Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Białystok preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Fri, 31 Jul - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
1 2
Jagiellonia BiałystokJAG
Full Time Fri, 31 Jul 6:30 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Karol Czubak - 82'
Goal
|
Goal
Nik Prelec - 33'

CONTEXT

Motor Lublin faced Jagiellonia Białystok in a match that ended with a 1-2 away victory for the visitors. Jagiellonia took the lead before halftime with the score at 0-1. The second half saw Motor Lublin pull one back but Jagiellonia held firm to secure the win. Possession favored the away side at 54 percent compared to 46 percent for the hosts. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. Jagiellonia entered as the stronger side and delivered a result consistent with that status despite a significant deviation recorded at 100 percent. The outcome aligned with market expectations for the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Jagiellonia Białystok recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to absent expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved market aligned with the pre-match favorite prevailing.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations data remained unavailable for both participating sides.
  • Event impact: The halftime lead of 0-1 shaped the second half adjustments by Motor Lublin.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore no distortion from dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Kwiatkowski
T. Kwiatkowski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Winkler
J. Winkler
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Sierant
F. Sierant
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Rzucidło
P. Rzucidło
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Motor Lublin M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 72 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 66 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 62 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 76 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: 63 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 68 W
Katowice Rank: 70 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 74 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 67 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 73 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.54
72.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok
Power Score
64.54
72.57
League Position
11
1
Global Rank
510
251

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Jagiellonia Białystok

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Motor Lublin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Jagiellonia Białystok
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.22
29.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.63
55.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Motor Lublin +2.64 Efficiency Index
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok -2.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Motor Lublin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Jagiellonia Białystok
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Motor Lublin
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Motor Lublin 0.24
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Motor Lublin Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Motor Lublin 0.03
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.01
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Motor Lublin had peak pressure around 55'.
  • JAG started the game with stronger pressure.
Motor Lublin Pressure JAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Motor Lublin reached the top pressure at 55' (89.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Home
4 matches
Jagiellonia Białystok JAG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
2
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Jacub Winkler
Filip Sierant
Piotr Rzucidło

Statistics

Possession
Motor Lublin
49%
JAG
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
88 Dangerous attacks 60
46 Possession 54
4 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 4
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

47 Ball Safe 56
6 Goal Kicks 13
13 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 19
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1
19 Dribble Attempts 13
8 Successful Dribbles 7
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

110 Attacks 84
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

48 Long Passes 44
432 Passes 524
379 Successful Passes 448
88 Successful Passes Percentage 85
13 Key Passes 9
35 Successful Long Passes 17
73 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

2 Saves 5
8 Tackles 16
8 Interceptions 5
38 Duels Won 39

Build-up

31 Total Crosses 13
8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

71
Mihai Popa
Mihai Popa Goalkeeper
6.52
18
Bartosz Bereszyński
Bartosz Bereszyński Defender
7.12
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
6.36
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos Defender
6.36
70
Makan Aïko
Makan Aïko
Midfielder79'
6.44
39
Marek Bartos
Marek Bartos Defender
6.6
6
Mateusz Łęgowski
Mateusz Łęgowski Midfielder
6.55
2
Paskal Meyer
Paskal Meyer
Defender79'
6.3
8
Christopher Simon
Christopher Simon Midfielder
7.02
23
Florian Haxha
Florian Haxha
Midfielder87'
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo Midfielder
6.98
27
Yacine Bourhane
Yacine Bourhane Midfielder
6.95
4
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic
Defender86'
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.95
10
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak (C) Attacker
8.12
Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

50
Sławomir Abramowicz
Sławomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
7.4
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Defender
7.05
5
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital Defender
6.58
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Defender
7.03
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Defender
6.77
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk (C) Midfielder
6.96
7
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Midfielder
7.25
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
Kamil Jóźwiak
Midfielder87'
6.49
21
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano Midfielder
7.82
44
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
Defender87'
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Midfielder
6.46
10
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker62'
6.59
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Attacker
6.55
19
A. Klynge
A. Klynge
Midfielder68'
6.2
99
Nik Prelec
Nik Prelec Attacker
7.23
9
Dimitris Rallis
Dimitris Rallis
Attacker68'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Kamil Jóźwiak
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Florian Haxha → Christopher Simon
7th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Kamil Jóźwiak → Kajetan Szmyt
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Apostolos Konstantopoulos → Sergio Lozano
9th Substitution
Event
Tin Plavotic → Yacine Bourhane
6th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Sergio Lozano
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Karol Czubak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
82'
82'
Event
Bernardo Vital
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Makan Aïko → Thomas Santos
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Paskal Meyer → Mateusz Łęgowski
5th Substitution
79'
68'
Event
A. Klynge → Jesús Imaz
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Dimitris Rallis → Nik Prelec
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Rodrigo Conceição
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Guilherme Montóia
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
Event
Nik Prelec
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Florian Haxha takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kamil Jozwiak receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Makan Aiko takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Marek Kristian Bartos takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak attempts a header but misses the shot.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Makan Aiko's right-footed shot is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Marek Kristian Bartos takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sergio Lozano takes a right-footed shot and scores.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sergio Lozano scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Kajetan Szmyt.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Karol Czubak scores with a right-footed shot.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card issued to Bernardo Vital.
81
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Makan Aiko is on, and Thomas Santos is off.
79
Update Update
Paskal Konrad Meyer is on, and Mateusz Legowski is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Lozano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Fabio Ronaldo's header is blocked.
68
Update Update
On comes Anders Klynge, off goes Jesus Imaz Balleste.
68
Update Update
Dimitris Rallis comes on for Nik Prelec.
65
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak's header is saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jeremy Agbonifo comes on for Rodrigo Conceicao.
61
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Attempt Attempt
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski's header is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a shot with his head but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a header shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Lozano takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Filip Luberecki takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nik Prelec takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Lozano takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nik Prelec takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Guilherme Montoia.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nik Prelec takes a left-footed shot and scores.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nik Prelec scores with a left-footed shot.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nik Prelec scores to make it 1-0.
29
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski's left-footed shot is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Lozano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Kajetan Szmyt takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Simon takes a left-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Yuki Kobayashi attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye with a header, but it misses the target.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Tomasz Kwiatkowski.

CONCLUSION

Jagiellonia Białystok claimed a deserved 2-1 victory on the road against Motor Lublin after establishing a 1-0 halftime advantage. The away side controlled more of the ball and maintained composure when the hosts responded in the second period. With no dismissals affecting play the contest stayed balanced until the final whistle. The stronger team fulfilled expectations by collecting all three points in a tightly contested encounter. Motor Lublin showed resilience but could not overcome the early deficit. Overall the result reflected the relative strengths on display and provided Jagiellonia with a solid outcome away from home.