Moreirense vs AVS preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
Moreirense MFC
AVS AFS
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Moreirense host AVS in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Domestically, Moreirense sit 8th in the table while AVS are 18th. Power ranking favours Moreirense by 7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Moreirense holds a 7-point power advantage at 67 versus AVS's 60 while ranking 8th to the visitors' 18th.
  • Form: AVS edges recent form with 28.28 score against Moreirense's 14.44.
  • Squad: No squad changes or injury updates reported for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxies with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: Form disparity highlights AVS momentum clashing with Moreirense power.
  • Market: Moreirense 50.1% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ-0.2%) | AVS 23.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Moreirense V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 61 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: 87 W
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 D
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 D
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Moreirense
50.11%
Draw
26.44%
Away AVS
23.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Moreirense
+0.16%
Draw
-0.17%
AVS
+0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67
60
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Moreirense
AVS
Power Score
67
60
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
279
497

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Moreirense Opponent-weighted form score
AVS Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Moreirense AVS

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Moreirense MFC Home
3 matches
AVS AFS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
6
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:04:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

16
Michael Simões Domingues
Michael Simões Domingues Goalkeeper
22
Caio Gobbo Secco
Caio Gobbo Secco Goalkeeper
13
André Filipe Magalhães Ribeiro Ferreira
André Filipe Magalhães Ribeiro Ferreira Goalkeeper
26
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga Defender
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Defender
76
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto Defender
3
Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos
Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos Defender
17
Álvaro Martínez Navarro
Álvaro Martínez Navarro Defender
66
Gilberto Dambi Batista
Gilberto Dambi Batista Defender
2
Diogo Martins Travassos
Diogo Martins Travassos Defender
27
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues Defender
71
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Defender
4
Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza
Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza Defender
11
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Alan de Souza Guimarães Midfielder
23
Nile John
Nile John Midfielder
15
Vasco José Cardoso Sousa
Vasco José Cardoso Sousa Midfielder
30
Jimi Gower
Jimi Gower Midfielder
21
Rodrigo Alonso Martín
Rodrigo Alonso Martín Midfielder
8
Mateja Stjepanovic
Mateja Stjepanovic Midfielder
25
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida Midfielder
6
Miguel Andrade Silva
Miguel Andrade Silva Midfielder
10
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Attacker
7
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi Attacker
99
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa Attacker
9
Luís Hemir Silva Semedo
Luís Hemir Silva Semedo Attacker
78
Landerson Costa Araujo
Landerson Costa Araujo Attacker

Squad

88
Pedro José da Silva Trigueira
Pedro José da Silva Trigueira Goalkeeper
93
Simão Verza Bertelli
Simão Verza Bertelli Goalkeeper
1
Adriel Vasconcelos Ramos
Adriel Vasconcelos Ramos Goalkeeper
33
Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos
Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos Defender
35
Rúben Afonso Borges Semedo
Rúben Afonso Borges Semedo Defender
24
Christian Neiva Afonso
Christian Neiva Afonso Defender
26
Carlos dos Santos Rodrigues
Carlos dos Santos Rodrigues Defender
97
Mateus Cardoso Francisco
Mateus Cardoso Francisco Defender
5
Guillem Molina Gutiérrez
Guillem Molina Gutiérrez Defender
12
Leonardo Daniel Rivas
Leonardo Daniel Rivas Defender
42
Cristian Castro Devenish
Cristian Castro Devenish Defender
3
Paulo Vitor Leal Sousa Lima
Paulo Vitor Leal Sousa Lima Defender
27
Ángel Algobia Esteves
Ángel Algobia Esteves Midfielder
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
19
Tiago Galletto López
Tiago Galletto López Midfielder
70
Roni Medeiros de Moura
Roni Medeiros de Moura Midfielder
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Midfielder
25
Andre Green
Andre Green Attacker
7
António Manuel Fernandes Mendes
António Manuel Fernandes Mendes Attacker
18
Ânderson Miguel da Silva
Ânderson Miguel da Silva Attacker
17
Antoine Baroan
Antoine Baroan Attacker
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Garcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Garcete Attacker
11
Babatunde Akinsola
Babatunde Akinsola Attacker
14
Óscar Andrés Perea Abonce
Óscar Andrés Perea Abonce Attacker
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Moreirense holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Moreirense a 7-point edge. External projection is Moreirense 49.7%, draw 26.7%, and AVS 23.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.