Modena vs Reggiana preview
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
In Serie B's regular season at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena welcomes local rivals Reggiana in a matchup with clear stakes. Modena, perched at 6th in the standings, leverages a superior power score of 56.91 against Reggiana's 47.34, translating to a 9.6-point advantage that highlights their structural dominance. Despite Reggiana's marginally better recent form score of 14 versus Modena's 11.72, the home team's higher league position and venue familiarity tilt the balance. This Derby dell'Emilia pits Modena's consistency against Reggiana's fight from 18th place. With advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces limited by unavailable xG data, focus shifts to power ratings and positional strength, where Modena excels. Reggiana must defy the gap to earn points.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Modena possesses a 9.6-point power advantage with scores of 56.91 to Reggiana's 47.34.
-
Form: Reggiana holds a slight recent form edge at 14 compared to Modena's 11.72.
-
Squad: Modena ranks 6th in Serie B while Reggiana sits 18th.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
-
Transition: Transition play data is not available for either team.
-
Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data as xG is unavailable.
-
xVariable: xG variables are not available due to data limitations.
-
Market: Baseline split: Modena 57.9% (Δ+1.3%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ-0.9%) | Reggiana 18.6% (Δ-0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
A. Sottil
VS
P. Bisoli
1.19
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.73
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza
Rank: 66
L
Frosinone
Rank: 65
L
Catanzaro
Rank: 60
D
Südtirol
Rank: 55
D
Bari 1908
Rank: 49
L
Mantova
Rank: 54
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo
Rank: 64
D
Calcio Padova
Rank: 48
L
Carrarese
Rank: 55
W
Pescara
Rank: 49
L
Virtus Entella
Rank: 49
L
Monza
Rank: 67
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Modena
57.85%
Draw
23.6%
Reggiana
18.56%
Movement
Changes since opening
Modena
+1.26%
Draw
-0.9%
Reggiana
-0.36%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.91
47.34
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Modena
Reggiana
Power Score
56.91
47.34
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
583
851
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Modena
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Reggiana
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Modena Reggiana
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Modena
MOD
Home
5
matches
Reggiana
Reggiana
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-01T12:30:47+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-5-2
Match Formation
4-3-2-1
22 M. Pezzolato
77 D. Tonoli
19 S. Nador
20 B. Nieling
7 F. Zampano
17 Y. Massolin
16 F. Gerli
18 N. Pyyhtiä
98 L. Zanimacchia
99 M. De Luca
10 G. Ambrosino
1 A. Micai
43 S. Bonetti
47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi
34 F. Vicari
26 M. Bertagnoli
17 L. Libutti
57 L. Belardinelli
80 N. Girma
90 M. Portanova
93 M. Lambourde
11 C. Gondo
General Information
Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Capacity
21092
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pasquale Capaldo
Dario Garzelli
Niccolò Turrini
Rosario Abisso
Next Match
Modena
vs
Avellino
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Reggiana
vs
Sampdoria
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Lineup
Referee :
Rosario Abisso
Manager ▼
A. Sottil
Coach
Starting XI ▼
22
Michele Pezzolato
Goalkeeper
7.13 19
Steven Nador
Defender
6.99 20
Bryant Nieling
Defender
6.94 77
Daniel Tonoli
Defender
7.13 7
Francesco Zampano
Midfielder
6.76 16
Fabio Gerli
Midfielder
6.86 17
Yanis Massolin
Midfielder
6.94 18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Midfielder
6.76 98
Luca Zanimacchia
Midfielder
6.94 10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Attacker
6.94 99
Manuel De Luca
Attacker
6.83 Substitutes ▼
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
Goalkeeper
2
Gady Beyuku
Defender
6.59 25
Alessandro Dellavalle
Defender
6.94 28
Davide Adorni
Defender
6.85 29
Matteo Cotali
Defender
6.63 33
Cristian Căuz
Defender
6.46 5
Alessandro Sersanti
Midfielder
6.88 8
Simone Santoro
Midfielder
7.09 71
Samuel Wiafe
Midfielder
6.63 11
Pedro Mendes
Attacker
6.72 24
Edoardo Colpo
Attacker
6.45 90
Antonio Imputato
Attacker
6.59
Referee :
Rosario Abisso
Manager ▼
P. Bisoli
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Alessandro Micai
Goalkeeper
6.93 26
Massimo Bertagnoli
Defender
6.73 34
Francesco Vicari
Defender
6.67 43
Simone Bonetti
Defender
6.49 47
Mateus Lusuardi
Defender
6.66 17
Lorenzo Libutti
Midfielder
6.56 57
Luca Belardinelli
Midfielder
6.49 80
Natan Girma
Midfielder
6.9 90
Manolo Portanova
Midfielder
6.91 11
Cedric Gondo
Attacker
6.83 Substitutes ▼
45
Matteo Cardinali
Goalkeeper
14
Danilo Quaranta
Defender
6.51 31
Mario Sampirisi
Defender
6.45 33
Alessandro Tripaldelli
Defender
6.56 6
Francesco Vallarelli
Midfielder
6.5 8
Charlys
Midfielder
6.76 10
Kleis Bozhanaj
Midfielder
6.6 16
Tobías Reinhart
Midfielder
7 9
Andrija Novakovich
Attacker
6.66 77
Tommaso Fumagalli
Attacker
6.83 CONCLUSION
Modena's power superiority and home advantage at Stadio Alberto Braglia position them to dominate Reggiana, despite the visitors' better form score. The 9.6-point gap in power ratings, combined with Modena's 6th-place standing versus Reggiana's 18th, suggests control and likely victory. Reggiana's resilience in recent games offers hope, but lacking advanced metrics like efficiency or set pieces, traditional strengths favor the hosts. This derby could see Modena extend their edge, securing points crucial for top-six aspirations while Reggiana battles relegation pressures.
