Metz vs Lorient preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Saint-Symphorien Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Metz MTZ
Lorient LOR
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Metz host Lorient at Stade Saint-Symphorien in a crucial Ligue 1 regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. Struggling in 18th place, Metz confront a Lorient team entrenched at 9th, with the visitors holding a decisive power score edge of 62.14 to 53.23, translating to an 8.9-point advantage. Lorient's form score towers at 15.78 over Metz's modest 6.33, highlighting recent struggles for the home side. As the stronger outfit overall, Lorient enter with momentum, while Metz seek vital points to climb from the relegation zone. Home advantage could inspire Metz's defense, yet Lorient's superior ratings suggest control in possession and chance creation. Limited data on set pieces and efficiency underscores reliance on core strengths, setting up a test of resilience versus quality. Key individual duels will shape the outcome in this uneven matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lorient hold a power advantage of 8.9 points with 62.14 rating over Metz's 53.23.
  • Form: Lorient's form score of 15.78 significantly outpaces Metz's 6.33.
  • Squad: Lorient sit higher in the league at 9th position compared to Metz's 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of specific performance records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats carry low confidence with proxy data and no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables absent as data sources unavailable.
  • Market: Metz 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Lorient 43.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Metz B. Tavenot
B. Tavenot
VS
Lorient O. Pantaloni
O. Pantaloni
0.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monaco Rank: 79 L
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Paris Rank: 70 L
Olympique Marseille Rank: 79 L
Nantes Rank: 67 D
Rennes Rank: 79 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 D
Strasbourg Rank: 78 L
Olympique Marseille Rank: 81 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 83 L
Paris Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 74 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metz
30.21%
Draw
25.86%
Away Lorient
43.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.23
62.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metz
Lorient
Power Score
53.23
62.14
League Position
18
9
Global Rank
429
121

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metz — Opponent-weighted form score
Lorient — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metz Lorient

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metz MTZ Home
13 matches
Lorient LOR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
8
2
Draws
2
8
Losses
3
Goals
19
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
19
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:38:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
P. Sy
Senegal
61 P. Sy
B. Sarr
Senegal
70 B. Sarr
S. Sané
Senegal
38 S. Sané
T. Yegbe
Ghana
15 T. Yegbe
H. Tsitaishvili
Georgia
7 H. Tsitaishvili
B. Stambouli
France
21 B. Stambouli
J. Gbamin
Ivory Coast
5 J. Gbamin
J. Deminguet
France
20 J. Deminguet
N. Mbala
34 N. Mbala
G. Kvilitaia
Georgia
11 G. Kvilitaia
G. Hein
France
10 G. Hein
Y. Mvogo
Switzerland
38 Y. Mvogo
A. Faye
Senegal
25 A. Faye
M. Talbi
Tunisia
3 M. Talbi
N. Adjei
Ghana
32 N. Adjei
K. Kouassi
Burkina Faso
43 K. Kouassi
N. Cadiou
France
8 N. Cadiou
L. Abergel
France
6 L. Abergel
P. Katseris
Greece
77 P. Katseris
A. Ebong Avon
Cameroon
62 A. Ebong Avon
P. Pagis
France
10 P. Pagis
Bamba Dieng
Senegal
12 Bamba Dieng

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Capacity
26661
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jeremy Stinat
Christophe Mouysset
Youssef El Hamzaoui
Samir Zolota

Lineup

Referee : Jeremy Stinat

Starting XI ▼

61
Pape Sy
Pape Sy Goalkeeper
6.89
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
Giorgi Tsitaishvili Defender
6.77
15
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe Defender
6.47
38
Sadibou Sané
Sadibou Sané Defender
6.82
70
Bouna Sarr
Bouna Sarr Defender
6.53
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Jean-Philippe Gbamin Midfielder
6.57
20
Jessy Deminguet
Jessy Deminguet Midfielder
6.66
21
Benjamin Stambouli
Benjamin Stambouli Midfielder
6.65
10
Gauthier Hein
Gauthier Hein Attacker
7.18
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
Giorgi Kvilitaia Attacker
6.81
34
Nathan Mbala
Nathan Mbala Attacker
6.92
Referee : Jeremy Stinat

Starting XI ▼

38
Yvon Mvogo
Yvon Mvogo Goalkeeper
6.82
3
Montassar Talbi
Montassar Talbi Defender
6.81
25
Abdoulaye Faye
Abdoulaye Faye Defender
6.63
32
Nathaniel Adjei
Nathaniel Adjei Defender
6.57
43
Arsène Kouassi
Arsène Kouassi Defender
6.9
77
Panos Katseris
Panos Katseris Defender
6.72
6
Laurent Abergel
Laurent Abergel Midfielder
6.8
8
Noah Doriann Cadiou
Noah Doriann Cadiou Midfielder
6.79
10
Pablo Pagis
Pablo Pagis Midfielder
7.25
62
Arthur Avom
Arthur Avom Midfielder
6.93
12
Bamba Dieng
Bamba Dieng Attacker
6.89

CONCLUSION

Lorient arrive as clear favorites, leveraging superior power and form to challenge Metz's home fortress. Metz's lowly position demands a gritty display, but Lorient's 8.9-point edge and higher table standing point to visitor dominance. Expect Lorient to dictate tempo, exploiting transitions despite data gaps. Metz must tighten defensively and capitalize on rare counters to salvage points. While home crowd energy aids the hosts, Lorient's quality likely prevails in a professional victory. This mismatch underscores Ligue 1's depth, with Lorient advancing their top-half ambitions.