Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Allianz Field Today - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Minnesota United MIN
0 – 0
Vancouver Whitecaps VAN
Full Time Today 12:30 AM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

Minnesota United hosted Vancouver Whitecaps in a match that concluded 0-0 after a scoreless first half. Minnesota United recorded 36 percent possession while Vancouver Whitecaps controlled 64 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.29 for the home side and 0.6 for the visitors, producing a differential of 0.69. No red cards were issued to either team. Vancouver Whitecaps entered as the stronger side yet the result finished level. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG projections. Efficiency metrics showed a home value of -0.1366 and an away value of 0.1366, remaining in line with observed patterns. A significant deviation of 100 percent was noted for Vancouver Whitecaps.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vancouver Whitecaps recorded a significant 100 percent structural deviation from expected patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with projections at -0.1366 for Minnesota United and 0.1366 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
  • xG alignment: The 0-0 draw outcome was inconsistent with xG values of 1.29 to 0.6.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG expectations: Vancouver Whitecaps underperformed xG expectations despite entering as the stronger team.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the progression of the 0-0 draw.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no measurable distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Hernandez
L. Hernandez
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Mariscal
F. Mariscal
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Mitchell Carvalho
O. Mitchell Carvalho
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Metz
J. Metz
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Minnesota United C. Knowles
C. Knowles
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps J. Sørensen
J. Sørensen
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting KC Rank: 51 L
Real Salt Lake Rank: 64 D
New England Rank: 60 L
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 L
Austin Rank: 59 D
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cincinnati Rank: 67 L
San Diego Rank: 66 W
Houston Dynamo Rank: 63 L
Dallas Rank: 67 W
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 65 D
LA Galaxy Rank: 60 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Minnesota United
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vancouver Whitecaps
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.4
72.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps
Power Score
64.4
72.46
League Position
9
1
Global Rank
403
191

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Minnesota United — Opponent-weighted form score
Vancouver Whitecaps — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Minnesota United Vancouver Whitecaps

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Minnesota United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vancouver Whitecaps

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Minnesota United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vancouver Whitecaps
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
3.55
5.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
5.56
3.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Minnesota United -0.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Minnesota United
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Minnesota United Vancouver Whitecaps
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
23%
3%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.30 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Minnesota United Vancouver Whitecaps
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
3%
23%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.30
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Minnesota United
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Minnesota United Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Minnesota United 0.14
Vancouver Whitecaps 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Minnesota United Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Minnesota United 0.00
Vancouver Whitecaps 0.00
Minnesota United
Vancouver Whitecaps
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIN had peak pressure around 58'.
  • MIN started the game with stronger pressure.
MIN Pressure VAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIN reached the top pressure at 58' (58.52).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Minnesota United MIN Home
5 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps VAN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
3
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T01:00:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Callender
United States
12 D. Callender
K. Duncan
Substitution
United States
3 K. Duncan
J. Díaz Beleño
Substitution
Colombia
28 J. Díaz Beleño
M. Boxall
New Zealand
15 (C) M. Boxall
M. Duggan
Germany
23 M. Duggan
A. Markanich
Substitution
United States
13 A. Markanich
J. Pereyra
Argentina
26 J. Pereyra
O. Géne
France
30 O. Géne
W. Trapp
Substitution
United States
20 W. Trapp
K. Yeboah
Substitution
Italy
9 K. Yeboah
M. Dieng
29 M. Dieng
Y. Takaoka
Japan
1 Y. Takaoka
T. Johnson
Substitution
United States
28 T. Johnson
T. Blackmon
United States
33 T. Blackmon
R. Veselinović
Substitution
Serbia
4 R. Veselinović
M. Laborda Malseñido
Uruguay
2 M. Laborda Malseñido
A. Cubas
Paraguay
20 A. Cubas
O. Larraz
Substitution
United States
8 O. Larraz
J. Badwal
Canada
59 J. Badwal
T. Müller
Germany
13 (C) T. Müller
C. Sabaly
Substitution
Senegal
7 C. Sabaly
B. White
Substitution
United States
24 B. White

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Field
Capacity
19400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lorenzo Hernandez
Felisha Mariscal
Oscar Mitchell Carvalho
Jaclyn Metz

Statistics

Possession
MIN
40%
VAN
60%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 5
37 Dangerous attacks 62
36 Possession 64
5 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

51 Ball Safe 34
9 Goal Kicks 8
4 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
11 Throwins 15
11 Successful Headers 7
1 Injuries 1
16 Dribble Attempts 12
6 Successful Dribbles 5
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42

Attacking

84 Attacks 136
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

64 Long Passes 51
342 Passes 614
253 Successful Passes 539
74 Successful Passes Percentage 88
7 Key Passes 10
26 Successful Long Passes 28
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

5 Saves 3
17 Tackles 14
8 Interceptions 2
45 Duels Won 33

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 16
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Lorenzo Hernandez

Starting XI ▼

12
Drake Callender
Drake Callender Goalkeeper
6.64
3
Kyle Duncan
Kyle Duncan Defender
6.61
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
Attacker81'
13
Anthony Markanich Jr.
Anthony Markanich Jr. Defender
6.51
2
Devin Padelford
Devin Padelford
Defender81'
15
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall (C) Defender
6.56
23
Morris Duggan
Morris Duggan Defender
6.3
28
Jefferson Díaz
Jefferson Díaz Defender
6.54
67
Carlos Harvey
Carlos Harvey
Midfielder57'
20
Wil Trapp
Wil Trapp Midfielder
6.51
6
Peter Stroud
Peter Stroud
Midfielder68'
26
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra Midfielder
6.39
30
Owen Gene
Owen Gene Midfielder
6.45
9
Kelvin Yeboah
Kelvin Yeboah Attacker
6.41
8
Tomás Chancalay
Tomás Chancalay
Attacker68'
29
Mamadou Dieng
Mamadou Dieng Attacker
6.73
Referee : Lorenzo Hernandez

Starting XI ▼

1
Yohei Takaoka
Yohei Takaoka Goalkeeper
6.66
2
Mathías Laborda
Mathías Laborda Defender
6.35
4
Ranko Veselinović
Ranko Veselinović Defender
6.48
29
Mihail Gherasimencov
Mihail Gherasimencov
Defender11'
28
Tate Johnson
Tate Johnson Defender
6.4
3
Sam Adekugbe
Sam Adekugbe
Defender90'
33
Tristan Blackmon
Tristan Blackmon Defender
6.39
7
Cheikh Sabaly
Cheikh Sabaly Midfielder
6.66
41
Nikola Djordjevic
Nikola Djordjevic
Defender46'
8
Oliver Larraz
Oliver Larraz Midfielder
6.62
25
Ryan Gauld
Ryan Gauld
Midfielder46'
13
Thomas Müller
Thomas Müller (C) Midfielder
6.59
20
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas Midfielder
6.65
59
Jeevan Badwal
Jeevan Badwal Midfielder
6.8
24
Brian White
Brian White Attacker
6.69
19
Rayan Elloumi
Rayan Elloumi
Attacker69'

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Sam Adekugbe → Tate Johnson
10th Substitution
Event
Michael Boxall 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Bongokuhle Hlongwane → Kyle Duncan
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Devin Padelford → Anthony Markanich Jr.
9th Substitution
81'
69'
Event
Rayan Elloumi → Brian White
7th Substitution
Event
Tomás Chancalay → Kelvin Yeboah
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Peter Stroud → Wil Trapp
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Carlos Harvey → Jefferson Díaz
4th Substitution
57'
46'
Event
Nikola Djordjevic → Cheikh Sabaly
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ryan Gauld → Oliver Larraz
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
24'
Event
Jeevan Badwal
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mamadou Dieng
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
11'
Event
Mihail Gherasimencov → Ranko Veselinović
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Chancalay Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adrian Andres Cubas Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Chancalay Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Update Update
On Sam Adekugbe，Off Tate Johnson
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
83
Update Update
Offside
83
Update Update
On Devin Padelford，Off Anthony Markanich
82
Update Update
On Bongokuhle Hlongwane，Off Kyle Duncan
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Devin Padelford Head Shot Missed
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ryan Gauld Right Footed Shot Saved
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Thomas Muller Right Footed Shot Saved
75
Corner Corner
Corner
70
Update Update
On Rayan Elloumi，Off Brian White
69
Update Update
On Tomas Chancalay，Off Kelvin Yeboah
69
Update Update
On Peter Stroud，Off Wil Trapp
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ryan Gauld Left Footed Shot Saved
61
Corner Corner
Corner
58
Update Update
On Carlos Harvey，Off Jefferson Diaz
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mamadou Dieng Head Shot Saved
54
Corner Corner
Corner
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joaquin Pereyra Left Footed Shot Missed
46
Update Update
On Nikola Djordjevic，Off Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly
46
Update Update
On Ryan Gauld，Off Oliver Larraz
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mihail Gherasimencov Left Footed Shot Missed
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kelvin Yeboah Right Footed Shot Missed
42
Corner Corner
Corner
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wil Trapp Right Footed Shot Blocked
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oliver Larraz Right Footed Shot Missed
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Anthony Markanich Right Footed Shot Missed
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mamadou Dieng Head Shot Saved
20
Corner Corner
Corner
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mamadou Dieng Left Footed Shot Saved
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mamadou Dieng Right Footed Shot Blocked
15
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian White Head Shot Missed
11
Update Update
On Mihail Gherasimencov，Off Ranko Veselinovic
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian White Left Footed Shot Saved
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeevan Badwal Right Footed Shot Blocked
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Lorenzo Hernandez

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw reflected a controlled contest where possession favored Vancouver Whitecaps yet failed to translate into superior scoring opportunities. Minnesota United generated the higher xG total but could not convert that edge into goals. Efficiency figures stayed aligned with the observed distribution of chances. The significant deviation attached to Vancouver Whitecaps highlights a mismatch between their structural role and the final scoreline. Absence of red cards preserved the original tactical framework throughout both halves. The result therefore stands as a factual representation of limited conversion rather than external interference. Further analysis of second-half adjustments would be required to determine whether either side adjusted approach after the interval.