Malmö FF vs Degerfors preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Malmö Stadion Sun, 9 Aug - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Malmö FFMAL
1 2
DegerforsDegerfors
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 12:00 PM
Round 16 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Dijan Vukojevic - 18', 70'

CONTEXT

Malmö FF faced Degerfors in a league encounter that concluded with a 1-2 scoreline in favor of the visitors. The halftime score stood at 0-1 after Degerfors took an early lead. Malmö FF controlled the majority of the ball with 74 percent possession and created chances worth 2.34 expected goals while Degerfors managed only 0.48. Despite these underlying metrics favoring the home side the result went against them. The stronger team Malmö FF was unable to convert their dominance into a win. A significant structural deviation occurred with Degerfors achieving the victory. The match featured no red cards and proceeded without major disciplinary incidents. Efficiency metrics remained in line with overall patterns observed. This outcome highlighted the unpredictability in football results even when statistical indicators point in one direction.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Malmö FF 1-2 Degerfors. Degerfors showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance levels.
  • xG alignment: The result was not aligned with the xG values of 2.34 to 0.48.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations favored Malmö FF based on their 2.34 total.
  • Event impact: No major events beyond the scored goals altered the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Klitte
F. Klitte
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Milovanovic
A. Milovanovic
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Löfkvist
A. Löfkvist
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Malmö FF G. Helstrup
G. Helstrup
VS
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 55 W
Elfsborg Rank: 58 L
Kalmar Rank: 52 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 58 W
Degerfors Rank: 49 W
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 58 L
Djurgården Rank: 67 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
Västerås SK Rank: 54 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.73
49.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Malmö FF
Degerfors
Power Score
63.73
49.13
League Position
8
14
Global Rank
463
906

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Malmö FF Degerfors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Malmö FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Malmö FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.50
23.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.85
27.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Malmö FF +0.37 Efficiency Index
vs
Degerfors -0.37 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Malmö FF
Degerfors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Malmö FF
vs
Degerfors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Malmö FF Degerfors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
11%
22%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.25 vs -0.11
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Malmö FF Degerfors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
22%
11%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.11 vs -0.25
Malmö FF
Degerfors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Malmö FF
vs
Degerfors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Malmö FF Degerfors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Malmö FF 0.18
Degerfors 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Malmö FF Degerfors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Malmö FF 0.08
Degerfors 0.01
Malmö FF
Degerfors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAL had peak pressure around 86'.
  • MAL started the game with stronger pressure.
MAL Pressure Degerfors Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MAL reached the top pressure at 86' (85.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Malmö FF MAL Home
3 matches
Degerfors Degerfors Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
6
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
2.24
xG
0.88
0.88
xGA
2.24

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:43:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Malmö Stadion
Capacity
22500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fredrik Klitte
Anton Sjöberg
Alexander Milovanovic
Andreas Löfkvist

Statistics

Possession
MAL
68%
Degerfors
32%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 2
87 Dangerous attacks 24
74 Possession 26
5 Corners 4
18 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 80
3 Goal Kicks 13
8 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 5
33 Throwins 9
0 Assists 2
24 Dribble Attempts 12
11 Successful Dribbles 6
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

157 Attacks 55
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

36 Long Passes 68
659 Passes 227
577 Successful Passes 147
88 Successful Passes Percentage 65
11 Key Passes 3
16 Successful Long Passes 18
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26

Defensive

1 Saves 3
20 Tackles 24
1 Interceptions 12
57 Duels Won 58

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 13
10 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 5
17 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

1
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen (C) Goalkeeper
6.19
5
Andrej Djuric
Andrej Djuric Defender
6.86
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
6.66
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
6.64
39
Isaac Assibu
Isaac Assibu
Attacker76'
6.69
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Defender
7
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson
Defender58'
6.48
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
6.88
9
Diego García
Diego García
Attacker46'
7.21
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Midfielder
7.23
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
6.32
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
6.89
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Midfielder
6.47
32
Daníel Gudjohnsen
Daníel Gudjohnsen
Attacker76'
6.72
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
6.84
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.53
2
Ahmad Faqa
Ahmad Faqa Defender
6.83
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro
Defender85'
6.58
3
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth Defender
6.5
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.71
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
7.11
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.62
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.43
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson
Attacker64'
6.76
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay (C) Midfielder
7.6
23
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic Midfielder
6.41
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker85'
6.35
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Attacker
2
8.41
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson
Defender71'
6.6
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
6.55
9
Karim Boutera
Karim Boutera
Attacker71'
6.58

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Andrej Djuric
Goal disallowed
Event
Kenan Busuladzic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
85'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Robin Dzabic
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Nasiru Moro → Ahmad Faqa
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Isaac Assibu → Malte Frejd Pålsson
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Daníel Gudjohnsen → Anton Sebastian Höög
7th Substitution
76'
71'
Event
Karim Boutera → Arman Taranis
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Sebastian Ohlsson → Dijan Vukojevic
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Dijan Vukojevic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
64'
Event
Ludvig Fritzson → Elias Barsoum
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Samba Diatara
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Johan Karlsson → Theodor Lundbergh
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Diego García
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
47'
Event
Robin Dzabic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Diego García → Otto Rosengren
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
18'
Event
Dijan Vukojevic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a cancelled goal by Andrej Djuric.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in the goal being cancelled.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Andrej Djuric makes it 1-3.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Andrej Djuric results in an own goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Olle Leonardsson is on, and Robin Dzabic is off.
85
Update Update
Nasiru Moro comes on for Ahmad Faqa.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nahom Netabay receives a yellow card.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Isaac Assibu comes on for Malte Frejd Palsson.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Daniel Tristan Gudjohnsen comes on for Anton Hoog.
70
Update Update
On comes Karim Boutera, off goes Arman Taranis.
70
Update Update
Sebastian Ohlsson is on, and Dijan Vukojevic is off.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dijan Vukojevic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
64
Update Update
Ludvig Fritzson comes on for Elias Barsoum.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samba Diatara receives a yellow card.
59
Update Update
On Johan Karlsson, off Theodor Lundbergh.
53
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Diego Garcia Campos scores with a right-footed shot.
48
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Robin Dzabic.
46
Substitution Substitution
Diego Garcia Campos is substituted for Otto Rosengren.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Otto Rosengren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dijan Vukojevic scores to make it 0-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dijan Vukojevic scores to make it 0-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dijan Vukojevic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
16
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Fredrik Klitte Astorp.

CONCLUSION

The encounter saw Malmö FF generate substantially more expected goals yet fall short against Degerfors who won 1-2. Possession was heavily skewed towards the home team at 74 percent but this did not translate into the desired outcome. The halftime score of 0-1 set the tone for a contest where Degerfors defended their lead effectively. Absence of red cards meant both teams maintained full squads allowing for tactical adjustments without numerical disadvantage. The result not matching xG highlights variance in finishing and defensive organization. Degerfors demonstrated efficiency that was in line with their approach despite lower overall metrics. This game serves as a reminder that football outcomes depend on multiple factors including timing of goals and individual moments of quality. Analysis shows the winner overcame the statistical disadvantage through resolute performance.