Motor Lublin vs Katowice preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Sun, 16 Aug - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 12:45 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Motor Lublin welcome Katowice to the Arena Lublin for an Ekstraklasa regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The visitors hold the higher power score at 68.35, outpacing the hosts' 62.02 and establishing themselves as the stronger unit by 6.3 points. League positions reflect this disparity with Motor Lublin in 16th and Katowice in 10th domestically. Form metrics further favor the away team, who register 11.11 compared to 6.22 for Motor Lublin. Data on last outings for both sides is unavailable at this stage. Efficiency and transition details are not specified in available records. Set piece analysis shows low confidence levels due to proxy usage and absent xG metrics. This fixture pits a lower-placed side against a more potent opponent in a standard league setting.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Motor Lublin sit 16th while Katowice occupy 10th in the domestic league table.
  • Form: Katowice hold a form score of 11.11 compared to Motor Lublin's 6.22.
  • Squad: No specific squad information is available for this match.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not specified in the records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Katowice possess the higher power score of 68.35 against Motor Lublin's 62.02.
  • Market: Projection split: Motor Lublin 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Katowice 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Motor Lublin M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.59
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 66 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 72 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 71 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wieczysta Kraków Rank: 55 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 65 W
Wisła Kraków Rank: 64 L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 67 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 71 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 63 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.02
68.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Katowice
Power Score
62.02
68.35
League Position
16
10
Global Rank
536
331

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Motor Lublin Opponent-weighted form score
Katowice Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Katowice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Home
4 matches
Katowice KAT Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:29:40+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

71
Mihai Popa
Mihai Popa Goalkeeper
6.41
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.85
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo Midfielder
6.56
10
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Centre Forward
7.38
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos Right Back
6.77
18
Bartosz Bereszyński
6.72
4
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic Left Back
6.34
8
Christopher Simon
Christopher Simon Central Midfield
6.87
6
Mateusz Łęgowski
Mateusz Łęgowski Central Midfield
6.35
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Left Back
6.3
27
Yacine Bourhane
Yacine Bourhane Defensive Midfield
6.88

Starting XI

87
Gabriel Kobylak
Gabriel Kobylak Goalkeeper
6.51
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka Midfielder
6.97
7
Mateusz Wdowiak
Mateusz Wdowiak Midfielder
6.77
17
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin Centre Forward
7.59
15
Eman Markovic
Eman Markovic Attacker
6.75
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Attacker
7.81
19
Kacper Lukasiak
Kacper Lukasiak Central Midfield
6.93
55
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Left Back
6.91
30
Alan Czerwinski
Alan Czerwinski Right Back
6.61
4
Arkadiusz Jędrych
Arkadiusz Jędrych Centre Back
7.1
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Central Midfield
6.79

CONCLUSION

Katowice appear better positioned to claim a positive result given their advantages in power and form. Motor Lublin will look to leverage home support at Arena Lublin to bridge the gap in team strength. The structural differences suggest a challenging afternoon for the hosts as they aim to climb from 16th place. With form records indicating superior recent performances from the visitors, Katowice may control proceedings more effectively. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces adds an element of uncertainty to preparations. Overall, the encounter highlights the competitive nature of the Ekstraklasa where positioning and metrics play key roles in outcomes. Both teams will seek to maximize their opportunities in this regular season clash.