Molde vs Sandefjord preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion
Sat, 30 May - 2:00 PM
Round 11 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Molde defeated Sandefjord 2-1 at home with the halftime score at 1-0. Possession figures showed Molde at 51 percent and Sandefjord at 49 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. Molde entered as the stronger team and claimed the victory. Pre-match indicators reflected a 58.3 percent home probability alongside a 41.7 percent significant deviation attributed to Molde. Market alignment held true while efficiency shift remained in line with prior patterns. The absence of expected goals metrics left certain performance dimensions unquantified yet the result aligned with the stronger team's designation. Second half adjustments were minimal and the contest proceeded without knockout implications.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: The fixture recorded a significant 41.7 percent deviation associated with Molde.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with established benchmarks.
-
xG alignment: Outcome consistency with expected goals could not be assessed.
-
Market alignment: The result proved aligned with pre-match market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Expected goals values were not available for either team.
-
Event impact: Molde secured a 2-1 home win against Sandefjord.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and produced no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Haugen
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
T. Halsen
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Valstadsve
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Alnes Dyb
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Falk
VS
A. Tegström
1.45
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 59
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 56
W
Tromsø
Rank: 68
L
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 82
W
Vålerenga
Rank: 59
W
Start
Rank: 50
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad
Rank: 61
D
Lillestrøm
Rank: 57
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 57
W
Aalesund
Rank: 46
W
Tromsø
Rank: 68
L
Rosenborg
Rank: 61
D
10
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 5 - 9
9
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Molde
58.33%
Draw
21.96%
Sandefjord
19.71%
Movement
Changes since opening
Molde
-35.83%
Draw
+16.31%
Sandefjord
+19.52%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.78
60.91
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Sandefjord
Power Score
65.78
60.91
League Position
5
8
Global Rank
309
455
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Molde
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Molde Sandefjord
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Molde
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Sandefjord
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Molde
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sandefjord
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.88
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Molde
-0.53
Efficiency Index
vs
Sandefjord
+0.53
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Molde
Sandefjord
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Molde
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sandefjord
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Molde
Sandefjord
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Molde
Sandefjord
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Molde
Sandefjord
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Molde
vs
Sandefjord
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Molde
Sandefjord
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Molde
0.23
Sandefjord
0.26
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Molde
Sandefjord
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Molde
0.02
Sandefjord
0.03
Molde
Sandefjord
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Sandefjord had peak pressure around 85'.
- MOL started the game with stronger pressure.
MOL Pressure
Sandefjord Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
Sandefjord reached the top pressure at 85' (75.48).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Molde
MOL
Home
24
matches
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Away
Match Record
10
Wins
9
5
Draws
5
9
Losses
10
Goals
52
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
52
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-31T00:01:25+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-3-3
General Information
Date & Time
May 30, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Attendance
5112
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jørgen Haugen
Torgeir Halsen
Jørgen Rønning Valstadsve
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Next Match
Molde
vs
Aalesund
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Jul - 2:00 PM
Venue: Color Line Stadion
Sandefjord
vs
HamKam
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Jul - 3:00 PM
Venue: Komplett Arena
Statistics
Possession
MOL
49%
Sandefjord
51%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
1
0
Big Chances Created
1
4
Shots
5
61
Dangerous attacks
61
51
Possession
49
6
Corners
10
12
Free kicks
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
1
Injuries
0
5
Substitutions
5
8
Dribble Attempts
24
1
Assists
1
3
Successful Dribbles
10
38
Successful Dribbles Percentage
42
12
Goal Kicks
7
21
Throwins
18
8
Goal Attempts
12
80
Ball Safe
78
Attacking
91
Attacks
104
2
Counter Attacks
0
Possession
49
Long Passes
52
23
Successful Long Passes
30
47
Successful Long Passes Percentage
58
81
Successful Passes Percentage
84
477
Passes
450
386
Successful Passes
378
7
Key Passes
14
Defensive
17
Tackles
13
8
Interceptions
3
41
Duels Won
47
3
Saves
3
Build-up
3
Accurate Crosses
8
11
Total Crosses
24
Discipline
11
Fouls
12
1
Offsides
2
Lineup
Referee :
Jørgen Haugen
Manager ▼
M. Falk
Coach
Starting XI ▼
44Igor Fabian Gosik
6.53Attacker70'
Substitutes ▼
12
P. Lervik
Goalkeeper
14
Jacob Christensen
Midfielder
31
Blerton Isufi
Midfielder
24
Trent Kone Doherty
Attacker
Referee :
Jørgen Haugen
Manager ▼
A. Tegström
Coach
Starting XI ▼
5Gustav Höjbjerg
Defender87'
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
Penalty cancelled
90+7'
90+6'
4th Yellowcard
3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
2nd Yellowcard
89'
Header / 3rd Goal
87'
Gustav Höjbjerg → Vetle Walle Egeli
10th Substitution
9th Substitution
85'
77'
8th Substitution
Igor Fabian Gosik → Fredrik Gulbrandsen
5th Substitution
70'
6th Substitution
70'
7th Substitution
70'
66'
1st Yellowcard
65'
2nd Substitution
65'
3rd Substitution
65'
4th Substitution
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
57'
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'
CONCLUSION
Molde maintained control after the opening goal and added a second to seal the 2-1 margin. Sandefjord responded once but could not equalize despite comparable possession. The significant deviation noted for the home side did not alter the overall alignment with market signals. Efficiency metrics followed expected trajectories without notable second half shifts. Lack of expected goals data limited deeper structural comparisons yet the final outcome matched the pre-match stronger team designation. Absence of dismissals ensured the scoreline reflected standard playing conditions throughout both halves.
