Mirassol vs Palmeiras preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Serie A
MirassolMIR
PalmeirasPAL
KICKOFF :
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Mirassol welcome Palmeiras to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia for a Serie A regular season fixture in 2026. The home side currently sit seventeenth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy first place. Palmeiras carry a clear power advantage of 12.3 points and are identified as the stronger team overall. Their form score of 21.89 also exceeds Mirassol's 15.28, underlining greater consistency in recent matches. Both teams operate without recent outing details and efficiency figures remain unavailable. Set piece information carries low confidence and depends on proxy data. Palmeiras will look to impose their superior structure and squad depth on the contest while Mirassol seek to exploit home conditions to close the gap in the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Palmeiras hold a 12.3 point power advantage and sit first in the league compared to Mirassol in seventeenth.
  • Form: Palmeiras post a stronger form score of 21.89 against Mirassol's 15.28.
  • Squad: Palmeiras are designated the stronger side with a higher overall power score of 75.55.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data is not supplied in the current information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxy data.
  • xVariable: The xVariable identifies Palmeiras as the stronger team with superior power metrics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mirassol R. Silva Guanaes
R. Silva Guanaes
VS
Palmeiras A. Moreira Ferreira
A. Moreira Ferreira
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 57 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
Grêmio Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 W
Fluminense Rank: 67 L
Internacional Rank: 64 D
Vitória Rank: 61 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 66 L
Coritiba Rank: 60 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.29
75.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Power Score
63.29
75.55
League Position
17
1
Global Rank
451
126

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirassol — Opponent-weighted form score
Palmeiras — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirassol Palmeiras

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirassol MIR Home
3 matches
Palmeiras PAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:59:50+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
João Vitor Gobi
Evandro de Melo Lima
Luiz Alberto Andrini Nogueira
Roger Goulart

Expected Lineup

Referee : João Vitor Gobi

Starting XI ▼

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
6.79
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Midfielder
6.94
33
Eduardo
Eduardo Midfielder
6.65
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Midfielder
6.89
77
Alesson
Alesson Midfielder
6.79
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Centre Forward
6.65
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Left Back
7.04
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura Central Midfield
6.82
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti Central Midfield
6.77
44
Gabriel
Gabriel Right Back
6.8
34
João Victor
João Victor Centre Back
6.95
Referee : João Vitor Gobi

Starting XI ▼

1
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper
7
7
Felipe Anderson
Felipe Anderson Midfielder
6.82
18
Mauricio
Mauricio Midfielder
6.94
9
Vitor Roque
Vitor Roque Attacker
6.92
42
José Manuel López
José Manuel López Attacker
7.15
4
Agustín Giay
Agustín Giay Right Back
6.82
17
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas Central Midfield
7.08
8
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira Central Midfield
7.27
56
Arthur Gabriel
Arthur Gabriel Left Back
6.73
26
Murilo
Murilo Right Back
6.93
2
Alexander Barboza
Alexander Barboza Left Back
6.73

CONCLUSION

Palmeiras enter this fixture as clear favourites given their league position and power edge. Mirassol will rely on home support and a compact defensive shape to frustrate the leaders. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece numbers limits deeper tactical insight yet the overall profile points to a controlled performance from the away side. Palmeiras possess greater squad resources and recent form momentum that should allow them to dictate tempo. Mirassol must remain organised and look for opportunities on the break if they are to claim a positive result. Expect the visitors to manage the game with discipline while searching for openings through structured build up play.