Lugano vs Vaduz preview
2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland
Stadio di Cornaredo
Sun, 26 Jul - 2:30 PM
Round 1 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
In a Swiss league encounter, Lugano overcame Vaduz with a final score of 2-1. The home team established a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime through efficient finishing. Although Vaduz held 51 percent possession, they managed only 1.05 in expected goals while Lugano posted 2.21. A red card issued to Vaduz in the second half further tilted the balance. Lugano, identified as the stronger side, maintained control and converted their advantage into the win. The performance exhibited a significant deviation of 100 percent from the deviation team. Overall, the match dynamics shifted notably after the event, leading to the observed result without any major surprises in the expected outcome alignment.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Lugano 2-1 Vaduz. Lugano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with pre-match projections.
-
xG alignment: The final result aligned with the xG differential of 1.16.
-
Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with aligned market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Lugano exceeded xG expectations with 2.21 against 1.05.
-
Event impact: The red card had a notable impact on second half adjustments.
-
Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected Vaduz's ability to compete effectively.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Dudic
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
P. Hirzel
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
N. Müller
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Jaussi
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Croci-Torti
VS
M. Schneider
1.65
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Basel
Rank: 64
W
Sion
Rank: 67
D
St. Gallen
Rank: 70
L
Young Boys
Rank: 68
W
Thun
Rank: 66
W
Zürich
Rank: 52
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.28
65.04
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lugano
Vaduz
Power Score
69.28
65.04
League Position
4
8
Global Rank
283
834
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Lugano
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Vaduz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Lugano Vaduz
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Lugano
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Vaduz
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lugano
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Vaduz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.29
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Lugano
+2.60
Efficiency Index
vs
Vaduz
-2.60
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lugano
Vaduz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lugano
vs
Vaduz
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Lugano
Vaduz
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
30%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.67
vs
-0.36
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Lugano
Vaduz
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
35%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36
vs
-0.67
Lugano
Vaduz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Lugano
vs
Vaduz
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Lugano
Vaduz
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Lugano
0.37
Vaduz
0.29
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lugano
Vaduz
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Lugano
0.03
Vaduz
0.03
Lugano
Vaduz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LUGA had peak pressure around 81'.
- LUGA started the game with stronger pressure.
LUGA Pressure
VADU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
LUGA reached the top pressure at 81' (90.91).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-1-2
Match Formation
4-3-1-2
17 L. Mai
18 J. Bichsel
21 Y. Cimignani
25 U. Bislimi
8 A. Grgic
14 A. Kendouci
11 (C) R. Steffen
#9170'
24 E. Pihlström
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio di Cornaredo
Capacity
6390
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Alessandro Dudic
Pascal Hirzel
Nicolas Müller
Jonathan Jaussi
Next Match
Lugano
vs
Dukagjini
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Wed, 29 Jul - 2:30 PM
Venue: Stadiumi 18 Qershori
Vaduz
vs
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 30 Jul - 2:00 PM
Venue: Estadi Nacional
Statistics
Possession
LUGA
52%
VADU
48%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
1
5
Big Chances Created
1
10
Shots
7
60
Dangerous attacks
38
49
Possession
51
9
Corners
3
10
Free kicks
14
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
75
Ball Safe
91
6
Goal Kicks
18
18
Goal Attempts
11
5
Substitutions
5
24
Throwins
19
3
Hit Woodwork
1
2
Assists
1
0
Injuries
1
14
Dribble Attempts
13
5
Successful Dribbles
4
36
Successful Dribbles Percentage
31
Attacking
114
Attacks
73
3
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
59
Long Passes
50
410
Passes
440
332
Successful Passes
353
81
Successful Passes Percentage
80
18
Key Passes
7
30
Successful Long Passes
18
51
Successful Long Passes Percentage
36
Defensive
2
Saves
6
17
Tackles
15
13
Interceptions
8
Build-up
27
Total Crosses
14
9
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
10
Lineup
Referee :
Alessandro Dudic
Manager ▼
M. Croci-Torti
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
28
Felix Gebhardt
Goalkeeper
4
Damian Kelvin
Defender
23
Gjan Ajdin
Midfielder
22
Beckham Castro
Attacker
Referee :
Alessandro Dudic
Manager ▼
M. Schneider
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Benjamin Büchel
Goalkeeper
6
Denis Simani
Defender
37
Luca Celentano
Defender
23
Mats Hammerich
Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
10th Substitution
90+3'
82'
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
80'
9th Substitution
74'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
7th Substitution
70'
8th Substitution
70'
66'
6th Substitution
5th Substitution
60'
4th Substitution
59'
58'
3rd Substitution
57'
2nd Substitution
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Header / 2nd Goal
37'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
29'
CONCLUSION
Lugano secured a 2-1 victory over Vaduz in this competitive fixture. Starting with a strong first half performance that resulted in a 2-0 halftime score, the home side demonstrated clinical finishing. Despite the away team enjoying marginally higher possession, their lower xG output limited their chances. The sending off of a Vaduz player introduced red card distortion that hampered their comeback efforts in the latter stages. This event impact proved decisive as Lugano held firm to claim the three points. The result matched xG expectations and showed no major efficiency shift from anticipated levels. In conclusion, the structural deviation by the stronger team underscored their dominance throughout the encounter, providing a clear indication of their superiority on the day.
Match Commentary