Minnesota United vs Orlando City preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Allianz Field
Major League Soccer
Minnesota UnitedMIN
3 – 3
Orlando CityORL
Full Time
Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike - 28'
Tyrese Spicer - 90+3'

CONTEXT

Minnesota United faced Orlando City in an exciting game that concluded with a 3-3 scoreline. Orlando City led 1-0 at halftime after scoring in the first period. Despite Minnesota United generating an expected goals total of 3.25 against Orlando City's 0.96, the match ended in a draw. Orlando City maintained 56 percent possession compared to Minnesota's 44 percent. No players were sent off during the contest. Although Orlando City was considered the stronger team, they were unable to claim all three points. The outcome was not consistent with the xG values, showing a notable deviation. The game saw both teams display attacking intent, resulting in a high-scoring affair that entertained the fans present.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Minnesota United 3-3 Orlando City. Orlando City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency was in line with the overall team performances.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the xG differential favoring Minnesota United.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Minnesota United were expected to win based on their 3.25 xG compared to 0.96.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards resulted in no distortion to the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Chapman
A. Chapman
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Atkins
K. Atkins
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Smith
K. Smith
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Serhii
B. Serhii
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Minnesota United C. Knowles
C. Knowles
VS
Orlando City M. Perelman
M. Perelman
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 62 W
Atlanta United Rank: 55 L
Real Salt Lake Rank: 64 D
San Diego Rank: 67 D
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 74 D
Sporting KC Rank: 51 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Salt Lake Rank: 63 W
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Cincinnati Rank: 69 D
New York RB Rank: 60 L
Nashville SC Rank: 73 W
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 63 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.22
65.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Minnesota United
Orlando City
Power Score
64.22
65.36
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
445
399

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Minnesota United — Opponent-weighted form score
Orlando City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Minnesota United Orlando City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Minnesota United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Orlando City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Minnesota United
vs
Orlando City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Minnesota United Orlando City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.84 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Minnesota United Orlando City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.84
Minnesota United
Orlando City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Minnesota United
vs
Orlando City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Minnesota United Orlando City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Minnesota United 0.00
Orlando City 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Minnesota United Orlando City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Minnesota United 0.00
Orlando City 0.00
Minnesota United
Orlando City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIN had peak pressure around 85'.
  • MIN started the game with stronger pressure.
MIN Pressure ORL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIN reached the top pressure at 85' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Minnesota United MIN Home
1 matches
Orlando City ORL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-30T00:36:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Field
Capacity
19400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Allen Chapman
Kyle Atkins
Kali Smith
Boiko Serhii

Statistics

Possession
MIN
47%
ORL
53%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 0
60 Dangerous attacks 24
44 Possession 56
8 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 10
6 Substitutions 6
15 Throwins 15
12 Dribble Attempts 11
3 Successful Dribbles 5
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

99 Attacks 91
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

38 Long Passes 49
411 Passes 563
353 Successful Passes 473
86 Successful Passes Percentage 84
16 Key Passes 5
21 Successful Long Passes 19
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

2 Saves 6
15 Tackles 16
9 Interceptions 10
39 Duels Won 39

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 1
9 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Allen Chapman

Starting XI ▼

12
Drake Callender
Drake Callender Goalkeeper
6.9
1
Alec Smir
Alec Smir
Goalkeeper46'
6.42
15
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall Defender
6.61
23
Morris Duggan
Morris Duggan Defender
6.8
28
Jefferson Díaz
Jefferson Díaz Defender
6.87
3
Kyle Duncan
Kyle Duncan Midfielder
6.76
13
Anthony Markanich Jr.
Anthony Markanich Jr. Midfielder
7.06
20
Wil Trapp
Wil Trapp Midfielder
6.72
18
Mauricio Gonzalez
Mauricio Gonzalez
Attacker72'
6.63
30
Owen Gene
Owen Gene Midfielder
6.78
9
Kelvin Yeboah
Kelvin Yeboah Attacker
6.89
8
Tomás Chancalay
Tomás Chancalay
Attacker85'
6.91
22
Marcus Caldeira
Marcus Caldeira Attacker
6.76
25
Nectarios Triantis
Nectarios Triantis
Defender72'
6.79
26
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra Attacker
7.47
67
Carlos Harvey
Carlos Harvey
Midfielder90+2'
6.43
Referee : Allen Chapman

Starting XI ▼

71
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
6.79
4
David Brekalo
David Brekalo Defender
6.67
6
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson (C) Defender
6.55
19
Zakaria Taifi
Zakaria Taifi Defender
6.68
10
Martín Ojeda
Martín Ojeda
Midfielder81'
7.33
24
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey Defender
6.72
20
Eduard Atuesta
Eduard Atuesta Midfielder
6.75
87
Marco Pašalić
Marco Pašalić
Attacker81'
6.58
22
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis Midfielder
7.11
14
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
Attacker73'
6.96
35
Joran Gerbet
Joran Gerbet Midfielder
6.84
5
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio
Midfielder59'
6.68
77
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo Midfielder
6.82
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Attacker
7.71
9
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike Attacker
6.67
23
Harvey Sarajian
Harvey Sarajian
Attacker59'
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Tyrese Spicer
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
Event
Carlos Harvey → Joaquín Pereyra
10th Substitution
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Marco Pašalić
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Tomás Chancalay → Kelvin Yeboah
9th Substitution
85'
81'
Event
Martín Ojeda → Zakaria Taifi
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Marco Pašalić → Eduard Atuesta
8th Substitution
Event
Kelvin Yeboah
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
75'
Event
Anthony Markanich Jr.
Header / 4th Goal
74'
73'
Event
Tyrese Spicer → Justin Ellis
6th Substitution
Event
Mauricio Gonzalez → Wil Trapp
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Nectarios Triantis → Marcus Caldeira
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Marcus Caldeira
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
71'
Event
Michael Boxall 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
64'
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
Event
Luis Otávio → Joran Gerbet 
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Harvey Sarajian → Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Alec Smir → Drake Callender
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Anthony Markanich Jr.
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Event
Cameron Knowles
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
32'
28'
Event
Daryl Enyinnaya Dike
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tyrese Spicer scores with a left-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tyrese Spicer scores to make it 3-3, assisted by Antoine Griezmann.
90
Update Update
Carlos Harvey replaces Joaquin Pereyra.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marco Pasalic receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marco Pasalic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Gonzalez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Martin Ezequiel Ojeda with his left foot is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Update Update
Anthony Markanich's header is blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Tomas Chancalay replaces Kelvin Yeboah.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marco Pasalic comes on for Eduard Andres Atuesta Velasco.
81
Update Update
Martin Ezequiel Ojeda comes on for Zakaria Taifi.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kelvin Yeboah scores, making it 3-2.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kelvin Yeboah takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
75
Attempt Attempt
Kyle Duncan takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Anthony Markanich, and he scores with a header.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Anthony Markanich scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Joaquin Pereyra.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
Tyrese Spicer comes on for Justin Ellis.
72
Update Update
Mauricio Gonzalez comes on for Wil Trapp.
72
Update Update
Nectarios Triantis is on, and Marcus Caldeira is off.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marcus Caldeira scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Kelvin Yeboah.
71
Attempt Attempt
Kelvin Yeboah takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Marcus Caldeira with his left foot results in a goal.
69
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Griezmann takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Robin Jansson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michael Boxall receives a yellow card.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antoine Griezmann scores with a left-footed shot.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Antoine Griezmann scores, making it 0-2, assisted by Justin Ellis.
59
Update Update
On comes Luis Otavio, off goes Joran Gerbet.
59
Update Update
Harvey Sarajian replaces Daryl Dike.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antoine Griezmann receives a yellow card.
52
Update Update
Offside.
49
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Pereyra takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Kelvin Yeboah takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Alec Smir is on, and Drake Callender is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Pereyra takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Pereyra takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kelvin Yeboah Head Shot Missed
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Kelvin Yeboah has a right-footed shot that is blocked.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Anthony Markanich receives a yellow card.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Daryl Dike takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Daryl Dike scores, making it 1-0.
22
Update Update
Jefferson Diaz's header is blocked.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Diaz takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Markanich takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
20
Update Update
Offside.
19
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Markanich takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Markanich takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Update Update
Offside.
2
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Caldeira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Allen Chapman.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Minnesota United 3-3 Orlando City. Structural assessment: Orlando City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.