Malmö FF vs Västerås SK preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Malmö Stadion Sun, 24 May - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Malmö FF MAL
2 3
Västerås SK Västerås SK
Full Time Sun, 24 May 2:30 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Adrian Skogmar - 15'
Erik Botheim - 74'
Goal
|
Goal
Jens Magnusson - 36'
Herman Magnusson - 45+2'
Mikkel Ladefoged - 90+1'

CONTEXT

Malmö FF hosted Västerås SK in a match that concluded with a 2-3 scoreline. Malmö FF recorded 61 percent possession while Västerås SK held 39 percent. The designated stronger team Malmö FF did not secure the win as Västerås SK claimed victory. No red cards were shown to players from either side. Pre-match indicators showed a significant deviation of 78.8 percent associated with Västerås SK. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with prior benchmarks for the participants. Expected goals figures were not recorded. The result diverged from market alignment expectations. The halftime position stood at 1-2 before the final outcome was determined. Analysis of structural elements highlights the away side overcoming the possession deficit through clinical finishing phases.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant 78.8 percent deviation occurred with Västerås SK as the linked team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with established benchmarks for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result showed no alignment with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded for Malmö FF or Västerås SK.
  • Event impact: Västerås SK completed a 3-2 win after trailing at the interval.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued resulting in no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Svensson
A. Svensson
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Sundell
R. Sundell
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Rachid
M. Rachid
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
VS
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
Häcken Rank: 59 L
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 58 W
Sirius Rank: 65 L
Djurgården Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: 56 D
GAIS Rank: 59 L
Hammarby Rank: 68 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 51 W
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Sirius Rank: 65 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Malmö FF
54.12%
Draw
24.73%
Away Västerås SK
21.15%

Movement

Changes since opening
Malmö FF
+53.93%
Draw
+19.64%
Västerås SK
-73.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.09
40.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Malmö FF
Västerås SK
Power Score
61.09
40.99
League Position
12
10
Global Rank
451
809

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Malmö FF Opponent-weighted form score
Västerås SK Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Malmö FF Västerås SK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Malmö FF

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Malmö FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.72
26.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.03
21.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Malmö FF -0.43 Efficiency Index
vs
Västerås SK +0.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Malmö FF
Västerås SK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Malmö FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Malmö FF Västerås SK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Malmö FF Västerås SK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Malmö FF
Västerås SK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Malmö FF
vs
Västerås SK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Malmö FF Västerås SK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Malmö FF Västerås SK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Malmö FF
Västerås SK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAL had peak pressure around 80'.
  • MAL started the game with stronger pressure.
MAL Pressure Västerås SK Pressure
Pressure Index: MAL reached the top pressure at 80' (99.86).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Malmö FF MAL Home
2 matches
Västerås SK Västerås SK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:02:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
J. Dahlin
Sweden
27 (C) J. Dahlin
J. Larsen
Denmark
17 J. Larsen
B. Kurtulus
Sweden
4 B. Kurtulus
C. Rosler
Norway
19 C. Rosler
N. Åstrand John
Substitution
Sweden
23 N. Åstrand John
A. Skogmar
Substitution
Sweden
37 A. Skogmar
O. Rosengren
Sweden
7 O. Rosengren
Y. Karabelyov
Substitution
Bulgaria
6 Y. Karabelyov
T. Lundbergh
Substitution
Sweden
47 T. Lundbergh
S. Haksabanovic
Montenegro
29 S. Haksabanovic
E. Botheim
Norway
20 E. Botheim
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
V. Wernersson
Substitution
Sweden
21 V. Wernersson
P. Henriksson Bonde
Sweden
4 P. Henriksson Bonde
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 (C) H. Magnusson
M. Baggesen
Substitution
Denmark
3 M. Baggesen
M. Diagne
Senegal
8 M. Diagne
M. Hellisdal
Substitution
Faroe Islands
30 M. Hellisdal
S. Gefvert
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
K. Gunnarsson
Sweden
5 K. Gunnarsson
M. Riis Ladefoged
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
J. Magnusson
Substitution
Sweden
19 J. Magnusson

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium
Malmö Stadion
Capacity
22500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andreas Svensson
Anton Sjöberg
Richard Sundell
Mohamed Rachid

Statistics

Possession
MAL
59%
Västerås SK
41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 3
65 Dangerous attacks 23
61 Possession 39
2 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 18
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 5
6 Goal Kicks 13
57 Ball Safe 60
2 Assists 2
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
14 Dribble Attempts 11
19 Throwins 15
4 Successful Dribbles 5
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

134 Attacks 92

Possession

42 Successful Long Passes 18
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
82 Successful Passes Percentage 73
458 Successful Passes 263
9 Key Passes 5
560 Passes 358
96 Long Passes 60

Defensive

45 Duels Won 64
13 Tackles 18
0 Saves 2
8 Interceptions 9

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 3
19 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
18 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin (C) Goalkeeper
5.87
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Defender
6.24
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
6.38
19
Colin Rösler
Colin Rösler Defender
5.92
23
N. Åstrand John
N. Åstrand John Defender
6.45
25
Busanello
Busanello
Defender57'
6.59
6
Yanis Karabelyov
Yanis Karabelyov Midfielder
6.62
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic
Midfielder57'
6.62
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
7.16
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
7.22
32
Daníel Gudjohnsen
Daníel Gudjohnsen
Attacker72'
6.99
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Midfielder
6.61
24
Oscar Sjöstrand
Oscar Sjöstrand
Midfielder46'
6.14
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
6.83
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
7.48
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
6.09
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson (C) Defender
7.32
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde Defender
6.61
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson Defender
6.32
24
Jack Tagesson
Jack Tagesson
Defender77'
6.61
3
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen Midfielder
6.55
22
Leonardo Caspari Bark
Leonardo Caspari Bark
Defender86'
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne Midfielder
7.22
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
7.43
30
Mattias Hellisdal
Mattias Hellisdal Midfielder
6.47
32
Musab Abdi Mohamud
Musab Abdi Mohamud
Midfielder90+3'
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson Attacker
7.36
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
7.18
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson Attacker
7.32
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Midfielder77'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Musab Abdi Mohamud Mattias Hellisdal
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Header / 5th Goal
86'
Event
Leonardo Caspari Bark Marcus Baggesen
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa Jens Magnusson
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Jack Tagesson Victor Wernersson
6th Substitution
Event
Erik Botheim
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
Event
Daníel Gudjohnsen Adrian Skogmar
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Bleon Kurtulus
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Kenan Busuladzic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
61'
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Kenan Busuladzic Yanis Karabelyov
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Busanello N. Åstrand John
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Yanis Karabelyov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
47'
Event
Oscar Sjöstrand Theodor Lundbergh
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Herman Magnusson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
36'
Event
Jens Magnusson
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Adrian Skogmar
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
15'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikkel Ladefoged scores, making it 2-3.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Leonardo Bark comes on for Marcus Baggesen.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Erik Botheim takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
76
Attempt Attempt
Bleon Kurtulus takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mikkel Ladefoged scores with a header.
77
Substitution Substitution
Axel Taonsa is substituted for Jens Magnusson.
77
Update Update
Jack Tagesson replaces Victor Wernersson.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Musab Abdi comes on for Mattias Hellisdal.
59
Attempt Attempt
Otto Rosengren's right-footed shot is blocked.
57
Update Update
Gabriel Dal Toe Busanello is on, and Noah Astrand is off.
57
Update Update
Kenan Busuladzic is on, and Yanis Karabelyov is off.
57
Attempt Attempt
Jens Magnusson attempts a header but misses the shot.
72
Update Update
Daniel Tristan Gudjohnsen replaces Adrian Skogmar.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Herman Magnusson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jens Stryger Larsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikkel Ladefoged scores, making it 1-1.
46
Substitution Substitution
Oscar Sjostrand is substituted for Theodor Lundbergh.
53
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Ladefoged takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne has a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Otto Rosengren takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
59
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jens Magnusson scores with a left-footed shot.
17
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adrian Skogmar scores with a right-footed shot.

CONCLUSION

The 2-3 result underscores how possession advantages for Malmö FF at 61 percent failed to translate into defensive stability against Västerås SK. Analytical review shows the away side capitalizing on limited opportunities despite holding only 39 percent of the ball. Absence of expected goals metrics limits deeper performance quantification yet the efficiency alignment indicates consistent output levels. Significant deviation metrics point to structural mismatches between pre-match projections and actual events. Market misalignment further illustrates the gap between anticipated patterns and observed outcomes. With no red cards present the match proceeded without disciplinary interruptions affecting flow. Overall the data reflects a contest where second half adjustments enabled Västerås SK to maintain their lead through targeted execution rather than sustained territorial control.