Malisheva vs Hibernian preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri Thu, 23 Jul - 2:30 PM
Europa Conference League
MalishevaMalisheva
2 0
HibernianHIB
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 2:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Kreshnik Uka - 21'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Malisheva secured a notable 2-0 win over Hibernian in the first leg of their knockout tie. The home team opened the scoring in the first half, leading 1-0 at the interval. Despite Hibernian enjoying greater possession at 57 percent to Malisheva's 43 percent, they could not find a way through the defense. Malisheva added to their advantage in the second half to complete the victory. As the designated stronger team, Hibernian was anticipated to progress but fell short on the day. No red cards were issued, allowing both sides to play with full complements. The outcome reflected a minimal deviation from pre-match projections, emphasizing Malisheva's efficiency in front of goal. This result leaves the tie finely balanced for the second leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Malisheva exhibited a minimal structural deviation of 2.6 percent in this match.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the teams' performances throughout the game.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was market aligned according to available indicators.
  • xG expectations: No specific xG expectations were provided for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The 2-0 victory had a significant event impact on the tie's progression.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as no red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Lissorgue
R. Lissorgue
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
H. Zakrani
H. Zakrani
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Berchebru
M. Berchebru
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Bollengier
M. Bollengier
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Malisheva T. Brdarić
T. Brdarić
VS
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vllaznia Shkodër Rank: 46 W
Vllaznia Shkodër Rank: 45 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Malisheva
97.44%
Draw
1.91%
Away Hibernian
0.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.8
68.98
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Malisheva
Hibernian
Power Score
55.8
68.98
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
665
270

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Malisheva — Opponent-weighted form score
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Malisheva Hibernian

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Malisheva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hibernian

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Malisheva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hibernian
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.28
26.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.23
26.28
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Malisheva +0.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Hibernian 0.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Malisheva
Hibernian
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Malisheva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hibernian
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Malisheva Hibernian
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Malisheva Hibernian
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Malisheva
Hibernian
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Malisheva
vs
Hibernian
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Malisheva Hibernian
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Malisheva 0.12
Hibernian 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Malisheva Hibernian
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Malisheva 0.00
Hibernian 0.03
Malisheva
Hibernian
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HIB had peak pressure around 82'.
  • Malisheva started the game with stronger pressure.
Malisheva Pressure HIB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HIB reached the top pressure at 82' (61.58).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Capacity
13500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Romain Lissorgue
Hicham Zakrani
Mikael Berchebru
Marc Bollengier

Statistics

Possession
Malisheva
46%
HIB
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Shots 8
66 Dangerous attacks 99
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 6
24 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

100 Ball Safe 100
7 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 27
2 Injuries 0

Attacking

147 Attacks 166

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Romain Lissorgue

Starting XI ▼

1
Ilir Avdyli
Ilir Avdyli Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Arlind Veliu
Arlind Veliu Defender
6.61
5
Dreni Kryeziu
Dreni Kryeziu (C) Defender
6.5
27
Andreas Skovgaard
Andreas Skovgaard Defender
6.5
55
Kesli Shani Defender
6
Besnik Ferati
Besnik Ferati Midfielder
6.5
7
Kreshnik Uka
Kreshnik Uka Midfielder
7.06
10
Laurent Xhylani
Laurent Xhylani Midfielder
6.5
—
Laurent Xhylani
71'
17
Vüsal Isgandarli
Vüsal Isgandarli Midfielder
6.5
20
Arbër Pira
Arbër Pira
Defender72'
6.5
30
Donart Vitija
Donart Vitija Midfielder
6.5
—
Donart Vitija
86'
99
Dzemal Ibishi
Dzemal Ibishi Attacker
6.5
3
Omer Bajraktari
Omer Bajraktari
Defender90+2'
Referee : Romain Lissorgue

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Grant Hanley
Grant Hanley Defender
6.05
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Defender
6.04
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Defender
6.26
3
Adam Mayor
Adam Mayor
Midfielder46'
6.37
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Defender
6.05
8
Josh Mulligan
Josh Mulligan Midfielder
6.37
47
Azeem Abdullah
Azeem Abdullah
Midfielder81'
6.33
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Midfielder
6.27
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Midfielder
6.27
7
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
6.46
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell
Midfielder68'
6.37
9
Nathan Lowe
Nathan Lowe Attacker
6.43
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle (C) Attacker
6.46
18
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé
Attacker68'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Azeem Abdullah
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Omer Bajraktari → Dzemal Ibishi
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Valjmir Nafiu
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
90'
Event
Thomas Brdaric
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Korab Luma → Donart Vitija
8th Substitution
86'
81'
Event
Azeem Abdullah → Josh Mulligan
7th Substitution
Event
R. Murati → Keslin Shani
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Arbër Pira → Vüsal Isgandarli
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Valjmir Nafiu → Laurent Xhylani
4th Substitution
71'
68'
Event
Thibault Klidjé → Martin Boyle
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Joe Newell → Owen Elding
3rd Substitution
52'
Event
Warren O'Hora
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Adam Mayor → Jack Iredale
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Kreshnik Uka
Field Goal / 1st Goal
21'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Omer Bajraktari is on, and Dzemal Ibishi is off.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Valmir Nafiu scores, making it 2-0.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
86
Substitution Substitution
Korab Luma is substituted for Donart Vitija.
81
Substitution Substitution
Azeem Abdulai is substituted for Josh Mulligan.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Redjep Murati comes on for Keslin Shani.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arber Pira comes on for Vusal Isgandarli.
72
Update Update
Valmir Nafiu comes on for Laurent Xhylani.
68
Update Update
On comes Joseph Peter Newell, off goes Owen Elding.
68
Update Update
Thibault Klidje comes on for Martin Boyle.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Mayor comes on for Jack Iredale.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Romain Lissorgue.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Malisheva 2-0 Hibernian. Structural assessment: Malisheva exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.