Molde vs Tromsø preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sun, 16 Aug - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
MoldeMOL
TromsøTIL
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 3:00 PM
Round 18 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Molde host Tromsø at Aker Stadion in this Eliteserien regular season fixture from the 2026 campaign. The visitors hold a narrow overall power advantage and sit higher in the domestic standings. Tromsø occupy third place while Molde are positioned fifth. Form metrics also tilt toward the away side ahead of kickoff. Both teams will look to build momentum through structured play and disciplined organisation. Data on efficiency remains unavailable while set piece insights carry low confidence due to proxy usage. The encounter features two sides with established league pedigrees seeking to strengthen their positions. Tactical discipline and key individual contributions could shape the outcome in this competitive domestic matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde sit fifth in the Eliteserien table while Tromsø occupy third place.
  • Form: Tromsø hold a superior form score of 23.17 compared to Molde's 15.67.
  • Squad: Tromsø possess the higher power score at 73.24 against Molde's 68.08.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics for the fixture are currently unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition statistics remain unspecified in the provided data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Tromsø enter as the stronger team with a 5.2 point power advantage.
  • Market: Baseline split: Molde 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Tromsø 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde S. Tjelmeland
S. Tjelmeland
VS
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 56 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 66 D
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Brann Rank: 71 L
Aalesund Rank: 51 D
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 51 W
HamKam Rank: 64 W
Vålerenga Rank: 63 W
KFUM Rank: 61 D
Aalesund Rank: 51 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 86 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.08
73.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Tromsø
Power Score
68.08
73.24
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
348
212

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Tromsø

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde MOL Home
5 matches
Tromsø TIL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
9
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:22:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
P. Lervik
P. Lervik Goalkeeper
6.09
9
Jalal Abdullai
Jalal Abdullai Centre Forward
6.61
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
7.18
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Right Wing
7.32
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Attacking Midfield
7.31
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Defensive Midfield
7.4
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Right Back
6.75
26
Samukele Kabini
Samukele Kabini Left Back
6.92
30
Daniel Daga
Daniel Daga Defensive Midfield
7.16
21
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter Left Wing
6.78
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
6.95

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
6.94
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Midfielder
6.94
17
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist Midfielder
6.59
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Attacker
7.11
10
Troy Nyhammer
Troy Nyhammer Attacker
6.87
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Centre Back
7.06
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Central Midfield
7.19
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Central Midfield
6.92
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen Left Back
6.86
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Central Midfield
7.1
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Right Back
6.92

CONCLUSION

Tromsø carry a modest edge into this Eliteserien contest at Aker Stadion based on power ratings and league standing. Molde will rely on home support and structured organisation to counter the visitors' strengths. Both teams have shown capability in domestic competition this season. Limited set piece and efficiency data suggest coaches may prioritise core tactical elements. The match offers an opportunity for Tromsø to extend their advantage in the table while Molde aim to close the gap. Expect a measured contest defined by positional discipline and individual quality. Points from this fixture will influence mid table dynamics in the ongoing campaign.