Manchester City vs Crystal Palace preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Etihad Stadium Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Manchester CityMCI
Crystal PalaceCRY
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Manchester City welcome Crystal Palace to the Etihad Stadium for a Premier League regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting second in the table, City enjoy a substantial 27.7-point power advantage over their 15th-placed visitors, underscored by superior ratings of 98.48 against 70.74. Recent form further tilts the scales, with City's 35.17 score dwarfing Palace's 13.72. Hosting at their fortress-like home ground, Pep Guardiola's side seek to solidify their title contention while Palace battle relegation pressures. City's structural dominance promises control in possession and chance creation, though Palace's resilience could test defensive resolve. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, focus shifts to overall firepower and transitional threats. This encounter highlights City's elite pedigree against Palace's grit.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Manchester City possess a 27.7-point power advantage and second-place standing over Crystal Palace's 15th position.
  • Form: City's form score stands at 35.17, well ahead of Crystal Palace's 13.72.
  • Squad: Manchester City's higher league position reflects greater squad quality compared to Crystal Palace.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play details not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent from fixture analysis.
  • Market: Manchester City 78.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.4% (Δ+0%) | Crystal Palace 8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Manchester City Josep Guardiola
Josep Guardiola
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brentford Rank: 89 W
Everton Rank: 87 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 W
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: 88 D
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 L
Liverpool Rank: 91 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Newcastle United Rank: 89 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Manchester City
78.56%
Draw
13.42%
Away Crystal Palace
8.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
98.48
70.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Power Score
98.48
70.74
League Position
2
15
Global Rank
2
30

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Manchester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Manchester City Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Manchester City MCI Home
31 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
22
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
22
Goals
75
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
75
+50
Goal Difference
-50
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Henderson
England
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
Japan
18 D. Kamada
A. Wharton
England
20 A. Wharton
D. Muñoz Mejía
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
I. Sarr
Senegal
7 I. Sarr
B. Johnson
Wales
11 B. Johnson
J. Strand Larsen
Norway
22 J. Strand Larsen

General Information

Date & Time
May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Etihad Stadium
Capacity
53400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stuart Attwell
Constantine Hatzidakis
Black Antrobus
Paul Tierney

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper
6.89
6
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
6.71
15
Marc Guéhi
Marc Guéhi Defender
7.04
27
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes Defender
7.08
33
Nico O'Reilly
Nico O'Reilly Defender
6.92
4
Tijjani Reijnders
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder
6.88
10
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki Midfielder
7.32
20
Bernardo Silva
Bernardo Silva Midfielder
6.96
9
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland Attacker
7.33
11
Jérémy Doku
Jérémy Doku Attacker
7.24
42
Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo Attacker
7
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.02
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
6.83
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
6.96
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.83
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.84
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Midfielder
6.88
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Midfielder
6.6
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
6.82
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
6.96
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen Attacker
6.77

CONCLUSION

Expect Manchester City to leverage their overwhelming power edge and home dominance for a convincing victory against Crystal Palace. Guardiola's tactical mastery should exploit Palace's form woes and lower positioning, dominating possession while minimizing counter risks. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, City's proven scoring prowess remains key. Palace may scrap for openings, yet City's depth likely overwhelms. This fixture reinforces City's championship credentials amid Palace's survival fight.