Mjällby vs Lincoln Red Imps preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Strandvallen Tue, 21 Jul - 4:00 PM
Champions League
MjällbyMJA
3 0
Lincoln Red ImpsLRI
Full Time Tue, 21 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Áki Samuelsen - 18', 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Mjällby 3–0 Lincoln Red Imps. The result saw Mjällby take the points. Mjällby showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Mjällby 3-0 Lincoln Red Imps. Mjällby showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. De Gabriele
M. De Gabriele
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Scerri
M. Scerri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Castillo
D. Castillo
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Daniel Casha
Daniel Casha
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Lincoln Red Imps J. Pavón Domínguez
J. Pavón Domínguez
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Club d'Escaldes Rank: D
Inter Club d'Escaldes Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mjällby
82.4%
Draw
11.6%
Away Lincoln Red Imps
6%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mjällby
-13.83%
Draw
+9.71%
Lincoln Red Imps
+4.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.54
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Lincoln Red Imps
Power Score
21.54
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Lincoln Red Imps — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Lincoln Red Imps

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lincoln Red Imps

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lincoln Red Imps
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.76
16.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.35
29.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby +1.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Lincoln Red Imps -1.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Lincoln Red Imps
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lincoln Red Imps
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Lincoln Red Imps
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Lincoln Red Imps
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Lincoln Red Imps
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mjällby
vs
Lincoln Red Imps
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Lincoln Red Imps
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby 0.20
Lincoln Red Imps 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Lincoln Red Imps
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby 0.00
Lincoln Red Imps 0.04
Mjällby
Lincoln Red Imps
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MJA had peak pressure around 83'.
  • MJA started the game with stronger pressure.
MJA Pressure LRI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MJA reached the top pressure at 83' (57.25).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 21, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Attendance
3523
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matthew De Gabriele
Mitchell Scerri
David Castillo
Daniel Casha

Statistics

Possession
MJA
60%
LRI
40%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
11 Shots 2
75 Dangerous attacks 41
63 Possession 37
3 Corners 7
17 Free kicks 20
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
30 Throwins 19

Attacking

112 Attacks 75

Defensive

2 Saves 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Matthew De Gabriele

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
6.49
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal
Defender62'
6.5
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
6.5
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
6.5
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.5
8
Teo Helge
Teo Helge
Midfielder69'
6.5
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.61
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
6.5
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder77'
6.5
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson (C) Midfielder
6.61
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
6.5
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh
Attacker62'
6.5
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.86
9
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef
Midfielder77'
6.5
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
2
6.82
Referee : Matthew De Gabriele

Starting XI ▼

13
Jaylan Hankins
Jaylan Hankins Goalkeeper
5.68
3
Christian Rutjens
Christian Rutjens Defender
5.88
5
Gabri Cardozo
Gabri Cardozo Defender
5.88
6
Bernardo Lopes
Bernardo Lopes (C) Defender
5.88
66
Julliani Eersteling
Julliani Eersteling Defender
5.88
8
Mandi
Mandi Midfielder
6.13
4
Nico Clara Pinto
Nico Clara Pinto
Midfielder80'
6.5
18
Toni García
Toni García Midfielder
6.18
10
Álex Mula
Álex Mula
Midfielder61'
6.5
21
Nano
Nano Midfielder
6.18
23
Joe
Joe Midfielder
6.18
9
Kike Gómez
Kike Gómez Attacker
6.38
19
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Attacker62'
6.5
44
Manu Toledano
Manu Toledano Attacker
6.38
32
Facundo Álvarez
Facundo Álvarez
Attacker72'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
80'
Event
Nico Clara Pinto → Mandi
9th Substitution
Event
Olle Lindberg → Elliot Stroud
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Ali Youssef → Jacob Bergström
8th Substitution
77'
72'
Event
Facundo Álvarez → Manu Toledano
6th Substitution
Event
Teo Helge → Viktor Gustafson
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Goalkeeper save
66'
Event
Abdullah Iqbal → Ludvig Svanberg
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Abdoulie Manneh → Jeppe Kjær
4th Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi → Kike Gómez
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Álex Mula → Toni García
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Mandi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ludvig Svanberg
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
Event
Jacob Bergström
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
31'
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Field Goal / 1st Goal
18'

Match Commentary

88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Nico Pinto comes on for Armando Mandi.
77
Update Update
Olle Lindberg comes on for Elliot Stroud.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ali Youssef comes on for Jacob Bergstrom.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Teo Helge is on, Jesper Gustavsson is off.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved by Aki Samuelsen.
63
Update Update
Alex Mula is on, and Toni Garcia is off.
62
Substitution Substitution
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi is substituted off for Enrique Gomez Bernal, also known as Kike.
62
Update Update
Abdoulie Manneh comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
62
Substitution Substitution
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi is substituted off for Enrique Gomez Bernal, also known as Kike.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Armando Mandi.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ludvig Svanberg receives a yellow card.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jacob Bergstrom scores, making it 3-0.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aki Samuelsen scores, making it 2-0.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Matthew De Gabriele.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mjällby 3-0 Lincoln Red Imps. Structural assessment: Mjällby exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.