Motherwell VS HJK

2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe

Fir Park Today - 6:30 PM

Europa Conference League

Motherwell MOT

HJK HJK.

KICKOFF : Today - 6:30 PM

3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

Motherwell host HJK in Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Fir Park. Power ranking favours HJK by 4.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: HJK hold a +4.9 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
Form: Motherwell are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
Efficiency: Motherwell show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
Transition: HJK have a moderate edge in transition threat.
Set pieces: HJK carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
xVariable: HJK hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
Market: Projection split: Motherwell 54% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | HJK 21.1% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

A. Johansson

J. Rantanen

2.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 1 - 0

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Motherwell

54.04%

Draw

24.82%

HJK

21.14%

Team Power Ranking

34.36

39.26

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Motherwell

HJK

Power Score

34.36

39.26

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Motherwell — Opponent-weighted form score

HJK — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motherwell HJK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motherwell MOT Home

1 matches

HJK HJK. Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:06:47+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Aug 13, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition

2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1

Stadium

Fir Park

Capacity

13742

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Michal Očenáš

Adam Jekkel

Tobiáš Pacák

Peter Kralovic

Squad

Referee : Michal Očenáš

Manager ▼

A. Johansson Coach

Squad ▼

Alexander Noah Paulsen Goalkeeper

Matty Connolly Goalkeeper

Paul McGinn Defender

Stephen O'Donnell Defender

Jordan McGhee Defender

John Koutroumbis Defender

Mbule Longelo Emmanuel Defender

Martin Moormann Defender

Dylan Willis Defender

Jake Girdwood-Reich Defender

Ewan Wilson Defender

Jamie Knight-Lebel Defender

Lukas Fadinger Midfielder

Tom Sparrow Midfielder

—

Joseph Hodge Midfielder

Alexander lowry Midfielder

Oscar Priestman Midfielder

Mikey Booth Midfielder

Olly Whyte Midfielder

Regan Charles-Cook Attacker

Callum Hendry Attacker

Apostolos Stamatelopoulos Attacker

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise Attacker

Ibrahim Sa’id Attacker

Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson Attacker

Willy Vogt Attacker

Luca Ross Attacker

Referee : Michal Očenáš

Manager ▼

J. Rantanen Coach

Squad ▼

Matej Marković Goalkeeper

Jesse Öst Goalkeeper

—

Jasper Samooja Goalkeeper

Mitja Haapanen Goalkeeper

Ville Tikkanen Defender

Till Cissokho Defender

Leonel Dahl Montano Defender

Miska Ylitolva Defender

Mihajlo Bogićević Defender

Emil Leveälahti Defender

Kaius Simojoki Defender

Amara Nallo Defender

Eemil Toivonen Defender

Alexander Ring Midfielder

Lucas Lingman Midfielder

Jere Kallinen Midfielder

Liam Möller Midfielder

Mouhamed Gueye Midfielder

Pyry Mentu Midfielder

Martin Kirilov Midfielder

Antton Nylund Midfielder

Teemu Pukki Attacker

Lassi Lappalainen Attacker

Santeri Haarala Attacker

—

Mads Borchers Attacker

Roni Hudd Attacker

David Ezeh Attacker

Toivo Mero Attacker

Alfie Cicale Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward HJK holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give HJK a 4.9-point edge. External projection is Motherwell 54%, draw 24.8%, and HJK 21.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT