Nashville SC vs CF Montréal preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
GEODIS Park Thu, 23 Jul - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Nashville SCNSH
1 0
CF MontréalCFM
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 12:30 AM
Regular Season
Sam Surridge - 68' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Nashville SC secured a 1-0 victory over CF Montréal with the sole goal coming in the second half after a scoreless first period. The home side controlled 63 percent of possession and created an expected goals total of 2.04 against the visitors 0.86. The result aligned with the stronger team designation for Nashville SC and produced an xG differential of 1.18. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The outcome remained consistent with underlying performance metrics throughout the ninety minutes. Montréal generated limited scoring opportunities despite defensive efforts in their own half.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nashville SC produced a significant deviation of 100 percent from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance levels for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the xG totals recorded during the match.
  • Market alignment: The result showed full alignment with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: Nashville SC posted 2.04 xG while CF Montréal recorded 0.86 xG.
  • Event impact: The single goal in the second half determined the 1-0 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without any related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. de Oliveira
M. de Oliveira
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Lebuis
G. Lebuis
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Mitchell Carvalho
O. Mitchell Carvalho
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Mendoza
R. Mendoza
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nashville SC B. Callaghan II
B. Callaghan II
VS
CF Montréal P. Eullaffroy
P. Eullaffroy
2.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlanta United Rank: 55 W
New York City Rank: 66 W
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 W
New England Rank: 60 W
DC United Rank: 55 D
Philadelphia Union Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toronto Rank: 57 D
DC United Rank: 55 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 61 D
Orlando City Rank: 63 W
Atlanta United Rank: 55 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.83
56.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nashville SC
CF Montréal
Power Score
71.83
56.85
League Position
1
13
Global Rank
203
629

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nashville SC — Opponent-weighted form score
CF Montréal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nashville SC CF Montréal

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nashville SC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

CF Montréal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nashville SC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CF Montréal
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.56
24.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.19
20.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nashville SC -0.25 Efficiency Index
vs
CF Montréal +0.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nashville SC
CF Montréal
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nashville SC
vs
CF Montréal
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nashville SC CF Montréal
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
39%
42%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.21 vs -0.36
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nashville SC CF Montréal
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
42%
39%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36 vs +0.21
Nashville SC
CF Montréal
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nashville SC
vs
CF Montréal
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nashville SC CF Montréal
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nashville SC 0.17
CF Montréal 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nashville SC CF Montréal
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nashville SC 0.00
CF Montréal 0.02
Nashville SC
CF Montréal
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFM had peak pressure around 87'.
  • NSH started the game with stronger pressure.
NSH Pressure CFM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFM reached the top pressure at 87' (81.37).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nashville SC NSH Home
4 matches
CF Montréal CFM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
8
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:00:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
GEODIS Park
Capacity
30000
Attendance
25490
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marcos de Oliveira
Gerard Kader Lebuis
Oscar Mitchell Carvalho
Rosendo Mendoza

Statistics

Possession
NSH
62%
CFM
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 39
63 Possession 37
3 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

64 Ball Safe 45
1 Penalties 0
5 Goal Kicks 9
5 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 4
21 Throwins 16
0 Hit Woodwork 1
10 Successful Headers 9
1 Injuries 0
12 Dribble Attempts 6
7 Successful Dribbles 1
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 17

Attacking

125 Attacks 87
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

58 Long Passes 37
641 Passes 365
573 Successful Passes 312
89 Successful Passes Percentage 85
8 Key Passes 3
33 Successful Long Passes 19
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

2 Saves 0
12 Tackles 10
4 Interceptions 9
41 Duels Won 29

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 12
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Marcos de Oliveira

Starting XI ▼

99
Brian Schwake
Brian Schwake Goalkeeper
7.17
2
Daniel Lovitz
Daniel Lovitz Defender
6.76
3
Maxwell Woledzi
Maxwell Woledzi Defender
7.22
4
Jeison Palacios
Jeison Palacios Defender
7.53
22
Josh Bauer
Josh Bauer Defender
6.83
31
Andy Nájar
Andy Nájar
Defender57'
6.93
10
Hany Mukhtar
Hany Mukhtar (C) Midfielder
6.68
14
Shak Mohammed
Shak Mohammed Midfielder
6.98
16
Matthew Corcoran
Matthew Corcoran Midfielder
7.08
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
Charles-Emile Brunet
Midfielder90'
6.58
19
Alex Muyl
Alex Muyl Midfielder
6.84
37
Ahmed Qasem
Ahmed Qasem
Attacker66'
6.31
20
Edvard Tagseth
Edvard Tagseth Midfielder
7.39
6
Bryan Acosta
Bryan Acosta
Midfielder66'
6.49
9
Sam Surridge
Sam Surridge Attacker
7.52
Referee : Marcos de Oliveira

Starting XI ▼

1
Sébastian Breza
Sébastian Breza Goalkeeper
6.44
2
Jalen Neal
Jalen Neal Defender
6.83
24
Efraín Morales
Efraín Morales
Defender74'
7.16
4
Brayan Vera
Brayan Vera Defender
7.18
13
Luca Petrasso
Luca Petrasso Defender
6.63
27
Dawid Bugaj
Dawid Bugaj Defender
6.56
8
Matty Longstaff
Matty Longstaff Midfielder
6.83
25
Frankie Amaya
Frankie Amaya
Midfielder88'
21
Fabian Herbers
Fabian Herbers Midfielder
6.5
14
Daniel Ríos
Daniel Ríos
Attacker74'
6.52
22
Victor Loturi
Victor Loturi Midfielder
6.37
9
Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu (C) Attacker
6.48
18
Gennadiy Synchuk
Gennadiy Synchuk Attacker
6.69
23
Noah Streit
Noah Streit Attacker
5.96
29
Olger Escobar
Olger Escobar
Attacker82'
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Prince Owusu
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Charles-Emile Brunet → Matthew Corcoran
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Jack Maher → Shak Mohammed
8th Substitution
89'
88'
Event
Frankie Amaya → Matty Longstaff
7th Substitution
Event
Sam Surridge
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
86'
82'
Event
Olger Escobar → Noah Streit
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Efraín Morales  → Jalen Neal
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Daniel Ríos → Fabian Herbers
5th Substitution
Event
Sam Surridge
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
68'
Event
Bryan Acosta → Edvard Tagseth
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Ahmed Qasem → Alex Muyl
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Andy Nájar → Josh Bauer
1st Substitution
57'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Frankie Amaya takes a header but misses the shot.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Update Update
Charles-Emile Brunet is on, and Matthew Corcoran is off.
89
Update Update
Jack Maher is on, and Shak Mohammed is off.
88
Update Update
Frankie Amaya comes on for Matthew Longstaff.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sam Surridge receives a yellow card.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
85
Attempt Attempt
Efrain Morales takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Update Update
Olger Escobar replaces Noah Streit.
82
Attempt Attempt
Gennadiy Synchuk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
Efrain Morales is on, and Jalen Neal is off.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Attempt Attempt
Prince Owusu's header is saved.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sam Surridge takes a right-footed shot and scores.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Sam Surridge scores, making it 1-0.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sam Surridge scores with a right-footed shot.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Sam Surridge scores, making it 1-0.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Sam Surridge scores, making it 1-0.
61
Attempt Attempt
Andy Najar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Andy Najar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Update Update
Andy Najar comes on for Josh Bauer.
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Prince Owusu with his left foot is blocked.
53
Update Update
Offside.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Hany Mukhtar's right-footed shot is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Hany Mukhtar's right-footed shot is blocked.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Corcoran takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Shak Mohammed takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Alex Muyl takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Sam Surridge takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
2
Attempt Attempt
Shak Mohammed attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marcos de Oliveira.

CONCLUSION

Nashville SC maintained a structured approach that limited CF Montréal to low xG output while building sustained pressure through higher possession. The 1-0 scoreline reflected the home side's ability to convert opportunities efficiently after the interval. Both teams operated without disciplinary interruptions that could have altered the flow. The data indicates a controlled contest where expected metrics pointed toward the observed result. Montréal struggled to create meaningful chances against a compact defensive setup. Overall the performance metrics supported the final outcome without notable variance from the established patterns.