Molde vs Brann preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sat, 18 Jul - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde Molde
Brann SKB
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Jul - 4:00 PM
Round 14 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Eliteserien regular season Molde welcomes Brann to Aker Stadion for a domestic league encounter. Molde currently occupies fifth position in the standings while Brann sits eighth. Brann carries a narrow overall power edge of 2.1 points reflected in respective scores of 68.82 and 66.74. Molde nevertheless shows markedly stronger recent form at 25.94 compared with Brann's 15.06. Detailed efficiency figures remain unavailable for either side. Set-piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data. The fixture therefore pits Molde's home setting and current momentum against Brann's marginal structural superiority in an open contest. Both teams will look to exploit transitions and structured build-up where possible.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde sits fifth domestically while Brann occupies eighth place.
  • Form: Molde records a form score of 25.94 against Brann's 15.06.
  • Squad: Brann holds the stronger overall power rating at 68.82.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided for either side ahead of the match.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Brann holds a power advantage of 2.1 points over Molde.
  • Market: Projection split: Molde 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Brann 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde S. Tjelmeland
S. Tjelmeland
VS
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 47 D
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 L
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Tromsø Rank: 70 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 52 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Aalesund Rank: 48 L
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Molde
0%
Draw
0%
Away Brann
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.74
68.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Brann
Power Score
66.74
68.82
League Position
5
8
Global Rank
321
263

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Brann

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde Molde Home
4 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
12
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-14T00:10:46+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Posiadała
22 A. Posiadała
H. Østervold Stenevik
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
I. Amundsen
6 I. Amundsen
B. Risa
33 B. Risa
M. Linnes
25 M. Linnes
E. Breivik
10 E. Breivik
M. Møller Dæhli
17 M. Møller Dæhli
E. Hestad
5 E. Hestad
S. Granaas
23 S. Granaas
O. Spiten-Nysæter
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
T. Doherty
24 T. Doherty
M. Dyngeland
1 M. Dyngeland
J. Soltvedt
17 J. Soltvedt
V. Winger Dragsnes
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
F. Pallesen Knudsen
3 F. Pallesen Knudsen
M. Hellan
2 M. Hellan
F. Horn Myhre
8 F. Horn Myhre
T. Pedersen
23 T. Pedersen
N. Jensen Wassberg
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
B. Finne
11 B. Finne
K. Eriksen
16 K. Eriksen
K. Ingason
10 K. Ingason

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 18, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Albert Posiadala
Albert Posiadala Goalkeeper
7.09
24
Trent Kone Doherty
Trent Kone Doherty Centre Forward
6.77
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Right Wing
7.21
6
Isak Helstad Amundsen
Isak Helstad Amundsen Right Back
6.55
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Defensive Midfield
7.28
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Attacking Midfield
7.08
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
Mats Møller Dæhli Defensive Midfield
6.93
18
Halldor Stenevik
Halldor Stenevik Right Back
6.99
21
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter Left Wing
6.81
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Left Back
6.75
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
6.96

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
6.51
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne Attacker
6.93
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Centre Forward
6.66
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Attacker
7
2
Martin Hellan
Martin Hellan Right Back
6.22
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Right Back
6.82
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Left Back
7
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Left Back
6.75
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Central Midfield
6.75
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Central Midfield
6.52
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Central Midfield
6.89

CONCLUSION

Molde will rely on its superior form and home environment to counter Brann's slight structural edge. With efficiency and set-piece details limited the contest may hinge on open play and individual quality. Brann must improve its recent output to capitalise on its narrow power lead. Molde's higher league position offers a platform for control if it maintains momentum. Both sides face uncertainty from missing advanced metrics yet the match remains balanced. Expect a competitive encounter shaped by current form trends and positional standings rather than detailed statistical edges.