Molde vs Sandefjord preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sat, 30 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde Molde
Sandefjord Sandefjord
KICKOFF : Sat, 30 May - 2:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Eliteserien regular season Molde welcomes Sandefjord to Aker Stadion for a mid-table clash between sides separated by just two places in the domestic standings. Molde currently occupies fifth position while Sandefjord sits seventh, setting up an encounter where small margins could prove decisive. The home side carries a modest power advantage and enters with markedly stronger recent form indicators. Both teams operate in a league phase where consistency across matches remains essential for climbing higher. Molde will look to use home familiarity to dictate tempo while Sandefjord seeks to exploit any lapses in concentration. The fixture offers a clear test of organization and execution under standard league conditions. Analytical focus rests on how each side manages transitions and maintains structure throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde sits fifth and Sandefjord seventh in the domestic league table.
  • Form: Molde holds a form score of 25.61 compared to Sandefjord's 15.22.
  • Squad: Squad depth details remain unavailable ahead of this regular season fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided in the current data set.
  • Transition: The match takes place at Aker Stadion during the 2026 Eliteserien season.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence and relies on proxy values for both sides.
  • xVariable: Molde records a power score of 65.25 against Sandefjord's 61.51.
  • Market: Projection split: Molde 58.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22% (Δ+0%) | Sandefjord 19.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde M. Falk
M. Falk
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 W
Vålerenga Rank: 58 W
Start Rank: 51 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 L
Kristiansund Rank: 57 W
Aalesund Rank: 42 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Rosenborg Rank: 60 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 5 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Molde
58.7%
Draw
22.03%
Away Sandefjord
19.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.25
61.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Sandefjord
Power Score
65.25
61.51
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
328
434

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Sandefjord

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde Molde Home
24 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
10
Wins
9
5
Draws
5
9
Losses
10
Goals
52
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
52
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-27T00:04:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Posiadała
22 A. Posiadała
H. Østervold Stenevik
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
S. Hansen
4 S. Hansen
B. Risa
33 B. Risa
M. Linnes
25 M. Linnes
V. Hoff
15 V. Hoff
M. Møller Dæhli
17 M. Møller Dæhli
E. Hestad
5 E. Hestad
E. Breivik
10 E. Breivik
S. Granaas
23 S. Granaas
F. Gulbrandsen
8 F. Gulbrandsen
E. Hadaya
30 E. Hadaya
V. Walle Egeli
3 V. Walle Egeli
X. Lambrix
44 X. Lambrix
Z. Smajlovic
2 Z. Smajlovic
F. Pedersen
4 F. Pedersen
J. Vester Nielsen
37 J. Vester Nielsen
M. Melchior
20 M. Melchior
S. Mørk
6 S. Mørk
R. Kristensen Alte
10 R. Kristensen Alte
N. Moller
11 N. Moller
E. Patoulidis
7 E. Patoulidis

General Information

Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Albert Posiadala
Albert Posiadala Goalkeeper
7.18
8
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Centre Forward
6.89
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Attacking Midfield
7.35
15
Vebjørn Hoff
Vebjørn Hoff Defensive Midfield
6.99
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
Mats Møller Dæhli Defensive Midfield
6.99
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Left Wing
6.93
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Left Back
6.76
18
Halldor Stenevik
Halldor Stenevik Right Back
7.04
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
7
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
7.49
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Right Wing
7.07

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
7.08
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Centre Forward
6.8
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Attacker
6.89
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Attacker
7.22
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Right Back
7.29
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Left Back
6.79
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Right Back
6.62
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Central Midfield
7.01
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Central Midfield
6.82
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Central Midfield
6.88
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Left Back
6.92

CONCLUSION

Molde enters as the slightly stronger side on the basis of power rating and form indicators yet the two-point gap in league position suggests a tightly contested affair. Sandefjord possesses enough quality to challenge for a result if it maintains defensive shape and capitalizes on counter opportunities. The absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics shifts attention toward overall structure and in-game adaptability. Home advantage at Aker Stadion offers Molde a platform to control proceedings but Sandefjord's mid-table standing indicates resilience on the road. Both teams will prioritize clean execution in open play to secure valuable points in the 2026 campaign. The encounter should reward disciplined organization over individual moments.