Minnesota United vs San Diego preview
2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Allianz Field
Sun, 2 Aug - 12:30 AM
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Minnesota United hosted San Diego in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw. The home side took the lead in the first half and held a 1-0 advantage at the break. San Diego controlled possession with 67 percent of the ball while Minnesota United managed 33 percent. Despite generating a higher expected goals total of 1.86 compared to the home team's 1.17, San Diego could only secure the equalizer. The stronger side on paper failed to convert its statistical edge into a victory. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The final scoreline reflected a balanced outcome despite the underlying performance metrics favoring the visitors.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: San Diego recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
-
xG alignment: The draw outcome was not consistent with the xG values recorded.
-
Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
-
xG expectations: San Diego posted 1.86 xG while Minnesota United finished with 1.17 xG.
-
Event impact: The match produced a 1-1 draw without major events changing its course.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the game experienced no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Ford
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
S. Blanco
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
G. Lebuis
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Calume
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
C. Knowles
VS
M. Varas
1.35
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.18
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vancouver Whitecaps
Rank: 73
D
Sporting KC
Rank: 51
L
Real Salt Lake
Rank: 66
D
New England
Rank: 63
L
Colorado Rapids
Rank: 64
L
Austin
Rank: 60
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dallas
Rank: 67
W
Colorado Rapids
Rank: 61
L
Vancouver Whitecaps
Rank: 74
L
Cincinnati
Rank: 69
D
Austin
Rank: 60
W
Seattle Sounders
Rank: 68
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.75
68.32
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Minnesota United
San Diego
Power Score
66.75
68.32
League Position
10
13
Global Rank
397
351
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Minnesota United
—
Opponent-weighted form score
San Diego
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Minnesota United San Diego
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Minnesota United
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
San Diego
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Minnesota United
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
San Diego
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
49.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.13
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Minnesota United
+1.84
Efficiency Index
vs
San Diego
-1.84
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Minnesota United
San Diego
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Minnesota United
vs
San Diego
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Minnesota United
San Diego
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04
vs
+0.16
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Minnesota United
San Diego
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
45%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.16
vs
-0.04
Minnesota United
San Diego
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Minnesota United
vs
San Diego
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Minnesota United
San Diego
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Minnesota United
0.29
San Diego
0.26
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Minnesota United
San Diego
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Minnesota United
0.02
San Diego
0.02
Minnesota United
San Diego
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SDL had peak pressure around 67'.
- MIN started the game with stronger pressure.
MIN Pressure
SDL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SDL reached the top pressure at 67' (65.83).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Minnesota United
MIN
Home
4
matches
San Diego
SDL
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
7
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:00:28+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
5-4-1
Match Formation
4-3-3
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Field
Capacity
19400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Timothy Ford
S. Blanco
Gerard Kader Lebuis
Alejo Calume
Next Match
Minnesota United
vs
Real Salt Lake
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 1:30 AM
Venue: America First Field
San Diego
vs
Los Angeles FC
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 2:30 AM
Venue: BMO Stadium
Statistics
Possession
MIN
37%
SDL
63%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
2
5
Shots
9
48
Dangerous attacks
50
33
Possession
67
8
Corners
4
3
Free kicks
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
71
Ball Safe
90
0
Penalties
1
12
Goal Kicks
6
12
Goal Attempts
10
4
Substitutions
4
20
Throwins
17
0
Hit Woodwork
2
7
Successful Headers
9
1
Assists
0
1
Injuries
0
14
Dribble Attempts
12
3
Successful Dribbles
6
21
Successful Dribbles Percentage
50
Attacking
78
Attacks
114
1
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
42
Long Passes
63
338
Passes
726
275
Successful Passes
651
81
Successful Passes Percentage
90
12
Key Passes
10
19
Successful Long Passes
39
45
Successful Long Passes Percentage
62
Defensive
1
Saves
7
16
Tackles
23
16
Interceptions
10
29
Duels Won
46
Build-up
20
Total Crosses
10
2
Accurate Crosses
4
Discipline
0
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
3
Lineup
Referee :
Timothy Ford
Manager ▼
C. Knowles
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Alec Smir
Goalkeeper
7
Dominik Fitz
Midfielder
24
Julian Gressel
Midfielder
67
Carlos Harvey
Midfielder
22
Marcus Caldeira
Attacker
Referee :
Timothy Ford
Manager ▼
M. Varas
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
18
Duran Ferree
Goalkeeper
25
Ian Pilcher
Defender
33
Oscar Verhoeven
Defender
9
Lewis Morgan
Attacker
14
Bryan Zamblé
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
83'
8th Substitution
6th Substitution
80'
7th Substitution
80'
4th Substitution
65'
5th Substitution
65'
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
64'
64'
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
64'
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
3rd Substitution
60'
1st Substitution
60'
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'
CONCLUSION
The 1-1 result leaves both sides with points but highlights areas for improvement. Minnesota United defended effectively after taking an early lead yet struggled to maintain possession. San Diego dominated the ball and created more expected goal opportunities but lacked the finishing touch needed for a win. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to keep full squads on the pitch for the entire match. This draw underscores the gap between statistical dominance and actual outcomes in competitive fixtures. Teams will review how possession translated into limited scoring chances. Future performances may depend on converting higher xG totals into goals while maintaining defensive structure.
Match Commentary