Mirassol vs Flamengo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Serie A
MirassolMIR
1 5
FlamengoFLA
Full Time
Round 23 Regular Season
João Victor - 77'
Goal
|
Goal
Luiz Araújo - 53'
Pedro - 56', 66'
Samuel Lino - 74'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo. The result saw Flamengo take the points. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Mirassol 1.4 – 3.2 Flamengo. Possession was 43%–57%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Mirassol 1-5 Flamengo. Flamengo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Klein
R. Klein
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Pires
B. Pires
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Kappes Diel
T. Kappes Diel
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mendonça da Silva Jr.
J. Mendonça da Silva Jr.
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mirassol R. Silva Guanaes
R. Silva Guanaes
VS
Flamengo J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 59 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 W
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Internacional Rank: 63 D
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 52 W
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.12
75.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirassol
Flamengo
Power Score
63.12
75.43
League Position
16
2
Global Rank
461
143

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirassol — Opponent-weighted form score
Flamengo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirassol Flamengo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mirassol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Flamengo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mirassol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Flamengo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.37
29.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.91
43.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mirassol +1.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Flamengo -1.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mirassol
Flamengo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mirassol
vs
Flamengo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mirassol Flamengo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.35 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mirassol Flamengo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.35
Mirassol
Flamengo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mirassol
vs
Flamengo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mirassol Flamengo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mirassol 0.30
Flamengo 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mirassol Flamengo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mirassol 0.12
Flamengo 0.02
Mirassol
Flamengo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FLA had peak pressure around 34'.
  • FLA started the game with stronger pressure.
MIR Pressure FLA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FLA reached the top pressure at 34' (92.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirassol MIR Home
2 matches
Flamengo FLA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-17T00:14:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Bruno Raphael Pires
Tiago Augusto Kappes Diel
José Mendonça da Silva Jr.

Statistics

Possession
MIR
45%
FLA
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 5
2 Big Chances Created 6
8 Shots 2
53 Dangerous attacks 41
43 Possession 57
4 Corners 3
4 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

47 Ball Safe 61
4 Goal Kicks 9
11 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 13
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Successful Headers 6
1 Assists 4
1 Injuries 2
14 Dribble Attempts 13
6 Successful Dribbles 5
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

94 Attacks 80
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

24 Long Passes 45
397 Passes 540
346 Successful Passes 469
87 Successful Passes Percentage 87
15 Key Passes 12
11 Successful Long Passes 27
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

3 Saves 3
12 Tackles 26
6 Interceptions 12
31 Duels Won 46

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 10
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
5.41
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Defender
6.39
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Defender
6.49
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Defender
6.02
34
João Victor
João Victor (C) Defender
6.62
8
Denilson
Denilson Midfielder
6.32
5
Japa
Japa
Midfielder54'
6.42
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti Midfielder
6.78
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura
Midfielder54'
6.66
80
Wallisson
Wallisson Midfielder
6.45
33
Eduardo
Eduardo
Midfielder46'
6.49
17
Fernandinho
Fernandinho Attacker
6.53
19
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva
Midfielder69'
6.27
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Attacker
6.94
95
Edson Carioca
Edson Carioca Attacker
6.15
77
Alesson
Alesson
Attacker17'
6.54
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

1
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper
6.69
2
Guillermo Varela
Guillermo Varela Defender
7.44
4
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira (C) Defender
6.8
6
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas Defender
7.63
77
Johnny Monteiro Góes
Johnny Monteiro Góes
Defender69'
6.38
13
Danilo
Danilo Defender
6.85
5
Erick Pulgar
Erick Pulgar Midfielder
6.83
52
Evertton Araújo
Evertton Araújo
Midfielder63'
6.53
7
Luiz Araújo
Luiz Araújo Midfielder
7.42
16
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
Midfielder63'
6.99
15
Jorge Carrascal
Jorge Carrascal Midfielder
9.44
19
Gonzalo Plata
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder
7.41
21
Jorginho
Jorginho
Midfielder63'
6.75
20
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá Midfielder
7.67
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Midfielder74'
6.96
9
Pedro
Pedro Attacker
2
8.35

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Neto Moura
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Event
João Victor
Header / 6th Goal
77'
74'
Event
Samuel Lino
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
74'
Event
Giorgian de Arrascaeta → Lucas Paquetá
10th Substitution
Event
Gustavo Silva → Fernandinho
9th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Johnny Monteiro Góes → Ayrton Lucas
8th Substitution
66'
Event
Pedro
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
63'
Event
Evertton Araújo → Erick Pulgar
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Jorginho → Gonzalo Plata
6th Substitution
63'
Event
Samuel Lino → Luiz Araújo
7th Substitution
56'
Event
Pedro
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Japa → Denilson
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Neto Moura → Gustavo Cazonatti
4th Substitution
54'
53'
Event
Luiz Araújo
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Gustavo Cazonatti
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
Event
Eduardo  → Wallisson
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Denilson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+3'
22'
Event
Jorge Carrascal
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Alesson → Edson Carioca
1st Substitution
17'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Left Footed Shot Missed
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Antonio Francisco Moura Neto
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Right Footed Shot Missed
80
Update Update
Offside
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Left Footed Shot Blocked
78
Corner Corner
Corner
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Carroll Santana Joao Victor Head Shot Goal
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Carroll Santana Joao Victor 1-5
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gustavo Mosquito Right Footed Shot Blocked
74
Update Update
On Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti，Off Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Samuel Dias Lino Left Footed Shot Goal
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Samuel Dias Lino 0-5，Assist：Giorgian De Arrascaeta Benedetti
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves Right Footed Shot Missed
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Reinaldo Manoel da Silva Left Footed Shot Missed
69
Update Update
On Gustavo Mosquito，Off Fernando José Marques Maciel
69
Update Update
On Johnny Goes，Off Ayrton Ayrton Dantas de Medeiros
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Right Footed Shot Goal
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-4
63
Update Update
On Evertton Araujo，Off Eric Pulgar
63
Update Update
On Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho，Off Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez
63
Update Update
On Samuel Dias Lino，Off Luiz De Araujo Guimaraes Neto
61
Corner Corner
Corner
60
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Santos Head Shot Missed
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves Left Footed Shot Saved
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Right Footed Shot Goal
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos 0-3，Assist：Ayrton Ayrton Dantas de Medeiros
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos 0-3
55
Update Update
On Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir，Off Denilson Alves Borges
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Luiz De Araujo Guimaraes Neto Left Footed Shot Goal
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Luiz De Araujo Guimaraes Neto Left Footed Shot Goal
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Luiz De Araujo Guimaraes Neto 0-2，Assist：Jorge Carrascal
50
Update Update
Offside
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima Left Footed Shot Missed
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luiz De Araujo Guimaraes Neto Left Footed Shot Blocked
46
Update Update
On Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves，Off Wallisson Luiz
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Denilson Alves Borges
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Willian Estefani Machado Head Shot Saved
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima Right Footed Shot Blocked
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Santos Right Footed Shot Saved
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Head Shot Saved
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Head Shot Saved
35
Corner Corner
Corner
34
Update Update
Offside
34
Update Update
Offside
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jorge Carrascal Right Footed Shot Saved
29
Update Update
Offside
27
Update Update
Offside
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wallisson Luiz Head Shot Missed
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Jorge Carrascal Right Footed Shot Goal
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Jorge Carrascal 0-1，Assist：Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez
20
Corner Corner
Corner
17
Update Update
On Alesson Dos Santos Batista，Off Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ayrton Ayrton Dantas de Medeiros Right Footed Shot Blocked
16
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Right Footed Shot Blocked
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos Left Footed Shot Blocked
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Santos Head Shot Saved
3
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez Left Footed Shot Missed
1
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Rafael Rodrigo Klein

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mirassol 1-5 Flamengo. Structural assessment: Flamengo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.