Milsami vs Velez preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Complexul Sportiv Raional Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Milsami Milsami
Velez Velez
KICKOFF : Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

Milsami host Velez in Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round) at Complexul Sportiv Raional. Power ranking favours Milsami by 0 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Milsami hold a +0 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Milsami are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Milsami show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Milsami have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Milsami carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Milsami hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Milsami 42% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Velez 30.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Milsami I. Picuşceac
I. Picuşceac
VS
Velez I. Rahimić
I. Rahimić
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Velez Rank: 44 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Milsami Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Milsami
41.95%
Draw
27.97%
Away Velez
30.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Milsami
Velez
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Milsami — Opponent-weighted form score
Velez — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Milsami Velez

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Milsami Milsami Home
1 matches
Velez Velez Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-14T00:04:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Complexul Sportiv Raional
Capacity
3160
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Duncan Nicolson
Calum Spence
Chris Gentles
Daniel McFarlane

Squad

Referee : Duncan Nicolson

Squad ▼

31
Filip Dujmović
Filip Dujmović Goalkeeper
12
Denis Vornic
Denis Vornic Goalkeeper
29
Hennos Asmelash
Hennos Asmelash Defender
2
Veaceslav Posmac
Veaceslav Posmac Defender
6
Ion Ghimp
Ion Ghimp Defender
24
Dehninio Muringen
Dehninio Muringen Defender
30
Frederick Takyi
Frederick Takyi Defender
—
Christopher Nwanze
Christopher Nwanze Defender
—
Décio Ferreira da Silva Neto
Décio Ferreira da Silva Neto Defender
8
Olivier Rommens
Olivier Rommens Midfielder
10
Radu Gînsari
Radu Gînsari Midfielder
7
Daniel Lisu
Daniel Lisu Midfielder
18
Dmitri Galeamov
Dmitri Galeamov Midfielder
27
Sibiry Keita
Sibiry Keita Midfielder
18
Abdoul Yoda
Abdoul Yoda Midfielder
32
Vitus Amougui
Vitus Amougui Midfielder
13
Vasile Luchiță
Vasile Luchiță Midfielder
33
Njomgang William Fonkeu
Njomgang William Fonkeu Midfielder
21
Samouil Izountouemoi
Samouil Izountouemoi Attacker
28
Kabamba Tumba Kalabatama
Kabamba Tumba Kalabatama Attacker
—
Kamil Dawid Dudziak
Kamil Dawid Dudziak Attacker
11
Sorin Chele
Sorin Chele Attacker
—
Chiril Silcenco
Chiril Silcenco Attacker
Referee : Duncan Nicolson

Squad ▼

1
Faris Ribić
Faris Ribić Goalkeeper
8
Ante Hrkać
Ante Hrkać Defender
23
Klemen Šturm
Klemen Šturm Defender
—
Abdallah Ali Mohamed
Abdallah Ali Mohamed Defender
13
Anes Omerovic
Anes Omerovic Defender
7
Ajdin Nukić
Ajdin Nukić Defender
55
Adin Bajrić
Adin Bajrić Defender
18
Said Duranović
Said Duranović Defender
66
Faruk Šetić
Faruk Šetić Defender
6
Rafidine Abdullah
Rafidine Abdullah Midfielder
10
Džani Salčin
Džani Salčin Midfielder
80
Nino Stojanović
Nino Stojanović Midfielder
29
Andro Babić
Andro Babić Midfielder
38
Dženan Puce
Dženan Puce Midfielder
20
Damir Halilović
Damir Halilović Midfielder
17
Ayham Shhade
Ayham Shhade Midfielder
—
Beni Redzic
Beni Redzic Attacker
88
Leonid Ignatov
Leonid Ignatov Attacker
11
Aldin Mešić
Aldin Mešić Attacker
9
Armin Spahić
Armin Spahić Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Milsami holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Milsami a 0-point edge. External projection is Milsami 44.8%, draw 27.2%, and Velez 28%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.