Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Baumit Arena Thu, 30 Jul - 4:00 PM
Europa League
Maccabi Tel AvivMTA
1 0
SheriffSHF
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 6 - 0
Samba Koné - 29' (Own Goal)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Sheriff. The result saw Maccabi Tel Aviv take the points. Maccabi Tel Aviv showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal deviation of 4.3 percent occurred for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with prior patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG data was unavailable to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome was aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were available to evaluate expectations.
  • Event impact: The first-half goal decided the 1-0 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Redder
M. Redder
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Risum
R. Risum
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Christensen
T. Christensen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Graagaard
L. Graagaard
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv K. Miller
K. Miller
VS
Sheriff Victor Mihailov
Victor Mihailov
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheriff Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: L
Aluminij Rank: 53 W
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Maccabi Tel Aviv
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away Sheriff
0.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
46.94
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff
Power Score
46.94
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Maccabi Tel Aviv — Opponent-weighted form score
Sheriff — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sheriff

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Maccabi Tel Aviv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheriff
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.24
22.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.50
24.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Sheriff -0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Maccabi Tel Aviv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheriff
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Maccabi Tel Aviv
vs
Sheriff
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0.15
Sheriff 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sheriff
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0.00
Sheriff 0.01
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHF had peak pressure around 6'.
  • SHF started the game with stronger pressure.
MTA Pressure SHF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHF reached the top pressure at 6' (44.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Maccabi Tel Aviv MTA Home
1 matches
Sheriff SHF Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
5
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:02:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 6 - 0
Stadium
Baumit Arena
Capacity
20000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mikkel Redder
Rene Risum
Troels Christensen
Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Statistics

Possession
MTA
64%
SHF
36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
5 Shots 4
80 Dangerous attacks 33
66 Possession 34
12 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 13

Attacking

113 Attacks 68

Discipline

4 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Mikkel Redder

Starting XI ▼

22
Ofek Melika
Ofek Melika Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Roy Revivo
Roy Revivo Defender
6.5
5
Mohamed Camara
Mohamed Camara Defender
6.5
11
Sagiv Jehezkel
Sagiv Jehezkel Defender
6.5
77
Osher Davida
Osher Davida
Midfielder63'
6.5
13
Raz Shlomo
Raz Shlomo Defender
6.5
21
Noam Ben Harush
Noam Ben Harush Defender
6.5
41
Itay Ben Hemo
Itay Ben Hemo
Defender79'
6.5
28
Issouf Sissokho
Issouf Sissokho Midfielder
6.5
29
Hélio Varela
Hélio Varela Midfielder
6.5
30
Itamar Noy
Itamar Noy
Midfielder79'
6.5
36
Ido Shahar
Ido Shahar Midfielder
6.5
60
Ilay Ben Simon
Ilay Ben Simon
Midfielder63'
6.5
42
Dor Peretz
Dor Peretz (C) Midfielder
6.5
34
Sayed Abu Farkhi
Sayed Abu Farkhi Attacker
6.5
Referee : Mikkel Redder

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Timbur
Emil Timbur Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Mamoutou Ouédraogo
Mamoutou Ouédraogo Defender
6.26
6
Raí
Raí (C) Defender
6.26
15
Baye Assane Ciss
Baye Assane Ciss Defender
6.25
22
Miguel Mota
Miguel Mota Defender
6.26
11
Sapata
Sapata
Midfielder57'
6.5
35
Bourama Fomba
Bourama Fomba Defender
6.26
24
Danila Forov
Danila Forov Midfielder
6.37
37
Jair Modelo
Jair Modelo
Defender77'
6.5
26
Dhoraso Klas
Dhoraso Klas Midfielder
6.37
42
Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
Loukou Jaures-Ulrich Midfielder
6.37
27
Veaceslav Cozma
Veaceslav Cozma
Midfielder77'
6.5
76
Arli Përgjoni
Arli Përgjoni Midfielder
6.37
4
Natus Jamel Swen
Natus Jamel Swen
Defender77'
6.5
99
Samba Koné
Samba Koné Midfielder
6.16
17
Vsevolod Nihaev
Vsevolod Nihaev
Midfielder59'
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Baye Assane Ciss
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Itay Ben Hemo → Noam Ben Harush
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Itamar Noy → Hélio Varela
9th Substitution
79'
77'
Event
Veaceslav Cozma → Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Jair Modelo → Danila Forov
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Natus Jamel Swen → Arli Përgjoni
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Vsevolod Nihaev
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Osher Davida → Sagiv Jehezkel
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Ilay Ben Simon → Ido Shahar
4th Substitution
63'
59'
Event
Vsevolod Nihaev → Samba Koné
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Sapata → Miguel Mota
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Samba Koné
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
29'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Baye Ciss receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Itamar Noy comes on for Helio Varela.
79
Update Update
Itai Ben Hamo comes on for Noam Ben Harush.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Veaceslav Cozma is on, and Loukou Jaures Ulrich is off.
76
Update Update
On Natus Jamel Swen, off Arli Pergjoni.
76
Update Update
On comes Jair Modelo, off goes Danila Forov.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vsevolod Nihaev.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
On Ilay Ben Simon, Off Ido Shahar.
63
Update Update
Osher Davida is on, and Sagiv Yehezkel is off.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Substitution Substitution
Vsevolod Nihaev is substituted for Samba Kone.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
On Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira, off Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal makes it 1-0.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mikkel Redder.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff. Structural assessment: Maccabi Tel Aviv exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.