Nashville SC vs Inter Miami preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
GEODIS Park Today - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Nashville SCNSH
4 1
Inter MiamiMIA
Full Time Today 12:30 AM
Regular Season
Andy Nájar - 17'
Hany Mukhtar - 49', 63'
Sam Surridge - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Telasco Segovia - 45+3'

CONTEXT

Nashville SC hosted Inter Miami in a match that concluded with a 4-1 final score after a 1-1 halftime deadlock. Despite Inter Miami entering as the stronger side with slightly superior expected goals at 2.25 compared to Nashville's 2.17, the home team mounted a decisive second-half performance to claim victory. Possession favored the visitors at 55 percent yet failed to translate into sustained pressure. The outcome represented a notable departure from pre-match projections given the xG differential of just -0.08. Nashville capitalized on opportunities efficiently while the away side struggled to convert their edge into goals. This result underscores how second-half adjustments can override initial balances in competitive fixtures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami. Nashville SC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment revealed Nashville outperforming their 2.17 expected goals tally.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the final result matching projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations went unmet as the outcome proved inconsistent with the metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on Nashville's second-half goals that secured the 4-1 win.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Fischer
D. Fischer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Nashville SC B. Callaghan II
B. Callaghan II
VS
Inter Miami Á. Hoyos Marchisio
Á. Hoyos Marchisio
2.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.11
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
DC United Rank: 60 D
Orlando City Rank: 65 L
CF Montréal Rank: 57 W
Atlanta United Rank: 54 W
New York City Rank: 68 W
Los Angeles FC Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Columbus Crew Rank: 68 D
CF Montréal Rank: 57 W
Chicago Fire Rank: 65 W
Philadelphia Union Rank: 64 W
Portland Timbers Rank: 63 W
Cincinnati Rank: 69 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 6
6

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.72
76.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Power Score
71.72
76.95
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
223
114

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nashville SC — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Miami — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nashville SC Inter Miami

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nashville SC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Miami

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nashville SC
vs
Inter Miami
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nashville SC Inter Miami
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
47%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.27 vs -1.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nashville SC Inter Miami
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
47%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.06 vs -0.27
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nashville SC
vs
Inter Miami
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nashville SC Inter Miami
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nashville SC 0.00
Inter Miami 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nashville SC Inter Miami
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nashville SC 0.00
Inter Miami 0.00
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIA had peak pressure around 82'.
  • NSH started the game with stronger pressure.
NSH Pressure MIA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIA reached the top pressure at 82' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nashville SC NSH Home
7 matches
Inter Miami MIA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
6
0
Draws
0
6
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
8
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:12:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
B. Schwake
United States
99 B. Schwake
A. Najar Rodríguez
Substitution
Honduras
31 A. Najar Rodríguez
J. Palacios Murillo
Substitution
Colombia
4 J. Palacios Murillo
M. Woledzi
Ghana
3 M. Woledzi
R. Vanarthur Baker-Whiting
Substitution
United States
27 R. Vanarthur Baker-Whiting
E. Tagseth
Norway
20 E. Tagseth
M. Corcoran
United States
16 M. Corcoran
E. Saad
Substitution
Tunisia
11 E. Saad
C. Espinoza
Substitution
Argentina
7 C. Espinoza
S. Surridge
England
9 S. Surridge
H. Mukhtar
Germany
10 H. Mukhtar
R. Ríos Novo
Argentina
34 R. Ríos Novo
S. Reguilón Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
3 S. Reguilón Rodríguez
G. Luján Melli
Argentina
2 G. Luján Melli
I. Fray
Substitution
Jamaica
17 I. Fray
F. Mura
Substitution
Argentina
4 F. Mura
R. de Paul
Argentina
7 R. de Paul
C. Casimiro
Brazil
5 C. Casimiro
Y. Bright
United States
42 Y. Bright
T. Segovia Pérez
Substitution
Venezuela
8 T. Segovia Pérez
L. Suárez Díaz
Uruguay
9 L. Suárez Díaz
L. Messi
Argentina
10 L. Messi

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
GEODIS Park
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Drew Fischer

Statistics

Possession
NSH
46%
MIA
54%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 6
51 Dangerous attacks 39
45 Possession 55
10 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
4 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 4
15 Throwins 16
0 Hit Woodwork 3
4 Successful Headers 9
4 Assists 1
9 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 7
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

88 Attacks 90
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

44 Long Passes 37
392 Passes 499
322 Successful Passes 430
82 Successful Passes Percentage 86
13 Key Passes 9
25 Successful Long Passes 26
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 70

Defensive

3 Saves 4
18 Tackles 9
10 Interceptions 6
34 Duels Won 41

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI ▼

99
Brian Schwake
Brian Schwake Goalkeeper
7.05
3
Maxwell Woledzi
Maxwell Woledzi Defender
7.11
4
Jeison Palacios
Jeison Palacios Defender
7.21
5
Jack Maher
Jack Maher
Defender72'
7.09
27
Reed Baker-Whiting
Reed Baker-Whiting Defender
6.54
22
Josh Bauer
Josh Bauer
Defender87'
6.67
31
Andy Nájar
Andy Nájar Defender
6.99
2
Daniel Lovitz
Daniel Lovitz
Defender84'
6.73
11
Elias Saad
Elias Saad Midfielder
6.62
19
Alex Muyl
Alex Muyl
Midfielder72'
6.54
16
Matthew Corcoran
Matthew Corcoran Midfielder
6.87
20
Edvard Tagseth
Edvard Tagseth Midfielder
6.96
7
Cristian Espinoza
Cristian Espinoza Attacker
7.38
14
Shak Mohammed
Shak Mohammed
Midfielder72'
6.95
9
Sam Surridge
Sam Surridge Attacker
7.31
10
Hany Mukhtar
Hany Mukhtar Attacker
2
7.18
Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI ▼

34
Rocco Ríos Novo
Rocco Ríos Novo Goalkeeper
7.15
2
Gonzalo Luján
Gonzalo Luján Defender
6.74
3
Sergio Reguilón
Sergio Reguilón Defender
6.66
32
Noah Allen
Noah Allen
Defender75'
6.71
4
Facundo Mura
Facundo Mura Defender
6.6
37
Maximiliano Falcón
Maximiliano Falcón
Defender33'
6.56
17
Ian Fray
Ian Fray Defender
6.68
41
David Ruíz
David Ruíz
Midfielder75'
6.68
5
Casemiro
Casemiro Midfielder
6.73
7
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul Midfielder
7.64
42
Yannick Bright
Yannick Bright Midfielder
7.06
8
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia Attacker
6.99
54
Lovens Delinois
Lovens Delinois
Attacker86'
9
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Attacker
7.41
10
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi Attacker
8.18

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Josh Bauer → Reed Baker-Whiting
9th Substitution
87'
86'
Event
Lovens Delinois → Telasco Segovia
8th Substitution
Event
Daniel Lovitz → Andy Nájar
7th Substitution
84'
78'
Event
David Ruíz
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Noah Allen → Sergio Reguilón
5th Substitution
75'
Event
David Ruíz → Ian Fray
6th Substitution
Event
Jack Maher → Jeison Palacios
2nd Substitution
72'
Event
Shak Mohammed → Cristian Espinoza
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Alex Muyl → Elias Saad
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Hany Mukhtar
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
63'
59'
Event
Lionel Messi 
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sam Surridge
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
56'
Event
Hany Mukhtar
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
49'
47'
Event
Casemiro
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Sam Surridge
1st Yellowcard
45+6'
45+3'
Event
Telasco Segovia
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
33'
Event
Maximiliano Falcón → Facundo Mura
1st Substitution
25'
Event
Lionel Messi 
Review
23'
Event
Lionel Messi 
Off target
Event
Andy Nájar
Header / 1st Goal
17'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Blocked
90
Update Update
Offside
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Post
90
Update Update
Offside
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Post
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sam Surridge Right Footed Shot Missed
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 4-2
89
Update Update
Offside
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Missed
87
Update Update
On Josh Bauer，Off Reed Baker Whiting
86
Update Update
Offside
84
Update Update
On Daniel Lovitz，Off Andy Najar
84
Update Update
Offside
82
Corner Corner
Corner
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Left Footed Shot Saved
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Left Footed Shot Saved
78
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Update Update
On Noah Allen，Off Sergio Reguilón
75
Update Update
On Noah Allen，Off Sergio Reguilón
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ian Fray Right Footed Shot Blocked
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Henrique Casimiro Head Shot Post
73
Corner Corner
Corner
72
Update Update
On Shak Mohammed，Off Cristian Espinoza
72
Update Update
On Alex Muyl，Off Elias Saad
72
Update Update
On Jack Maher，Off Jeisson Andres Palacios Murillo
72
Corner Corner
Corner
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Blocked
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Saved
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Blocked
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Blocked
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Right Footed Shot Goal
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 4-1
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Espinoza Left Footed Shot Blocked
60
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-1
55
Corner Corner
Corner
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Left Footed Shot Missed
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Left Footed Shot Goal
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Hany Mukhtar 2-1，Assist：Elias Saad
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Carlos Henrique Casimiro
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Right Footed Shot Saved
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Sam Surridge
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Right Footed Shot Goal
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez 1-1
45
Update Update
Offside
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Right Footed Shot Missed
40
Corner Corner
Corner
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Espinoza Right Footed Shot Blocked
39
Corner Corner
Corner
39
Corner Corner
Corner
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Edvard Tagseth Left Footed Shot Blocked
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Right Footed Shot Blocked
33
Corner Corner
Corner
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Hany Mukhtar Left Footed Shot Missed
33
Update Update
On Maximiliano Joel Falcon Picart，Off Facundo Mura
25
Update Update
VAR Decision - Reviewed - Lionel Andres Messi
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lionel Andres Messi Right Footed Shot Saved
23
Attempt Attempt
Penalty Saved - Lionel Andres Messi
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty 1-1
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
20
Corner Corner
Corner
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Espinoza Right Footed Shot Saved
17
Corner Corner
Corner
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Andy Najar 1-0
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Espinoza Left Footed Shot Missed
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
13
Corner Corner
Corner
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Reed Baker Whiting Right Footed Shot Saved
7
Corner Corner
Corner
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Espinoza Right Footed Shot Saved
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Drew Fischer

CONCLUSION

Nashville SC delivered a commanding display after the interval to overturn the halftime parity and defeat Inter Miami 4-1. The home side's clinical finishing proved decisive even though the visitors held more possession and a marginal xG advantage. This victory highlights Nashville's ability to adapt and exploit openings when trailing in expected metrics. Inter Miami will reflect on missed chances that prevented them from building on their first-half showing. Overall the match demonstrated the fine margins in soccer where efficiency in key moments outweighs statistical edges. Nashville's result stands as a testament to resilience and tactical flexibility in the face of a favored opponent.