Molde vs Sandefjord preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sat, 30 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde Molde
Sandefjord Sandefjord
KICKOFF : Sat, 30 May - 2:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Molde hosts Sandefjord at Aker Stadion in a regular season Eliteserien fixture during the 2026 campaign. The home side carries a power score of 65.23 and is identified as the stronger team with a 3.7 point advantage over the visitors on 61.49. Domestic league positions place Molde fifth and Sandefjord seventh. Form scores further separate the sides with Molde on 25.61 against Sandefjord on 15.22. Both clubs operate without recent outing details available. The contest unfolds as a standard league encounter where Molde seeks to leverage home conditions while Sandefjord aims to close the gap in the standings. Set piece information carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde holds a 3.7 point power advantage and is the stronger team overall.
  • Form: Molde leads with a form score of 25.61 compared to Sandefjord on 15.22.
  • Squad: Both squads compete in the domestic Eliteserien without further squad specifics available.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Molde is designated the stronger team based on power metrics.
  • Market: Molde 58.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22% (Δ+0%) | Sandefjord 19.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde M. Falk
M. Falk
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 W
Vålerenga Rank: 58 W
Start Rank: 51 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 L
Kristiansund Rank: 57 W
Aalesund Rank: 45 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Rosenborg Rank: 60 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 5 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Molde
58.7%
Draw
22.03%
Away Sandefjord
19.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.23
61.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Sandefjord
Power Score
65.23
61.49
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
328
434

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Molde Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Sandefjord

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde Molde Home
24 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
10
Wins
9
5
Draws
5
9
Losses
10
Goals
52
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
52
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-28T00:04:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Posiadała
22 A. Posiadała
H. Østervold Stenevik
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
S. Hansen
4 S. Hansen
B. Risa
33 B. Risa
M. Linnes
25 M. Linnes
V. Hoff
15 V. Hoff
M. Møller Dæhli
17 M. Møller Dæhli
E. Hestad
5 E. Hestad
E. Breivik
10 E. Breivik
S. Granaas
23 S. Granaas
F. Gulbrandsen
8 F. Gulbrandsen
E. Hadaya
30 E. Hadaya
V. Walle Egeli
3 V. Walle Egeli
X. Lambrix
44 X. Lambrix
Z. Smajlovic
2 Z. Smajlovic
F. Pedersen
4 F. Pedersen
J. Vester Nielsen
37 J. Vester Nielsen
M. Melchior
20 M. Melchior
S. Mørk
6 S. Mørk
R. Kristensen Alte
10 R. Kristensen Alte
N. Moller
11 N. Moller
E. Patoulidis
7 E. Patoulidis

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

22
Albert Posiadala
Albert Posiadala Goalkeeper
7.18
8
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Centre Forward
6.89
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Attacking Midfield
7.35
15
Vebjørn Hoff
Vebjørn Hoff Defensive Midfield
6.99
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
Mats Møller Dæhli Defensive Midfield
6.99
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Left Wing
6.93
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Left Back
6.76
18
Halldor Stenevik
Halldor Stenevik Right Back
7.04
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
7
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
7.49
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Right Wing
7.07

Starting XI

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
7.08
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Centre Forward
6.8
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Attacker
6.89
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Attacker
7.22
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Right Back
7.29
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Left Back
6.79
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Right Back
6.62
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Central Midfield
7.01
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Central Midfield
6.82
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Central Midfield
6.88
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Left Back
6.92

CONCLUSION

Molde enters the Aker Stadion meeting with clear edges in power and form that position them ahead of Sandefjord in the 2026 Eliteserien table. The visitors will look to exploit any lapses while maintaining their mid-table standing. Limited efficiency and transition details leave emphasis on overall team strength and home advantage. Set piece evaluations remain tentative due to data constraints. The encounter offers both sides an opportunity to influence their season trajectories through disciplined execution and tactical discipline across all phases of play.