Málaga vs Racing Santander preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio La Rosaleda Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Málaga MLA
Racing Santander RAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Málaga hosts Racing Santander at Estadio La Rosaleda during the 2025/2026 La Liga 2 regular season. League positions place the visitors at the summit while the hosts occupy fourth spot domestically. Power ratings give Racing Santander a narrow edge of 1.7 points overall. Form scores reflect a similar pattern with the away side ahead by a slim margin. Both clubs enter the fixture without recent outing details available for review. Venue atmosphere at the home ground often favors the local side yet the table leaders arrive with strong credentials. Preparations focus on midfield control and defensive organization for what promises to be a competitive encounter. Analysts note the absence of knockout elements allowing full concentration on league points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander holds a slight power advantage of 1.7 points over Málaga in this La Liga 2 encounter.
  • Form: Racing Santander edges Málaga in recent form with a score of 36.28 compared to 33.72.
  • Squad: Málaga sits in fourth place while Racing Santander leads the table in domestic league standings.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both sides ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not specified in current preparations for the fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis indicates low confidence levels with proxy data employed for both Málaga and Racing Santander.
  • xVariable: Power scores highlight Racing Santander as the stronger team with 72.27 versus Málaga's 70.61.
  • Market: Málaga 55.7% (Δ-1.8%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0.5%) | Racing Santander 22.6% (Δ+1.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Málaga J. Funes Arjona
J. Funes Arjona
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
2.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.96
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: 62 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
SD Eibar Rank: 70 W
Castellón Rank: 68 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Las Palmas Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 61 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 70 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Málaga
55.66%
Draw
21.73%
Away Racing Santander
22.6%

Movement

Changes since opening
Málaga
-1.75%
Draw
+0.45%
Racing Santander
+1.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.61
72.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Málaga
Racing Santander
Power Score
70.61
72.27
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
194
155

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Málaga — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Málaga Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Málaga MLA Home
19 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
8
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
8
Goals
25
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
25
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:10:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Herrero Peinador
1 A. Herrero Peinador
C. Puga Medina
3 C. Puga Medina
?. Recio Gutiérrez
36 ?. Recio Gutiérrez
E. Galilea Azaceta
4 E. Galilea Azaceta
R. Garrido Hierro
31 R. Garrido Hierro
D. Larrubia Romano
10 D. Larrubia Romano
I. Merino Rodríguez
23 I. Merino Rodríguez
R. Rodríguez Ruiz
37 R. Rodríguez Ruiz
J. Muñoz Benavides
11 J. Muñoz Benavides
C. Ruiz Rubio
9 C. Ruiz Rubio
D. Lorenzo Guerrero
22 D. Lorenzo Guerrero
Lars Eriksson
13 Lars Eriksson
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
P. Ramón Parra
21 P. Ramón Parra
J. Hernando Riol
4 J. Hernando Riol
A. Mantilla Pérez
2 A. Mantilla Pérez
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
D. Rodríguez Sousa
23 D. Rodríguez Sousa
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
A. Villalibre Molina
12 A. Villalibre Molina

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda
Capacity
30044
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Alfonso Herrero
Alfonso Herrero Goalkeeper
6.95
10
David Larrubia
David Larrubia Midfielder
7.12
11
Joaquín Muñoz
Joaquín Muñoz Midfielder
6.95
22
Dani Lorenzo
Dani Lorenzo Attacker
7.04
9
Chupe
Chupe Attacker
7.16
31
Rafita Garrido
Rafita Garrido Left Back
6.73
36
Ángel Recio
Ángel Recio Right Back
6.51
37
Rafa Rodríguez
Rafa Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.75
3
Carlos Puga
Carlos Puga Right Back
6.95
4
Einar Galilea
Einar Galilea Left Back
6.79
23
Izan Merino
Izan Merino Central Midfield
6.71

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.55
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre Centre Forward
6.94
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Right Back
6.78
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Right Back
6.62
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Left Back
6.72
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
7.48
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Left Back
6.68
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
7.34
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
7.06
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
6.93
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez Defensive Midfield
6.72

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander carries momentum from top position into this away assignment against a resolute Málaga side. Home advantage at La Rosaleda could spark an energetic response from the fourth placed hosts. Midfield battles and organized defending will likely decide key moments throughout the ninety minutes. Both teams lack recent form records yet their season long positions suggest a tightly contested affair. Expect emphasis on structured build up rather than chaotic transitions given the available indicators. The encounter offers a platform for the leaders to extend their advantage while Málaga seeks to close the gap with a strong performance.