Mirassol vs Flamengo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia Today - 9:30 PM
Serie A
MirassolMIR
FlamengoFLA
KICKOFF : Today - 9:30 PM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Mirassol host Flamengo at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in a Serie A regular season fixture during the 2026 campaign. The home side sits 15th in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy second place. Flamengo enter as the stronger side according to power metrics with a score of 75.43 compared to Mirassol's 63.98 creating an 11.5 point advantage. Form scores show Mirassol slightly ahead at 23.28 against Flamengo's 21. Both teams operate without recent outing details available and efficiency figures remain unspecified. Set piece analysis lacks xG depth with proxy data indicating low confidence levels. The encounter pits a mid-table host against a title-chasing away side in what promises to be a test of structure and organisation.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Flamengo hold an 11.5 point power advantage and sit 13 places above Mirassol in the league table.
  • Form: Mirassol post a form score of 23.28 while Flamengo register 21 ahead of the fixture.
  • Squad: Flamengo are identified as the stronger team entering this league contest.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Mirassol and Flamengo.
  • Transition: Transition data is not detailed in the provided match inputs.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG metrics remain unavailable with low confidence proxy data applied.
  • xVariable: Power scores indicate Flamengo lead by 11.5 points over the home side.
  • Market: Baseline split: Mirassol 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Flamengo 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mirassol R. Silva Guanaes
R. Silva Guanaes
VS
Flamengo J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 59 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 W
Athletico PR Rank: 66 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 63 D
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 52 W
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.98
75.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirassol
Flamengo
Power Score
63.98
75.43
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
434
143

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirassol — Opponent-weighted form score
Flamengo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirassol Flamengo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirassol MIR Home
2 matches
Flamengo FLA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:20:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 09:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Bruno Raphael Pires
Tiago Augusto Kappes Diel
José Mendonça da Silva Jr.

Expected Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
6.81
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Centre Forward
6.58
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura Defensive Midfield
6.82
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Right Back
7.02
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Left Back
7.09
5
Japa
Japa Defensive Midfield
6.44
33
Eduardo
Eduardo Attacking Midfield
6.64
34
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
6.95
77
Alesson
Alesson Left Wing
6.81
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Left Back
6.92
95
Edson Carioca
Edson Carioca Right Wing
6.65
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
7
9
Pedro
Pedro Centre Forward
7.35
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Defensive Midfield
6.92
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Attacking Midfield
7.17
2
Guillermo Varela
Guillermo Varela Right Back
6.93
16
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino Left Wing
7.2
3
Léo Ortiz
Léo Ortiz Right Back
6.98
6
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas Left Back
6.71
21
Jorginho
Jorginho Defensive Midfield
7.07
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira Left Back
7.21
19
Gonzalo Plata
Gonzalo Plata Right Wing
7.01

CONCLUSION

Flamengo arrive with superior league standing and overall power metrics that position them as favourites on paper. Mirassol will look to exploit home conditions and their marginally higher form score to disrupt the visitors rhythm. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for on-field adjustments once play begins. The absence of recent outing information adds an element of unpredictability to both lineups. Flamengo's higher placement suggests they possess the squad depth to control proceedings but Mirassol's structural setup at their familiar venue could produce a competitive opening. Expect a match defined by positional discipline and opportunistic moments rather than open exchanges.