Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad) Thu, 30 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
LudogoretsLUD
2 – 2
Hapoel Tel AvivHTA
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 4
Goal
|
Goal
Emmanuel Boateng - 16', 58'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ludogorets 2–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv. The match ended in a draw. Hapoel Tel Aviv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 62%–38%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a significant deviation of 74.5 percent centered on Hapoel Tel Aviv.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with established patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data was available to assess outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals values were not provided in the match data.
  • Event impact: The second leg finished 2-2 and altered the aggregate to 4-6.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to influence match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Karabaev
S. Karabaev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Dolgikh
A. Dolgikh
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kalachev
S. Kalachev
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Chekhovskiy
G. Chekhovskiy
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ludogorets T. Reis
T. Reis
VS
Hapoel Tel Aviv E. Barda
E. Barda
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hapoel Tel Aviv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ludogorets Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ludogorets
50.21%
Draw
25.47%
Away Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
Ludogorets
+45.82%
Draw
-65.76%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
+19.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.67
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Power Score
26.67
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ludogorets — Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ludogorets

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ludogorets ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.77
27.37
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.37
26.77
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ludogorets -0.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ludogorets ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Tel Aviv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ludogorets
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ludogorets 0.18
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ludogorets 0.04
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.03
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LUD had peak pressure around 41'.
  • LUD started the game with stronger pressure.
LUD Pressure HTA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LUD reached the top pressure at 41' (85.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ludogorets LUD Home
1 matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv HTA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:05:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 4
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Capacity
10422
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sayat Karabaev
Aleksey Dolgikh
Sergey Kalachev
Georgiy Chekhovskiy

Statistics

Possession
LUD
58%
HTA
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
5 Shots 2
72 Dangerous attacks 48
62 Possession 38
6 Corners 2
21 Free kicks 17
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
22 Throwins 16

Attacking

106 Attacks 83

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Sayat Karabaev

Starting XI ▼

39
Hendrik Bonmann
Hendrik Bonmann Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Anton Nedyalkov
Anton Nedyalkov (C) Defender
6.04
15
Edvin Kurtulus
Edvin Kurtulus Defender
6.05
17
Son
Son Defender
6.04
27
Vinícius Nogueira de Oliveira
Vinícius Nogueira de Oliveira Defender
6.05
42
Simeon Shishkov
Simeon Shishkov
Defender75'
6.5
14
Petar Stanic
Petar Stanic Midfielder
6.34
29
Yves Erick Bile
Yves Erick Bile
Attacker87'
18
Ivaylo Chochev
Ivaylo Chochev Midfielder
6.38
26
Filip Kaloc
Filip Kaloc Midfielder
6.37
20
Aguibou Camara
Aguibou Camara
Midfielder46'
6.37
37
Bernard Tekpetey
Bernard Tekpetey Midfielder
6.47
7
Alberto Salido
Alberto Salido Attacker
6.79
25
Emerson Rodríguez
Emerson Rodríguez
Midfielder66'
6.5
9
Kwadwo Duah
Kwadwo Duah Attacker
6.11
12
Rwan Cruz
Rwan Cruz
Attacker66'
6.46
Referee : Sayat Karabaev

Starting XI ▼

22
Assaf Tzur
Assaf Tzur Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Chico
Chico Defender
6.04
5
Fernand Mayembo
Fernand Mayembo (C) Defender
6.05
16
Doron Leidner
Doron Leidner Defender
6.04
21
Shahar Piven
Shahar Piven
Defender55'
6.5
97
Marcus Coco
Marcus Coco Defender
6.05
6
Andrian Kraev
Andrian Kraev Midfielder
6.27
11
Stav Turiel
Stav Turiel Midfielder
6.23
23
Amit Lemkin
Amit Lemkin
Midfielder83'
6.5
98
Falcão
Falcão Midfielder
6.27
9
Emmanuel Boateng
Emmanuel Boateng Attacker
2
7.06
44
Daniel Dappa
Daniel Dappa
Attacker75'
6.5
10
Xande Silva
Xande Silva Attacker
6.39
15
Roei Alkukin
Roei Alkukin
Midfielder55'
6.5
51
Omri Altman
Omri Altman Attacker
6.51
8
Yonatan Farber
Yonatan Farber
Midfielder83'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rwan Cruz
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Yves Erick Bile → Petar Stanic
10th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Yonatan Farber → Omri Altman
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Amit Lemkin → Stav Turiel
9th Substitution
Event
Thomas Reis
Argument / 10th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Anton Nedyalkov
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Simeon Shishkov → Vinícius Nogueira de Oliveira
7th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Daniel Dappa → Emmanuel Boateng
6th Substitution
Event
Rwan Cruz → Kwadwo Duah
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Emerson Rodríguez → Alberto Salido
5th Substitution
66'
58'
Event
Emmanuel Boateng
Field Goal / 4th Goal
55'
Event
Roei Alkukin → Xande Silva
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Shahar Piven → Doron Leidner
3rd Substitution
Event
Alberto Salido
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
54'
Event
Bernard Tekpetey
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
47'
Event
Aguibou Camara → Filip Kaloc
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+8'
Event
Stav Turiel
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Doron Leidner
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
42'
Event
Xande Silva
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Kwadwo Duah
Goalkeeper save
39'
Event
Idan Nachmias
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
25'
Event
Son
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
24'
Event
Petar Stanic
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
22'
Event
Chico
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Emmanuel Boateng
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Substitution Substitution
Eric Bille is substituted for Petar Stanic.
83
Update Update
On Amit Lemkin, off Stav Turiel.
83
Update Update
Yonatan Ferber comes on for Omri Altman.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Anton Nedyalkov.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Anton Nedyalkov.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Daniel Dappa comes on for Emmanuel Boateng.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
On Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz, Off Kwadwo Duah.
66
Update Update
Emerson Rivaldo Rodriguez Valois comes on for Alberto Salido.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emmanuel Boateng scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
55
Update Update
Shahar Piven-Bachtiar is on, and Doron Leidner is off.
55
Update Update
Roee Alkokin is on, and Xande Silva is off.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
46
Update Update
Aguibou Camara is on, and Filip Kaloc is off.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stav Turiel receives a yellow card.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Doron Leidner receives a yellow card.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Xande Silva receives a yellow card.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Kwadwo Duah's attempt is unsuccessful.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Francisco Javier Hidalgo Gomez.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Francisco Alves da Silva Neto.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Petar Stanic.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sayat Karabayev.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw in the second leg reflected balanced second-half adjustments after a 0-1 halftime deficit for the home side. Ludogorets leveraged higher possession to equalize yet could not overcome the aggregate deficit established in the first leg. Hapoel Tel Aviv maintained defensive structure despite reduced possession share. Absence of red cards allowed both teams to complete their tactical setups without numerical disadvantage. The significant pre-match deviation did not translate into an aligned result on the pitch. Efficiency remained consistent with prior benchmarks for each side. Overall the tie advanced on aggregate terms with the draw serving as a neutral endpoint to the two-legged encounter.