NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C. preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Goffertstadion Tue, 11 Aug - 5:30 PM
Champions League
NEC NijmegenNEC
2 1
Olympiacos F.C.OLY
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 11 Aug 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 1
Emre Mor - 95'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Red Card Konstantinos Fortounis 80'

CONTEXT

NEC Nijmegen hosted Olympiacos F.C. in the second leg of their knockout tie with the aggregate entering the match at 0-0 following a first-leg draw. The home side secured a 2-1 victory after a goalless first half. NEC controlled 54 percent possession and generated 2.06 expected goals compared to 0.94 for the visitors. Olympiacos received a red card during the second half which altered the match structure. The outcome aligned with the expected goals differential of 1.12 and the pre-match market positioning. NEC Nijmegen emerged as the winner despite Olympiacos being the stronger rated side entering the fixture. The result advanced NEC on aggregate.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiacos F.C.. NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with underlying performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the 2.06 to 0.94 expected goals split.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: NEC Nijmegen posted 2.06 expected goals while Olympiacos recorded 0.94.
  • Event impact: The second-half red card to Olympiacos shaped the match progression.
  • Red card distortion: The away side's red card introduced measurable distortion to second-half dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Mariani
M. Mariani
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Bindoni
D. Bindoni
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Tegoni
A. Tegoni
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Zufferli
L. Zufferli
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
VS
Olympiacos F.C. J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
J. Mendilibar Etxebarria
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 77 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NEC Nijmegen
41.39%
Draw
27.47%
Away Olympiacos F.C.
31.14%

Movement

Changes since opening
NEC Nijmegen
-54.25%
Draw
+23.75%
Olympiacos F.C.
+30.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.43
83.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos F.C.
Power Score
76.43
83.17
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
144
52

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Olympiacos F.C. — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NEC Nijmegen Olympiacos F.C.

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Olympiacos F.C.

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NEC Nijmegen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Olympiacos F.C.
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.57
28.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.70
36.57
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NEC Nijmegen +0.67 Efficiency Index
vs
Olympiacos F.C. -0.67 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos F.C.
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NEC Nijmegen
vs
Olympiacos F.C.
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NEC Nijmegen Olympiacos F.C.
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
51%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.48
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NEC Nijmegen Olympiacos F.C.
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
51%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.48 vs +0.00
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos F.C.
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
NEC Nijmegen
vs
Olympiacos F.C.
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NEC Nijmegen Olympiacos F.C.
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
NEC Nijmegen 0.21
Olympiacos F.C. 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NEC Nijmegen Olympiacos F.C.
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
NEC Nijmegen 0.02
Olympiacos F.C. 0.03
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos F.C.
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEC had peak pressure around 74'.
  • NEC started the game with stronger pressure.
NEC Pressure OLY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NEC reached the top pressure at 74' (90.39).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NEC Nijmegen NEC Home
1 matches
Olympiacos F.C. OLY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.28
xG
0.60
0.60
xGA
1.28

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:01:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 1
Stadium
Goffertstadion
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Maurizio Mariani
Daniele Bindoni
Alberto Tegoni
Luca Zufferli

Statistics

Possession
NEC
53%
OLY
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 6
75 Dangerous attacks 64
54 Possession 46
3 Corners 4
19 Free kicks 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 11
6 Substitutions 6
31 Throwins 32
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 0
23 Dribble Attempts 8
13 Successful Dribbles 4
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

144 Attacks 140
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

80 Long Passes 125
602 Passes 509
456 Successful Passes 353
76 Successful Passes Percentage 69
14 Key Passes 7
27 Successful Long Passes 50
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

1 Saves 5
17 Tackles 29
9 Interceptions 20
70 Duels Won 67

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 25
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

4 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.57
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Defender
6.79
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira
Defender34'
6.87
21
Tobias Storm
Tobias Storm Defender
6.77
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
7
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
6.94
10
Dusan Tadic
Dusan Tadic Midfielder
7.85
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
6.97
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck
Defender106'
6.62
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Midfielder
6.22
7
Emre Mor
Emre Mor
Attacker30'
8.16
99
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Midfielder
6.96
14
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis
Attacker88'
6.73
9
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery (C) Attacker
7.26
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
7.43
35
Jamiro Monteiro
Jamiro Monteiro
Midfielder106'
6.45
Referee : Maurizio Mariani

Starting XI ▼

31
Balsa Popovic
Balsa Popovic Goalkeeper
7.17
5
Lorenzo Pirola
Lorenzo Pirola Defender
6.4
23
Rodinei
Rodinei Defender
6.76
45
Panagiotis Retsos
Panagiotis Retsos (C) Defender
6.55
4
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović
Defender103'
6.48
70
Bruno Onyemaechi
Bruno Onyemaechi Defender
6.57
8
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Midfielder
6.49
96
Christos Mouzakitis
Christos Mouzakitis
Midfielder61'
6.54
10
Gelson Martins
Gelson Martins Midfielder
6.84
73
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
Midfielder72'
6.76
14
Dani García
Dani García Midfielder
6.41
16
Lorenzo Scipioni
Lorenzo Scipioni
Midfielder72'
7.01
20
Jota Silva
Jota Silva Midfielder
6.61
7
Konstantinos Fortounis
Konstantinos Fortounis
Midfielder15'
5.68
32
Santiago Hezze
Santiago Hezze Midfielder
6.86
9
Ayoub El Kaabi
Ayoub El Kaabi Attacker
7.73

Events

2ND-HALF
111'
Event
Bruno Onyemaechi
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Kevin Kers → Emre Mor
10th Substitution
106'
Event
Jamiro Monteiro → Bryan Linssen
11th Substitution
106'
Event
Bram Nuytinck  → Noé Lebreton
12th Substitution
106'
103'
Event
Chiquinho → Christos Mouzakitis
8th Substitution
103'
Event
Zinedin Smajlović → Panagiotis Retsos
9th Substitution
Event
Emre Mor
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
95'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis
5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis
Goal disallowed
90+4'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis → Clement Bischoff
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Brayann Pereira
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
80'
Event
Konstantinos Fortounis
Foul / 1st Redcard
79'
Event
Konstantinos Fortounis
Card adjusted
72'
Event
Joel Roca → Gelson Martins
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Lorenzo Scipioni → Dani García
6th Substitution
Event
Bryan Linssen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
70'
61'
Event
Christos Mouzakitis → Gustavo Sá
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Gustavo Sá
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Rodinei
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Ayoub El Kaabi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Brayann Pereira → Philippe Sandler
3rd Substitution
34'
Event
Emre Mor → Sami Ouaissa
2nd Substitution
30'
15'
Event
Konstantinos Fortounis → Jota Silva
1st Substitution
12'
Event
Dani García
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

117
Attempt Attempt
Chiquinho takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
117
Update Update
Offside.
112
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Sopuruchukwu Bruno Onyemaechi.
109
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sopuruchukwu Bruno Onyemaechi.
107
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot but misses.
106
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jamiro Monteiro comes on for Bryan Linssen.
106
Update Update
Bram Nuytinck is on, and Noe Lebreton is off.
106
Substitution Substitution
Kevin Kers is substituted off for Emre Mor.
105
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo Scipioni's right-footed shot is blocked.
105
Attempt Attempt
Kaj Sierhuis takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
103
Substitution Substitution
Chiquinho is substituted for Christos Mouzakitis.
103
Update Update
Zinedin Smajlovic is on, and Panagiotis Retsos is off.
98
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lorenzo Scipioni Head Shot Missed
98
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo Scipioni attempts a header but misses the shot.
98
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
95
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Emre Mor scores with a left-footed shot.
95
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
95
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emre Mor scores, making it 2-1.
94
Attempt Attempt
Joel Roca Casals takes a right-footed shot but misses.
93
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emre Mor scores, making it 2-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Kaj Sierhuis results in a goal with a header.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kaj Sierhuis Head Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kaj Sierhuis scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Emre Mor.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kaj Sierhuis scores, making it 2-1.
88
Update Update
Kaj Sierhuis is on, and Clement Bischoff is off.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brayann Pereira receives a yellow card.
84
Attempt Attempt
Noe Lebreton's right-footed shot is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Clement Bischoff takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Linssen takes a header shot but misses.
79
Update Update
VAR decision results in a change of card for Konstantinos Fortounis.
77
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Konstantinos Fortounis.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Konstantinos Fortounis.
72
Update Update
Lorenzo Scipioni comes on for Daniel García Carrillo.
72
Update Update
Joel Roca Casals is on, and Gelson Martins is off.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Bryan Linssen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
70
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bryan Linssen scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Tjaronn Chery.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Christos Mouzakitis is on, and Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa is off.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa.
57
Attempt Attempt
Ayoub El Kaabi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Rodinei Marcelo de Almeida.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Update Update
Offside.
49
Update Update
Offside.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ayoub El Kaabi takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ayoub El Kaabi scores, making it 1-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Update Update
Offside.
40
Attempt Attempt
Gelson Martins takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
35
Update Update
Offside.
34
Update Update
Brayann Pereira replaces Philippe Sandler.
29
Update Update
Emre Mor comes on for Sami Ouaissa.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Update Update
Konstantinos Fortounis replaces Jota.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Daniel García Carrillo.
9
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Maurizio Mariani.

CONCLUSION

NEC Nijmegen completed a 2-1 home win over Olympiacos F.C. in the second leg to progress on aggregate. The home team maintained a narrow possession edge and created the clearer opportunities according to expected goals. A red card issued to the visitors in the second half reduced their capacity to respond after the interval. The halftime score of 0-0 gave way to two goals for NEC and one for Olympiacos once the numerical advantage took effect. The result matched the expected goals profile and confirmed the pre-match market alignment. NEC advanced despite entering as the lower-rated side in the tie.