Mondorf-les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stade Achille Hammerel Thu, 9 Jul - 5:15 PM
Europa Conference League
Mondorf-les-Bains USM
1 2
Dinamo Tbilisi DIN
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 5:15 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Hatim Far - 71'
Goal
|
Goal
Algassime Bah - 2'
Mate Vatsadze - 19'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested first leg encounter, Mondorf-les-Bains welcomed Dinamo Tbilisi to their home ground. The match unfolded with Dinamo Tbilisi establishing early dominance by netting two goals before the interval, resulting in a halftime score of 0-2. Mondorf-les-Bains responded in the latter stages, securing a consolation goal to make the final score 1-2. Although designated as the stronger side, the home team was unable to overcome the deficit created in the opening period. Ball possession statistics reflected a balanced game, with the hosts controlling 48 percent compared to the visitors' 52 percent. The absence of any dismissals ensured both teams played with full squads throughout the ninety minutes. This narrow away victory positions Dinamo Tbilisi favorably for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A minimal 4.4 percent deviation showed Dinamo Tbilisi performed close to pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall pre-match assessment.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data was available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be assessed due to absent data.
  • Event impact: Dinamo Tbilisi led 2-0 at halftime before holding on for a 2-1 win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to distort the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
H. Vidoy
H. Vidoy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Djurhuus
J. Djurhuus
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Breckman
J. Breckman
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Hansen
?. Hansen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mondorf-les-Bains M. Forkel
M. Forkel
VS
Dinamo Tbilisi T. Ketsbaia
T. Ketsbaia
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mondorf-les-Bains
0.64%
Draw
3.72%
Away Dinamo Tbilisi
95.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mondorf-les-Bains
0%
Draw
-0.46%
Dinamo Tbilisi
+0.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mondorf-les-Bains — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Tbilisi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mondorf-les-Bains

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo Tbilisi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mondorf-les-Bains ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Tbilisi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.88
24.04
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.04
21.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mondorf-les-Bains -0.22 Efficiency Index
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi +0.22 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mondorf-les-Bains ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Tbilisi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mondorf-les-Bains
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.10
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.03
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.01
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DIN had peak pressure around 22'.
  • USM started the game with stronger pressure.
USM Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DIN reached the top pressure at 22' (59.32).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mondorf-les-Bains USM Home
0 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi DIN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:55:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
1
1
26
26
4
4
L. Baal
French Guiana
23 L. Baal
6
6
72
72
27 (C)
27 (C)
2
2
H. Far
France
76 H. Far
L. Stoltz
Substitution
France
18 L. Stoltz
77
77
G. Loria
Georgia
1 (C) G. Loria
P. Psaltis
Substitution
Cyprus
17 P. Psaltis
N. Kurdić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
27 N. Kurdić
A. Kalandadze
Georgia
3 A. Kalandadze
L. dos Santos Lopes da Silva
Brazil
6 L. dos Santos Lopes da Silva
L. Tsikolia
Substitution
Georgia
32 L. Tsikolia
B. Osei
Ghana
24 B. Osei
N. Ninua
Georgia
22 N. Ninua
A. Bah
Guinea
12 A. Bah
M. Vatsadze
Substitution
Georgia
11 M. Vatsadze
M. Do Couto Teixeira
Substitution
France
14 M. Do Couto Teixeira

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stade Achille Hammerel
Capacity
5814
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Heini Ziskason Vidoy
Jørleif Djurhuus
Jógvan Breckman
Áki Hansen

Statistics

Possession
USM
53%
DIN
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Shots 6
70 Dangerous attacks 70
48 Possession 52
4 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

98 Ball Safe 78
4 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 18
0 Assists 2

Attacking

122 Attacks 94

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Heini Ziskason Vidoy

Starting XI ▼

1
Joao Machado Goalkeeper
4
Kyllian Estrada Defender
6
Anthony Knoepffler Defender
26
Jacques-Antoine Pelletier Defender
77
Almir Klica Defender
2
Gianni Medina Midfielder
23
Loïc Baal
Loïc Baal Midfielder
6.27
27
Dwayn Holter (C) Midfielder
18
Lenny Stoltz
Lenny Stoltz Attacker
6.42
—
Lenny Stoltz
72'
72
Loris Tinelli Attacker
76
Hatim Far
Hatim Far Attacker
6.42
Referee : Heini Ziskason Vidoy

Starting XI ▼

1
Giorgi Loria
Giorgi Loria (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Aleksandre Kalandadze
Aleksandre Kalandadze Defender
6.26
6
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva Defender
6.25
17
Paris Psaltis
Paris Psaltis Defender
6.5
18
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Attacker66'
6.46
27
N. Kurdić
N. Kurdić Defender
6.26
14
Maxime Do Couto
Maxime Do Couto Midfielder
6.37
29
Reziko Danelia
Reziko Danelia
Midfielder89'
22
Nika Ninua
Nika Ninua Midfielder
6.77
24
Barnes Osei
Barnes Osei Midfielder
6.37
32
Luca Tsikolia
Luca Tsikolia Midfielder
6.5
39
Koba Kakashvili
Koba Kakashvili
Midfielder46'
11
Mate Vatsadze
Mate Vatsadze Attacker
6.86
21
Daniel Kvartskhava
Daniel Kvartskhava
Attacker61'
6.46
12
Algassime Bah
Algassime Bah Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jean-Paul Kumbi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+6'
89'
Event
Reziko Danelia → Maxime Do Couto
9th Substitution
Event
Jean-Paul Kumbi → Loris Tinelli
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Mehdi Kirch → Almir Klica
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Stefan Rocha → Lenny Stoltz
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Hatim Far
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
71'
66'
Event
Tornike Kvaratskhelia → Paris Psaltis
5th Substitution
Event
Clément Couturier → Gianni Medina
3rd Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Daniel Kvartskhava → Mate Vatsadze
4th Substitution
Event
Cédric Steinmetz
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Koba Kakashvili → Luca Tsikolia
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jacques-Antoine Pelletier
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
24'
22'
Event
Paris Psaltis
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'
Event
Mate Vatsadze
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
2'
Event
Algassime Bah
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jean-Paul Kumbi.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Substitution Substitution
Rezi Danelia is substituted on for Maxime Do Couto Teixeira.
81
Update Update
Jean-Paul Kumbi comes on for Loris Tinelli.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Mehdi Kirch replaces Almir Klica.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stefan Lopes Rocha comes on for Lenny Stoltz.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
66
Substitution Substitution
Tornike Kvaratskhelia is substituted off for Paris Psaltis.
61
Update Update
Daniel Kvartskhava is on, and Mate Vatsadze is off.
60
Update Update
Clément Couturier comes on for Gianni Medina.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Koba Kakashvili is on, and Luca Tsikolia is off.
46
Update Update
Cedric Steinmetz replaces Jacques Antoine Pelletier.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Heini Vidoy.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mondorf-les-Bains 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Structural assessment: Dinamo Tbilisi exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.