Manchester United VS Nottingham Forest

2025/2026 Premier League, England

Old Trafford Sun, 17 May - 11:30 AM

Premier League

Manchester United MUN

Nottingham Forest NFO

KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 11:30 AM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Manchester United welcome Nottingham Forest to Old Trafford in a Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting third in the standings, the Red Devils boast a commanding power score of 91.75, dwarfing Forest's 71.88 and granting them a 19.9-point advantage. This structural edge underscores United's dominance as the clearly stronger side. Recent form tells a tighter story, with both teams nearly level at 29.83 for United and 29.5 for the visitors, suggesting Forest could pose problems if they capitalize on any lapses. United's higher league position reflects squad depth and consistency, while Forest's 16th place highlights defensive frailties. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, attention turns to transitional play where United's superior power could shine. At home, Manchester United aim to extend their advantage in the table.

TL;DR

Structural: Manchester United possess a 19.9-point power advantage over Nottingham Forest.
Form: Form scores are closely matched, with Manchester United at 29.83 and Nottingham Forest at 29.5.
Squad: Manchester United occupy 3rd place, while Nottingham Forest sit 16th in the Premier League.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: United's higher power score suggests stronger transitional capabilities.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG information is not enabled.
xVariable: Power scores highlight Manchester United's overall superiority at 91.75 versus 71.88.
Market: Manchester United 58.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.3% (Δ+0%) | Nottingham Forest 18.9% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Carrick

V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira

1.88

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

6 - 1 - 3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Manchester United

58.75%

Draw

22.31%

Nottingham Forest

18.93%

Team Power Ranking

91.75

71.88

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Manchester United

Nottingham Forest

Power Score

91.75

71.88

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Manchester United — Opponent-weighted form score

Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Manchester United Nottingham Forest

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Manchester United MUN Home

10 matches

Nottingham Forest NFO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-9

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:04:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 17, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium

Old Trafford

Capacity

74879

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Carrick Coach

Squad ▼

Tom Heaton Goalkeeper

Altay Bayındır Goalkeeper

Senne Lammens Goalkeeper

Luke Shaw Defender

Harry Maguire Defender

Matthijs de Ligt Defender

Noussair Mazraoui Defender

José Diogo Dalot Teixeira Defender

Tyrell Malacia Defender

Lisandro Martínez Defender

Leny Yoro Defender

Patrick Chinazaekpere Dorgu Defender

Ayden Heaven Defender

Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes Midfielder

Carlos Henrique Casimiro Midfielder

Mason Mount Midfielder

Manuel Ugarte Ribeiro Midfielder

Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder

Bryan Mbeumo Attacker

Matheus Santos Carneiro Da Cunha Attacker

Joshua Zirkzee Attacker

Benjamin Šeško Attacker

Amad Diallo Traoré Attacker

Chidozie Obi-Martin Attacker

Manager ▼

V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira Coach

Squad ▼

Matz Sels Goalkeeper

Stefan Ortega Moreno Goalkeeper

John Victor Maciel Furtado Goalkeeper

Angus Gunn Goalkeeper

Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina Defender

Willy Boly Defender

Nikola Milenković Defender

Neco Williams Defender

Luca Netz Defender

Felipe Rodrigues Defender

Nicolò Savona Defender

Zach Abbott Defender

Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos Defender

Jair Paula da Cunha Filho Defender

Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira Defender

Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder

Ryan Yates Midfielder

Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder

Elliott Anderson Midfielder

Nicolás Martín Domínguez Midfielder

James Mcatee Midfielder

Omari Giraud-Hutchinson Midfielder

Chris Wood Attacker

Taiwo Michael Awoniyi Attacker

Callum Hudson-Odoi Attacker

Dilane Bakwa Attacker

Lorenzo Lucca Attacker

Dan Ndoye Attacker

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz Attacker

CONCLUSION

Expect Manchester United to leverage their substantial power edge and home advantage at Old Trafford to secure victory against a struggling Nottingham Forest. Despite similar form scores, United's third-place standing and superior squad quality should prevail over Forest's 16th-position woes. Without xG data, focus shifts to basic strengths: United's transitional prowess versus Forest's resilience. A win here bolsters United's top-four push, while Forest desperately need points to climb from danger. Key battles in midfield will dictate flow, but the hosts' 19.9-point superiority tips the scales decisively.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT