Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Kraków preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Sat, 16 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 12:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Arena Lublin, Motor Lublin faces Cracovia Kraków in a mid-table showdown during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit 10th, one place above the 13th-placed visitors, with a slight power score edge of 60.72 to 59.97, giving them a 0.8-point advantage as the stronger team on paper. Both sides enter with neutral form scores and no recent outings specified, suggesting an even matchup early in the season. Motor Lublin will rely on home atmosphere to press their structural superiority, while Cracovia looks to exploit any transitional lapses. Data limitations mean no clear efficiencies or set-piece dominances emerge, with proxies indicating low confidence in advanced metrics. League positions underscore a battle for upward momentum, where squad cohesion and tactical discipline could decide the outcome in this balanced fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Motor Lublin holds a 0.8-point power advantage as the stronger team hosting at Arena Lublin.
  • Form: Both teams register form scores of zero with no detailed recent records.
  • Squad: No specific squad news or changes are available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this Ekstraklasa matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not detailed in the provided analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxies used and no xG data available.
  • xVariable: Power scores tilt slightly to Motor Lublin at 60.72 versus Cracovia's 59.97.
  • Market: Motor Lublin 34.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Cracovia Kraków 38.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
VS
Cracovia Kraków B. Grzelak
B. Grzelak
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 58 L
Katowice Rank: 63 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 67 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Motor Lublin
34.61%
Draw
27.09%
Away Cracovia Kraków
38.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.72
59.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Kraków
Power Score
60.72
59.97
League Position
10
13
Global Rank
468
498

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Motor Lublin Opponent-weighted form score
Cracovia Kraków Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Cracovia Kraków

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Ivan Brkić
Ivan Brkić Goalkeeper
33
Gašper Tratnik
Gašper Tratnik Goalkeeper
99
Patryk Kukulski
Patryk Kukulski Goalkeeper
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys Defender
28
Paweł Stolarski
Paweł Stolarski Defender
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Defender
17
Filip Wójcik
Filip Wójcik Defender
2
Paskal Konrad Meyer
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
Artem Akatov
Artem Akatov Defender
42
Bright Ede
Bright Ede Defender
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
6
Sergi Samper Montaña
21
Jakub Łabojko
Jakub Łabojko Midfielder
8
Mathieu Scalet
Mathieu Scalet Midfielder
10
Kacper Karasek
Kacper Karasek Midfielder
Sebastian Koziej
Sebastian Koziej Midfielder
16
Franciszek Lewandowski
77
Renat Dadaşov
Renat Dadaşov Attacker
26
Michal Krol
Michal Krol Attacker
23
Florian Haxha
Florian Haxha Attacker
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Attacker
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Attacker
30
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
20
Kacper Plichta
Kacper Plichta Attacker

Squad

27
Henrich Ravas
Henrich Ravas Goalkeeper
13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
91
Konrad Golonka
Konrad Golonka Goalkeeper
25
Otar Kakabadze
Otar Kakabadze Defender
15
Kamil Glik
Kamil Glik Defender
4
Gustav Henriksson
21
Boško Šutalo
Boško Šutalo Defender
79
Dominik Piła
Dominik Piła Defender
66
Oskar Wójcik
Oskar Wójcik Defender
39
Mauro Perković
Mauro Perković Defender
61
Brahim Traoré
Brahim Traoré Defender
43
Mateusz Klich
Mateusz Klich Midfielder
6
Amir Al-Ammari
Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder
10
Maxime Dominguez
Maxime Dominguez Midfielder
7
Mateusz Praszelik
Mateusz Praszelik Midfielder
20
Karol Knap
Karol Knap Midfielder
70
Dijon Kameri
Dijon Kameri Midfielder
5
Beno Selan
Beno Selan Midfielder
92
Mateusz Skoczylas
Mateusz Skoczylas Midfielder
19
Mateusz Tabisz
Mateusz Tabisz Midfielder
17
Martin Yankov Minchev
14
Ajdin Hasić
Ajdin Hasić Attacker
99
Gabriel Charpentier
Gabriel Charpentier Attacker
11
Pau Sans Lopez
Pau Sans Lopez Attacker
9
Wiktor Bogacz
Wiktor Bogacz Attacker
18
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
29
Jean Florent Batoum
Jean Florent Batoum Attacker

CONCLUSION

Motor Lublin enters as marginal favorites at home, leveraging their power edge and higher league standing against a Cracovia side projected slightly higher in splits. With form neutral and advanced data sparse, the clash hinges on execution in structure and transitions at Arena Lublin. Expect a cagey affair where the hosts' 10th-place resolve meets the visitors' push from 13th, potentially decided by fine margins in open play. Home support could tip the scales in this Ekstraklasa regular season test.