Manchester United vs Wrexham preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Helsingin olympiastadion
Club Friendlies 1
Manchester UnitedMUN
0 1
WrexhamWXH
Full Time
Regular Season
|
Goal
Sam Smith - 39'

CONTEXT

Manchester United faced Wrexham in a contest where the visitors claimed a narrow 0-1 win. Wrexham scored once before the interval and defended resolutely to preserve the advantage throughout the second period. Manchester United controlled 58 percent of possession yet failed to convert territorial dominance into goals. The stronger side according to pre-match assessment suffered a significant deviation as Wrexham emerged victorious. No red cards were shown to either team and second-half adjustments remained minimal. The halftime score of 0-1 stayed unchanged at full time. This outcome highlighted Wrexham's ability to maintain structure under pressure despite lower possession figures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Wrexham produced a significant deviation by overcoming the stronger Manchester United.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the performance levels recorded on the day.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment with the result could not be measured.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable for both Manchester United and Wrexham.
  • Event impact: Wrexham's first-half goal carried decisive impact on the eventual 0-1 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued leaving match dynamics free from any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Manchester United Manchester United
Manchester United
VS
Wrexham P. Parkinson
P. Parkinson
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.46
75.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Manchester United
Wrexham
Power Score
92.46
75.22
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
8
136

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Manchester United — Opponent-weighted form score
Wrexham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Manchester United Wrexham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Manchester United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wrexham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Manchester United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wrexham
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
10.52
8.93
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
8.93
10.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Manchester United +0.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Wrexham -0.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Manchester United
Wrexham
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Manchester United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wrexham
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Manchester United Wrexham
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Manchester United Wrexham
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Manchester United
Wrexham
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Manchester United
vs
Wrexham
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Manchester United Wrexham
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Manchester United 0.23
Wrexham 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Manchester United Wrexham
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Manchester United 0.07
Wrexham 0.00
Manchester United
Wrexham
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MUN had peak pressure around 27'.
  • WXH started the game with stronger pressure.
MUN Pressure WXH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MUN reached the top pressure at 27' (78.71).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Helsingin olympiastadion
Capacity
40682
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
MUN
57%
WXH
43%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 1
22 Dangerous attacks 15
58 Possession 42
3 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 74
5 Goal Kicks 5
5 Goal Attempts 3
0 Substitutions 1
16 Throwins 19
0 Hit Woodwork 1
9 Dribble Attempts 11
2 Successful Dribbles 3
22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

107 Attacks 59

Possession

41 Long Passes 47
664 Passes 475
602 Successful Passes 413
91 Successful Passes Percentage 87
4 Key Passes 3
24 Successful Long Passes 23
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

1 Saves 2
15 Tackles 15
8 Interceptions 9
29 Duels Won 31

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 11
2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
4 Fouls 8

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Tom Heaton
Tom Heaton Goalkeeper
6.22
40
Radek Vitek
Radek Vitek
Goalkeeper46'
6.75
5
Harry Maguire
Harry Maguire (C) Defender
6.55
62
Jacob Devaney
Jacob Devaney
Midfielder46'
6.67
15
Leny Yoro
Leny Yoro Defender
6.52
61
J. Kamason
J. Kamason
Defender46'
6.54
23
Luke Shaw
Luke Shaw Defender
6.07
41
Harry Amass
Harry Amass
Defender46'
6.68
26
Ayden Heaven
Ayden Heaven Defender
6.44
69
D. Armer
D. Armer
Defender46'
6.79
7
Mason Mount
Mason Mount Midfielder
6.71
39
T. Fletcher
T. Fletcher
Midfielder46'
7.01
13
Patrick Dorgu
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder
6.18
17
Andrey Santos
Andrey Santos Midfielder
6.93
44
Dan Gore
Dan Gore
Midfielder46'
6.72
19
Bryan Mbeumo
Bryan Mbeumo Midfielder
6.36
46
S. Lacey
S. Lacey
Attacker46'
6.45
38
Jack Fletcher
Jack Fletcher Midfielder
6.18
11
Joshua Zirkzee
Joshua Zirkzee Attacker
6.41
36
Ethan Wheatley
Ethan Wheatley
Attacker46'
6.63

Starting XI ▼

1
Arthur Okonkwo
Arthur Okonkwo Goalkeeper
6.48
21
Danny Ward
Danny Ward
Goalkeeper46'
6.96
2
Callum Doyle
Callum Doyle Defender
6.62
3
Lewis Brunt
Lewis Brunt
Defender46'
6.96
24
Dan Scarr
Dan Scarr Defender
6.89
6
Conor Coady
Conor Coady
Defender46'
6.65
26
Zak Vyner
Zak Vyner Defender
6.84
5
Dominic Hyam
Dominic Hyam
Defender46'
6.32
14
George Thomason
George Thomason Midfielder
6.63
45
Harry Ashfield
Harry Ashfield
Midfielder46'
6.4
27
Lewis O'Brien
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder
7.18
34
Aaron James
Aaron James Midfielder
6.72
37
Matty James
Matty James (C) Midfielder
6.78
20
Ollie Rathbone
Ollie Rathbone
Midfielder46'
6.25
11
Bailey Cadamarteri
Bailey Cadamarteri Attacker
6.46
19
Kieffer Moore
Kieffer Moore
Attacker46'
6.49
28
Sam Smith
Sam Smith Attacker
7.25
29
Ryan Barnett
Ryan Barnett
Midfielder46'
6.55
33
Nathan Broadhead
Nathan Broadhead Attacker
6.2
7
D. Keillor-Dunn
D. Keillor-Dunn
Midfielder46'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
J. Kamason
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
64'
Event
Harry Amass → Luke Shaw
1st Substitution
46'
Event
D. Armer → Ayden Heaven
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Jacob Devaney → Harry Maguire
7th Substitution
46'
Event
8th Substitution
46'
Event
T. Fletcher → Mason Mount
11th Substitution
46'
Event
Dan Gore → Andrey Santos
12th Substitution
46'
Event
J. Kamason → Leny Yoro
14th Substitution
46'
Event
S. Lacey → Bryan Mbeumo
15th Substitution
46'
Event
Radek Vitek → Tom Heaton
18th Substitution
46'
Event
Ethan Wheatley → Joshua Zirkzee
20th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Harry Ashfield → George Thomason
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Ryan Barnett → Sam Smith
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Lewis Brunt → Callum Doyle
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Conor Coady → Dan Scarr
6th Substitution
46'
Event
D. Keillor-Dunn → Nathan Broadhead
9th Substitution
46'
Event
10th Substitution
46'
Event
Dominic Hyam → Zak Vyner
13th Substitution
46'
Event
Kieffer Moore → Bailey Cadamarteri
16th Substitution
46'
Event
Ollie Rathbone → Matty James
17th Substitution
46'
Event
Danny Ward → Arthur Okonkwo
19th Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Sam Smith
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Manchester United 0-1 Wrexham. Structural assessment: Wrexham exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.