Match in progress now LIVE Real-time updates

Monza vs Catanzaro preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium Fri, 29 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Monza MON
0 – 1
2ND HALF 76
Catanzaro CAT
Live : 2nd Half Fri, 29 May 6:00 PM
Final Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 0
|
Goal
Fellipe Jack - 39'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Valentin Antov → Adam Bakoune
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Lorenzo Lucchesi → Andrea Carboni
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Giuseppe Caso → Patrick Cutrone
5th Substitution
69'
63'
Event
Ruggero Frosinini → Fellipe Jack
4th Substitution
55'
Event
Gabriele Alesi → Federico Di Francesco
3rd Substitution
Event
Andrea Petagna → Dany Mota
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Marco Pompetti → Simone Pontisso
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Fellipe Jack
Header / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Simone Pontisso
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

56
Attempt Attempt
Hernani Azevedo Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Colombo's header is saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Liberali's left-footed shot is saved.
63
Update Update
Ruggero Frosinini is on, and Fellipe Jack is off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Gabriele Alesi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Pietro Iemmello takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Azzi's right-footed shot is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Pittarello attempts a header but misses the shot.
74
Attempt Attempt
Filippo Pittarello takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Attempt Attempt
Pietro Iemmello takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Giuseppe Caso replaces Patrick Cutrone.
60
Attempt Attempt
Marco Pompetti takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Update Update
Gabriele Alesi comes on for Federico Di Francesco.
69
Update Update
Lorenzo Lucchesi replaces Andrea Carboni.
49
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Cutrone takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Update Update
Valentin Antov comes on for Adam Bakoune.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Carboni's right-footed shot is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Pessina takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fellipe Jack scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Simone Pontisso.
36
Attempt Attempt
Pietro Iemmello takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Simone Pontisso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Marco Pompetti comes on for Simone Pontisso.
46
Update Update
Andrea Petagna is on, and Dany Mota Carvalho is off.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simone Pontisso receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Liberali's left-footed shot is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Cutrone's right-footed shot is saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Simone Pontisso's right-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Carboni's right-footed shot is saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Cutrone takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Fellipe Jack's header is saved.

Statistics

Possession
MON
38%
CAT
62%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 7
34 Dangerous attacks 41
34 Possession 66
3 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Dribble Attempts 19
9 Throwins 11
22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
2 Successful Dribbles 8
4 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1
6 Goal Attempts 10
58 Ball Safe 64
8 Goal Kicks 7

Attacking

57 Attacks 80
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

213 Passes 434
34 Long Passes 27
74 Successful Passes Percentage 85
8 Key Passes 9
157 Successful Passes 369
24 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
8 Successful Long Passes 10

Defensive

40 Duels Won 37
6 Saves 4
8 Interceptions 2
19 Tackles 10

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 11
7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
7
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Defender
7.01
24
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune Defender
6.68
—
Adam Bakoune
74'
44
Andrea Carboni
Andrea Carboni Defender
6.94
—
Andrea Carboni
70'
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
7.03
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Midfielder
6.94
21
Leonardo Colombo
Leonardo Colombo Midfielder
6.68
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Midfielder
7.11
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Attacker
6.96
—
Patrick Cutrone
69'
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Attacker
7.01
47
Dany Mota
Dany Mota Attacker
6.86
—
Dany Mota
46'
Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

22
Mirko Pigliacelli
Mirko Pigliacelli Goalkeeper
6.76
4
Matias Antonini
Matias Antonini Defender
6.9
23
Nicolò Brighenti
Nicolò Brighenti Defender
6.79
84
Tommaso Cassandro
Tommaso Cassandro Defender
7
10
Jacopo Petriccione
Jacopo Petriccione Midfielder
7.01
20
Simone Pontisso
Simone Pontisso Midfielder
7.22
—
Simone Pontisso
46'
27
Costantino Favasuli
Costantino Favasuli Midfielder
6.93
30
Gabriele Alesi
Gabriele Alesi Midfielder
6.74
8
Filippo Pittarello
Filippo Pittarello Attacker
7.01
9
Pietro Iemmello
Pietro Iemmello Attacker
7.1
14
Mattia Liberali
Mattia Liberali Attacker
6.82

CONTEXT

The game is in second half around minute 46, with Monza and Catanzaro in live competition. Catanzaro hold the on-field advantage so far, which reads as diverging with the pre-match structural expectation led by Monza. Possession split is approximately 32% to Monza and 68% to Catanzaro.

TL;DR

  • Live state: In the second half at minute 46 Catanzaro holds the qualitative lead with stronger control.
  • Structural vs live: The live situation diverges from pre-match expectations where Monza was seen as stronger.
  • Projection vs live: Projections align with Catanzaro as the leader in the current state.
  • xG trend: Expected goals data remains unavailable showing no clear trend deviation.
  • Possession profile: Monza 32% vs Catanzaro 68% possession.
  • Event impact: No red cards have occurred keeping the game at full strength for both sides.
  • Second-half outlook: The second half continues with Catanzaro maintaining efficiency in line with recent signals.
  • Market: Monza 4.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.9% (Δ+0%) | Catanzaro 75.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Meli
F. Meli
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Peretti
G. Peretti
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Giuseppe Mucera
Giuseppe Mucera
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Massa
D. Massa
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Monza P. Bianco
P. Bianco
VS
Catanzaro A. Aquilani
A. Aquilani
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: 61 W
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 W
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 D
Empoli Rank: 55 D
Mantova Rank: 55 L
Modena Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: 66 L
Palermo Rank: 63 L
Palermo Rank: 64 W
Avellino Rank: 54 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 L
Palermo Rank: 64 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monza
4.08%
Draw
20.85%
Away Catanzaro
75.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.83
60.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Catanzaro
Power Score
60.83
60.08
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
276
478

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monza — Opponent-weighted form score
Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Catanzaro

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Monza

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Catanzaro

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Monza ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Catanzaro
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Monza Catanzaro
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Monza Catanzaro
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Monza
Catanzaro
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Monza
vs
Catanzaro
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Monza Catanzaro
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Monza 0.00
Catanzaro 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Monza Catanzaro
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Monza 0.00
Catanzaro 0.00
Monza
Catanzaro
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CAT had peak pressure around 70'.
  • CAT started the game with stronger pressure.
MON Pressure CAT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CAT reached the top pressure at 70' (88.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home
3 matches
Catanzaro CAT Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-29T17:30:18+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Thiam
Senegal
20 D. Thiam
S. Birindelli
Italy
19 S. Birindelli
L. Ravanelli
Italy
13 L. Ravanelli
A. Carboni
Italy
44 A. Carboni
A. Bakoune
Italy
24 A. Bakoune
L. Colombo
Italy
21 L. Colombo
M. Pessina
Italy
32 M. Pessina
P. Dentello Azzi
Brazil
7 P. Dentello Azzi
A. Colpani
Italy
28 A. Colpani
D. Carvalho
Portugal
47 D. Carvalho
P. Cutrone
Italy
10 P. Cutrone
M. Pigliacelli
Italy
22 M. Pigliacelli
N. Brighenti
Italy
23 N. Brighenti
M. Antonini Lui
Brazil
4 M. Antonini Lui
T. Cassandro
Italy
84 T. Cassandro
G. Alesi
Italy
30 G. Alesi
S. Pontisso
Italy
20 S. Pontisso
J. Petriccione
Italy
10 J. Petriccione
C. Favasuli
Italy
27 C. Favasuli
P. Iemmello
Italy
9 P. Iemmello
M. Liberali
Italy
14 M. Liberali
F. Pittarello
Italy
8 F. Pittarello

General Information

Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 0
Stadium
U-Power Stadium
Capacity
18568
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Filippo Meli
Giorgio Peretti
Giuseppe Mucera
Davide Massa

CONCLUSION

The second half has resumed with Catanzaro continuing to dictate the tempo and limit Monza's opportunities through superior ball retention. Despite initial expectations favoring the home side the away team has adapted effectively to maintain their edge in key areas such as possession and overall structure. With no disciplinary incidents disrupting the flow the game remains balanced in terms of personnel. Future developments will likely hinge on whether Monza can increase their involvement or if Catanzaro sustains this momentum into the later stages. The alignment between live performance and projections suggests a consistent path forward for the current leader.