed Bamsaud
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Lázaro Abdullah Al-Qahtani
4th Substitution
Event
Foul / 1st Redcard
62'
Event
Muhanad Al-Saad Saïd Benrahma
2nd Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
36'
33'
Event
Nawaf Al-Harthi Jason
1st Substitution
Event
Header / 1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy attempts a header but misses the shot.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Haroune Camara replaces Georgios Masouras.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Fashion Sakala takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
84
Update Update
Khalifah Al-Dawsari comes on for Mohammed Al-Burayk.
81
Update Update
Mohannad Abu Taha comes on for Alexandre Lacazette.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Hugo Moura Arruda da Silva takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hugo Moura Arruda da Silva scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Nawaf Al-Harthi.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Offside.
73
Attempt Attempt
Fashion Sakala takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy attempts a header but misses the shot.
70
Update Update
Lazaro Vinicius Marques is on, and Abdullah Al Qahtani is off.
67
Update Update
On Rayan Enad, off Ahmed Bamsaud.
67
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Ala Al-Hajji.
62
Attempt Attempt
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Muhannad Al Saad comes on for Mohamed Said Benrahma.
60
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Ala Al-Hajji.
57
Attempt Attempt
Abdullah Al Qahtani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Said Benrahma with his left foot is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Georgios Masouras takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Georgios Masouras takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Attempt Attempt
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy attempts a header but misses the shot.
45
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 2-0.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Mohamed Said Benrahma takes a left-footed shot.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Said Benrahma scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Alexandre Lacazette.
36
Update Update
On Nawaf Al-Harthi, off David Remeseiro Salgueiro.
33
Attempt Attempt
Mokher Al-Rashidi attempts a header but misses the shot.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Amadou Koné Head Shot Goal
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amadou Koné scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Mohamed Said Benrahma.
24
Attempt Attempt
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Said Benrahma with his right foot, but it misses the target.
20
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Moura Arruda da Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Attempt Attempt
Alexandre Lacazette takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Alexandre Lacazette takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Islam Hawsawi takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Koné takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Said Benrahma with his right foot is blocked.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
David Remeseiro Salgueiro takes a shot, but Jason saves it with his right foot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

NEOM SC secured a narrow 2-1 win over Al-Fayha despite the late red card that forced adjustments in the second period. The home side built a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and defended it effectively even after going down to ten men. Underlying numbers showed close expected goals values that supported the narrow margin of victory. Possession dominance at 60 percent helped NEOM SC control key phases and limit clear chances for the visitors. Al-Fayha created opportunities but could not convert enough to force a draw or turnaround. The match highlighted resilience from the winners who stayed organized under pressure. Overall the data points confirmed a deserved outcome for the stronger side in this encounter.