Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Białystok preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Today - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok JAG
KICKOFF : Today - 6:30 PM
Round 2 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season Motor Lublin welcome Jagiellonia Białystok to Arena Lublin for a contest between sides separated by just one place in the table. The home team occupies eighth position while the visitors sit seventh with both clubs operating in domestic competition only. Power metrics indicate Jagiellonia Białystok hold the edge at 69.91 against Motor Lublin's 62.24 creating a 7.7 point advantage for the away side. Recent form readings show Motor Lublin on 11 and Jagiellonia Białystok on 0 though detailed recent match records remain limited. Set piece information carries low confidence for both teams due to reliance on proxy data and absence of direct xG metrics. Efficiency and transition elements also lack specific figures leaving structural balance and squad strength as primary differentiators heading into the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Motor Lublin occupy eighth place while Jagiellonia Białystok sit seventh in the domestic standings.
  • Form: Motor Lublin register a form score of 11 against Jagiellonia Białystok's mark of 0.
  • Squad: Jagiellonia Białystok are identified as the stronger team overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both sides in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided within the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Jagiellonia Białystok hold a 7.7 point power advantage over Motor Lublin.
  • Market: Baseline split: Motor Lublin 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Jagiellonia Białystok 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Motor Lublin M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 70 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 59 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 74 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: 63 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 65 W
Katowice Rank: 67 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 71 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 65 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Motor Lublin
0%
Draw
0%
Away Jagiellonia Białystok
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.24
69.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok
Power Score
62.24
69.91
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
500
265

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Home
4 matches
Jagiellonia Białystok JAG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
2
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:12:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Popa
71 M. Popa
T. Christensen
29 T. Christensen
M. Bartoš
39 M. Bartoš
B. Bereszyński
18 B. Bereszyński
F. Luberecki
24 F. Luberecki
M. Łęgowski
6 M. Łęgowski
M. Ndiaye
30 M. Ndiaye
Y. Bourhane
27 Y. Bourhane
I. dos Santos Rodrigues
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
F. Costa Conceição
11 F. Costa Conceição
K. Czubak
10 K. Czubak
S. Abramowicz
50 S. Abramowicz
G. Serrão Montóia
23 G. Serrão Montóia
Y. Kobayashi
4 Y. Kobayashi
B. Cardoso Vital
5 B. Cardoso Vital
N. Wojtuszek
15 N. Wojtuszek
D. Drachal
8 D. Drachal
T. Romanczuk
6 T. Romanczuk
J. Imaz Ballesté
11 J. Imaz Ballesté
K. Szmyt
7 K. Szmyt
Y. Sylla
17 Y. Sylla
K. Jóźwiak
72 K. Jóźwiak

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Mihai Popa
Mihai Popa Goalkeeper
6.33
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo Midfielder
6.63
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.88
10
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Centre Forward
6.82
6
Mateusz Łęgowski
Mateusz Łęgowski Defensive Midfield
6.06
7
Ivo Rodrigues
Ivo Rodrigues Central Midfield
7.52
18
Bartosz Bereszyński
Bartosz Bereszyński Left Back
6.09
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Left Back
5.78
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos Right Back
7.18
39
Marek Bartos
Marek Bartos Right Back
6.86
27
Yacine Bourhane
Yacine Bourhane Central Midfield
6.61

Starting XI ▼

50
Sławomir Abramowicz
Sławomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
7.22
7
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Attacker
6.73
17
Youssuf Sylla
Youssuf Sylla Centre Forward
6.97
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
Kamil Jóźwiak Attacker
7.13
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Left Back
6.86
5
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital Right Back
7.59
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk Central Midfield
7.28
8
Dawid Drachal
Dawid Drachal Central Midfield
6.82
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Central Midfield
6.64
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Right Back
6.77
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Left Back
7.61

CONCLUSION

Motor Lublin will look to leverage home advantage and their superior recent form score when facing Jagiellonia Białystok at Arena Lublin. The visitors however possess greater overall squad strength and a clear power edge that could prove decisive in open play. With league positions nearly identical the contest may hinge on how effectively each side converts limited opportunities given the lack of detailed efficiency and set piece figures. Jagiellonia Białystok's higher power rating suggests they can control key phases despite the away fixture. Motor Lublin must maintain defensive organisation to offset the visitors' structural qualities. The matchup promises a measured battle where small margins in squad depth and current momentum will likely shape the outcome.