Mjällby vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strandvallen
Allsvenskan
MjällbyMJA
4 3
SiriusSIR
Full Time
Round 17 Regular Season
Olle Lindberg - 46', 87'
Jacob Bergström - 54', 77'
Goal
|
Goal
Otso Liimatta - 6', 24'

CONTEXT

Mjällby hosted Sirius in a match that concluded with a 4-3 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 0-3 in favor of the visitors. Sirius entered as the stronger side yet finished on the losing end after Mjällby produced a second-half turnaround. Home possession reached 53 percent against 47 percent for the away side. Expected goals registered 1.48 for Mjällby and 1.75 for Sirius, creating a differential of minus 0.27. No red cards were shown to either team. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG projections while showing a significant deviation attributed to Mjällby.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mjällby recorded a significant deviation by winning as the team that outperformed expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final result achieved by Mjällby.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was not consistent with xG as Mjällby won despite lower expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations according to available indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations pointed to Sirius but Mjällby delivered the 4-3 victory.
  • Event impact: Mjällby overcame a 0-3 halftime deficit to secure the 4-3 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore produced no distortion in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Ladebäck
A. Ladebäck
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yng
D. Yng
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Hasani
F. Hasani
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.63
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 59 L
Kalmar Rank: 53 L
Västerås SK Rank: 53 D
AIK Rank: 60 L
Sirius Rank: 68 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 D
Halmstad Rank: 49 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 57 W
Elfsborg Rank: 61 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 W
Mjällby Rank: 67 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.81
68.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Sirius
Power Score
66.81
68.44
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
346
305

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.98
42.77
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.77
31.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby -1.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius +1.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby
vs
Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
6%
15%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.09 vs -0.27
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
15%
6%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.27 vs -0.09
Mjällby
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mjällby
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby 0.24
Sirius 0.43
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby 0.07
Sirius 0.07
Mjällby
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 17'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
MJA Pressure SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 17' (85.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mjällby MJA Home
5 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
12
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
1.60
xG
2.40
2.40
xGA
1.60

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:00:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 17 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adam Ladebäck
Daniel Yng
Anton Sjöberg
Fidan Hasani

Statistics

Possession
MJA
52%
SIR
48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 6
59 Dangerous attacks 42
53 Possession 47
7 Corners 8
11 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 77
8 Goal Kicks 11
11 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 14
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Assists 0
17 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Successful Dribbles 5
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

71 Attacks 75

Possession

62 Long Passes 62
412 Passes 377
333 Successful Passes 299
81 Successful Passes Percentage 79
8 Key Passes 10
31 Successful Long Passes 18
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

2 Saves 2
13 Tackles 20
8 Interceptions 9
38 Duels Won 44

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 8
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.14
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
5.36
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen
Defender46'
6.59
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
5.93
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
7.29
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.19
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.56
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen
Defender46'
7.28
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson (C) Midfielder
6.56
26
Ian Hoffmann
Ian Hoffmann Midfielder
6.48
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder46'
2
8.07
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
6.89
9
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef
Attacker76'
6.25
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
2
8.3
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
8.15
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand
Midfielder84'
6.42
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
5.83
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
6.34
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
5.92
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
6.66
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6.1
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
6.8
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
5.62
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
6.5
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder58'
6.27
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
7.99
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu
Attacker83'
6.44
16
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta Attacker
2
8.66
36
August Ljungberg
August Ljungberg
Attacker26'
6.78
19
Noel Milleskog
Noel Milleskog Attacker
6.68
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson
Attacker58'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Olle Lindberg
Header / 7th Goal
87'
Event
Ludvig Tidstrand → Áki Samuelsen
9th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Odera Samuel Adindu → Isak Bjerkebo
8th Substitution
Event
Jacob Bergström
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
77'
Event
Ali Youssef → Jeppe Kjær
7th Substitution
76'
58'
Event
Charlie Nildén → Victor Svensson
5th Substitution
58'
Event
Joakim Persson → Noel Milleskog
6th Substitution
Event
Jacob Bergström
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
54'
Event
Tony Miettinen
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
53'
50'
Event
Tobias Anker
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Olle Lindberg
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
46'
Event
Olle Lindberg → Ian Hoffmann
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Tony Miettinen → Ludvig Svanberg
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Max Nielsen → Villiam Granath
4th Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Oscar Krusnell
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Isak Bjerkebo
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Jacob Bergström
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
26'
Event
August Ljungberg → Otso Liimatta
1st Substitution
24'
Event
Otso Liimatta
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
Event
Melker Heier
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
6'
Event
Otso Liimatta
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match Ends！ 4-3
90
Corner Corner
Corner
87
Update Update
Match Ends！ 4-3
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 4-3
85
Corner Corner
Corner
84
Update Update
On Ludvig Tidstrand，Off Aki Samuelsen
83
Update Update
On Odera Samuel Adindu，Off Isak Bjerkebo
81
Corner Corner
Corner
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Jacob Bergstrom Right Footed Shot Goal
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-3
76
Corner Corner
Corner
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-3
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-3
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jacob Bergstrom Head Shot Missed
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joakim Persson Head Shot Missed
72
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tony Miettinen Right Footed Shot Missed
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isak Bjerkebo Right Footed Shot Missed
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Henrik Castegren Right Footed Shot Saved
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joakim Persson Right Footed Shot Blocked
61
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Aki Samuelsen Right Footed Shot Blocked
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Update Update
On Charlie Nilden，Off Victor Svensson
58
Update Update
Joakim Persson comes on for Noel Milleskog.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Jacob Bergstrom Left Footed Shot Goal
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-3
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
46
Update Update
Olle Lindberg is on, and Ian Hoffmann is off.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
45
Attempt Attempt
Aki Samuelsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
44
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at 0-3.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Isak Bjerkebo with his right foot results in a goal.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-3.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jesper Gustavsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacob Bergstrom receives a yellow card.
26
Update Update
On, August Ljungberg replaces Otso Liimatta.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
22
Attempt Attempt
Villiam Granath takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
12
Attempt Attempt
Villiam Granath takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Isak Bjerkebo with his right foot is blocked.
9
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
7
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Otso Liimatta with his right foot results in a goal.
6
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Otso Liimatta scores, making it 0-1.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Adam Ladeback.

CONCLUSION

The 4-3 result highlighted how second-half adjustments allowed Mjällby to overcome an early deficit despite trailing in expected goals and entering as the weaker side. Sirius controlled more of the projected quality yet could not maintain the lead established by halftime. Possession edges proved secondary to the efficiency displayed after the interval. Absence of dismissals kept the contest at full strength throughout both periods. The significant deviation by the home side underscores the gap between projected and actual outcomes in this fixture. Overall the data shows a clear separation between pre-match indicators and the final classification.