Napoli VS Bologna

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Mon, 11 May - 6:45 PM

Serie A

Napoli NAP

Bologna BOL

KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 6:45 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Napoli host Bologna at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Serie A regular season play for the 2025/2026 campaign. The Scudetto contenders from Naples sit second in the standings, holding a commanding power score of 85.99 compared to Bologna's 77.9, translating to an 8.1-point edge that marks them as the stronger side. Playing at home adds further impetus for Antonio Conte's men to assert dominance over a Bologna outfit languishing in 10th place. Both teams enter with identical form scores of 0, indicative of limited recent outings or early-season balance. Domestic league positions highlight Napoli's superior standing. With no knockout context, this league clash promises intensity. Detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data, shifting emphasis to raw power and positional hierarchy. Napoli's home fortress has historically been a tough nut, setting the stage for a pivotal encounter.

TL;DR

Structural: Napoli hold an 8.1-point power advantage over Bologna, underscoring their structural superiority.
Form: Both Napoli and Bologna register form scores of 0 entering this fixture.
Squad: Napoli occupy 2nd place in Serie A, while Bologna sit 10th.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: No specific transition play data provided for either team.
Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to unavailable data.
Market: Napoli 60.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.5% (Δ+0%) | Bologna 15.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

A. Conte

V. Italiano

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

21 - 7 - 9

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Napoli

60.67%

Draw

23.52%

Bologna

15.81%

Team Power Ranking

85.99

77.9

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Napoli

Bologna

Power Score

85.99

77.9

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Napoli — Opponent-weighted form score

Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Napoli Bologna

STARTING XI

32 V. Milinković Savić

31 S. Beukema

13 A. Rrahmani

4 A. Buongiorno

21 M. Politano

8 S. McTominay

68 S. Lobotka

3 M. Gutiérrez Ortega

11 K. De Bruyne

27 A. de Almeida Santos

19 R. Højlund

25 M. Pessina

33 J. Miranda González

26 J. Lucumí Bonilla

5 E. Fauske Helland

29 L. De Silvestri

6 N. Moro

8 R. Freuler

30 B. Domínguez

23 S. Sohm

10 F. Bernardeschi

21 J. Odgaard

General Information

Date & Time

May 11, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Capacity

54726

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Marco Piccinini

Valerio Colarossi

Daisuke Emanuele Yoshikawa

Mario Perri

Lineup

Referee : Marco Piccinini

Manager ▼

A. Conte Coach

Starting XI ▼

Vanja Milinković-Savić Goalkeeper

6.86

Miguel Gutiérrez Defender

6.81

Alessandro Buongiorno Defender

6.78

Amir Rrahmani Defender

7.03

Matteo Politano Defender

6.94

Sam Beukema Defender

6.84

Scott McTominay Midfielder

7.16

Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder

7.29

Alisson Santos Midfielder

7.17

Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder

6.87

Rasmus Højlund Attacker

6.85

Referee : Marco Piccinini

Manager ▼

V. Italiano Coach

Starting XI ▼

Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper

6.93

Eivind Helland Defender

7.09

Jhon Lucumí Defender

6.85

Lorenzo De Silvestri Defender

6.64

Juan Miranda Defender

7.12

Nikola Moro Midfielder

7.03

Remo Freuler Midfielder

6.8

Simon Sohm Midfielder

6.69

Federico Bernardeschi Attacker

6.86

Jens Odgaard Attacker

6.71

Benja Domínguez Attacker

6.53

CONCLUSION

Napoli's superior power rating and lofty league position position them as clear favorites against a mid-table Bologna side at the Maradona. The 8.1-point gulf in strength, coupled with home advantage, suggests the hosts will control proceedings despite neutral form indicators. Lacking granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the preview hinges on Napoli's established edge in Serie A hierarchy. Bologna face an uphill battle to disrupt the Partenopei's rhythm. Expect a composed display from the leaders, leveraging their structural depth for a routine victory in this regular season affair.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT