Metz vs Monaco preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Saint-Symphorien Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
MetzMTZ
1 2
MonacoASM
Full Time Sat, 2 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Jessy Deminguet - 49'
Goal
|
Goal
Ansu Fati - 90+1'

CONTEXT

Metz welcomed Monaco to Stade Saint-Symphorien in a Ligue 1 encounter that concluded 1-2 in favor of the visitors. The halftime score stood at 0-0, with neither side finding the net despite Monaco controlling 65% possession against Metz's 35%. The second half proved decisive, as Monaco netted twice to secure victory, while Metz responded with a single goal. No red cards disrupted play, maintaining structural integrity throughout. Identified as the stronger team beforehand, Monaco delivered a performance with minimal deviation of 5.3%, aligning with pre-match evaluations. Efficiency across both teams stayed in line with norms, though xG data remains unavailable for deeper chance quality analysis. Possession dominance translated into tangible results for Monaco, highlighting their control and clinical finishing post-interval.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed minimal structural deviation of 5.3% consistent with Monaco's stronger status.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with established expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be measured without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Buquet
R. Buquet
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
V. Evrard
V. Evrard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
A. Petit
A. Petit
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
E. Finjean
E. Finjean
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Metz B. Tavenot
B. Tavenot
VS
Monaco S. Pocognoli
S. Pocognoli
0.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Paris Rank: 70 L
Olympique Marseille Rank: 81 L
Nantes Rank: 65 D
Rennes Rank: 80 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toulouse Rank: 72 D
Auxerre Rank: 68 D
Paris Rank: 69 L
Olympique Marseille Rank: 80 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 W
Brest Rank: 74 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metz
0.19%
Draw
5.09%
Away Monaco
94.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.12
79.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metz
Monaco
Power Score
53.12
79.49
League Position
18
7
Global Rank
417
62

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metz — Opponent-weighted form score
Monaco — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metz Monaco

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Metz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Monaco

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Metz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Monaco
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Metz Monaco
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Metz Monaco
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Metz
Monaco
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Metz
vs
Monaco
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Metz Monaco
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Metz 0.00
Monaco 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Metz Monaco
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Metz 0.00
Monaco 0.00
Metz
Monaco
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ASM had peak pressure around 45'.
  • ASM started the game with stronger pressure.
MTZ Pressure ASM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ASM reached the top pressure at 45' (69.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metz MTZ Home
18 matches
Monaco ASM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
16
0
Draws
0
16
Losses
2
Goals
13
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
13
-39
Goal Difference
+39
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T17:00:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
P. Sy
Senegal
61 P. Sy
B. Sarr
Senegal
70 B. Sarr
S. Sané
Senegal
38 S. Sané
J. Gbamin
Ivory Coast
5 J. Gbamin
T. Yegbe
Ghana
15 T. Yegbe
B. Stambouli
France
21 B. Stambouli
J. Deminguet
Substitution
France
20 J. Deminguet
N. Mbala
Substitution
34 N. Mbala
G. Hein
France
10 G. Hein
H. Tsitaishvili
Georgia
7 H. Tsitaishvili
G. Kvilitaia
Substitution
Georgia
11 G. Kvilitaia

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Capacity
26661
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ruddy Buquet
Valentin Evrard
Aurélien Petit
Erwan Finjean

Statistics

Possession
MTZ
41%
ASM
59%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
1 Shots 3
49 Dangerous attacks 54
35 Possession 65
5 Corners 9
15 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 6
6 Goal Attempts 5
1 Assists 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0
10 Goal Kicks 10
15 Dribble Attempts 8
9 Successful Dribbles 5
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
13 Throwins 10
10 Successful Headers 12
50 Ball Safe 52

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
85 Attacks 125

Possession

234 Successful Passes 493
56 Long Passes 26
79 Successful Passes Percentage 85
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
295 Passes 577
31 Successful Long Passes 12
12 Key Passes 12

Defensive

1 Saves 0
10 Tackles 12
11 Interceptions 5
42 Duels Won 38

Build-up

10 Accurate Crosses 6
21 Total Crosses 29

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

61
Pape Sy
Pape Sy Goalkeeper
6.9
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Jean-Philippe Gbamin Defender
6.57
15
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe Defender
6.48
38
Sadibou Sané
Sadibou Sané Defender
6.81
70
Bouna Sarr
Bouna Sarr Defender
6.45
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
Giorgi Tsitaishvili Midfielder
6.77
10
Gauthier Hein
Gauthier Hein Midfielder
7.16
20
Jessy Deminguet
Jessy Deminguet Midfielder
6.63
35
Jahyann Pandore
Jahyann Pandore
Attacker81'
6.52
21
Benjamin Stambouli
Benjamin Stambouli Midfielder
6.64
34
Nathan Mbala
Nathan Mbala Midfielder
6.95
9
Giorgi Abuashvili
Giorgi Abuashvili
Attacker73'
6.58
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
Giorgi Kvilitaia Attacker
6.8
30
Habib Diallo
Habib Diallo
Attacker81'
6.78
Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hradecky
Lukas Hradecky Goalkeeper
6.78
5
Thilo Kehrer
Thilo Kehrer Defender
6.92
6
Denis Zakaria
Denis Zakaria Defender
6.86
13
Christian Mawissa
Christian Mawissa Defender
6.71
12
Caio Henrique
Caio Henrique
Defender84'
6.66
4
J. Teze
J. Teze Midfielder
6.92
8
Paul Pogba
Paul Pogba Midfielder
6.6
23
Aladji Bamba
Aladji Bamba
Midfielder58'
6.82
15
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara Midfielder
7.2
—
Lamine Camara
58'
24
Simon Adingra
Simon Adingra Midfielder
6.74
31
Ansu Fati
Ansu Fati
Attacker58'
6.86
9
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Attacker
6.97
10
Aleksandr Golovin
Aleksandr Golovin Attacker
6.99
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Attacker
7.08

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Ansu Fati
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
84'
Event
Caio Henrique → Christian Mawissa
9th Substitution
Event
Habib Diallo → Giorgi Kvilitaia
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Jahyann Pandore → Jessy Deminguet
8th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Christian Mawissa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
5th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
6th Substitution
Event
Giorgi Abuashvili → Nathan Mbala
4th Substitution
73'
62'
Event
Mamadou Coulibaly
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
Event
Folarin Balogun
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
Event
Aladji Bamba → Paul Pogba
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Ansu Fati → Simon Adingra
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Mamadou Coulibaly → Lamine Camara
2nd Substitution
Event
Jessy Deminguet
Header / 1st Goal
49'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Bouna Sarr takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Anssumane Fati Vieira takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
89
Attempt Attempt
Terry Yegbe attempts a header but misses the shot.
89
Attempt Attempt
Bouna Sarr's left-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Tsitaishvili takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Thilo Kehrer attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Update Update
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva comes on for Christian Mawissa Elebi.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Christian Mawissa Elebi receives a yellow card.
82
Update Update
Jahyann Pandore comes on for Jessy Deminguet.
82
Update Update
Habib Diallo replaces Giorgi Kvilitaia.
80
Update Update
Gauthier Hein's header hits the post.
74
Update Update
Mika Bierith comes on for Aleksandr Golovin.
74
Update Update
Giorgi Abuashvili replaces Nathan Mbala.
74
Substitution Substitution
Believe Munongo is substituted for Benjamin Stambouli.
72
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Stambouli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Folarin Balogun takes a left-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Coulibaly takes a left-footed shot but misses.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mamadou Coulibaly receives a yellow card.
58
Update Update
Mamadou Coulibaly comes on for Lamine Camara.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Folarin Balogun takes a right-footed shot and scores.
59
Update Update
Anssumane Fati Vieira is on, and Simon Adingra is off.
58
Update Update
Aladji Bamba replaces Paul Pogba.
57
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Golovin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado takes a header shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maghnes Akliouche takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Mbala takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Jessy Deminguet heads the ball into the net.
45
Attempt Attempt
Bouna Sarr misses with a left-footed shot.
41
Attempt Attempt
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Simon Adingra's left-footed shot is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Golovin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Mbala takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jessy Deminguet attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Attempt Attempt
Gauthier Hein takes a left-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Gauthier Hein takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Maghnes Akliouche takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Paul Pogba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Monaco's 1-2 triumph over Metz exemplified their pre-identified superiority, leveraging 65% possession into second-half goals after a goalless first period. Minimal 5.3% deviation underscored a performance true to form, with market alignment confirming expectations. Absent red cards or disruptions, the result stemmed from Monaco's dominance and conversion rates, exposing Metz's limitations in overturning possession deficits. This victory bolsters Monaco's campaign momentum, while Metz confronts needs in defensive solidity and counterattacking efficacy against elite possession sides.