Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
MDCC-Arena
2. Bundesliga
MagdeburgMagdeburg
Holstein KielHKI
KICKOFF :
Round 3 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Magdeburg host Holstein Kiel in 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season) at MDCC-Arena. Domestically, Magdeburg sit 10th in the table while Holstein Kiel are 13th. Power ranking favours Holstein Kiel by 0.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Holstein Kiel hold a +0.8 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Magdeburg sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Magdeburg show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Holstein Kiel have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Holstein Kiel carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Holstein Kiel hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Magdeburg P. Sander
P. Sander
VS
Holstein Kiel T. Walter
T. Walter
1.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osnabrück Rank: 73 W
Eintracht Braunschweig Rank: 69 L
Kaiserslautern Rank: 73 L
Holstein Kiel Rank: 73 W
Hertha BSC Rank: 76 W
Nürnberg Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Pauli Rank: 74 D
Darmstadt 98 Rank: 73 D
Dynamo Dresden Rank: 73 L
Magdeburg Rank: 72 L
Eintracht Braunschweig Rank: 68 W
Hertha BSC Rank: 76 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.13
72.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Power Score
72.13
72.93
League Position
10
13
Global Rank
210
191

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Magdeburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Holstein Kiel — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Magdeburg Holstein Kiel

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Magdeburg Magdeburg Home
2 matches
Holstein Kiel HKI Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-29T00:31:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
MDCC-Arena
Capacity
30096
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jarno Wienefeld
Jan Clemens Neitzel
Mario Hildenbrand
Lennart Kernchen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jarno Wienefeld

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Reimann
Dominik Reimann Goalkeeper
7.59
8
Emmanuel Iyoha
Emmanuel Iyoha Attacker
7.29
22
Mateusz Zukowski
Mateusz Zukowski Centre Forward
6.94
23
Baris Atik
Baris Atik Attacker
7.65
3
Anselmo García MacNulty
Anselmo García MacNulty Left Back
6.42
5
Tobias Müller
Tobias Müller Right Back
7.04
17
Alexander Nollenberger
Alexander Nollenberger Left Back
7.67
33
Leon Mergner
Leon Mergner Central Midfield
6.44
21
Falko Michel
Falko Michel Central Midfield
6.67
28
Pierre Nadjombe
Pierre Nadjombe Right Back
6.26
38
Luka Hyryläinen
Luka Hyryläinen Central Midfield
6.63
Referee : Jarno Wienefeld

Starting XI ▼

1
Timon Weiner
Timon Weiner Goalkeeper
6.82
11
Alexander Bernhardsson
Alexander Bernhardsson Midfielder
6.94
20
Adrián Kaprálik
Adrián Kaprálik Midfielder
6.53
19
Phil Harres
Phil Harres Centre Forward
8.01
8
Guillermo Balzi
Guillermo Balzi Central Midfield
7.68
13
Ivan Nekic
Ivan Nekic Right Back
6.51
15
Kasper Davidsen
Kasper Davidsen Central Midfield
6.82
26
David Zec
David Zec Left Back
6.22
28
Jonas Meffert
Jonas Meffert Defensive Midfield
6.92
32
Hiroki Sekine
Hiroki Sekine Right Back
6.87
40
Leon Parduzi
Leon Parduzi Left Back
6.79

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Holstein Kiel holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Holstein Kiel a 0.8-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.