Mjällby vs Salzburg preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Strandvallen
Europa League
MjällbyMJA
0 1
SalzburgRBS
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Tom Pettersson - 90+2' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Mjällby 0–1 Salzburg. The result saw Salzburg take the points. Salzburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Mjällby 1.3 – 2.6 Salzburg. Possession was 31%–69%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Mjällby 0-1 Salzburg. Salzburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Nikolai Balakin
Nikolai Balakin
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
O. Berkut
O. Berkut
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Matyash
V. Matyash
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Panchyshyn
D. Panchyshyn
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Salzburg D. Röhl
D. Röhl
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pafos FC Rank: D
Pafos FC Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mjällby
22.23%
Draw
24.29%
Away Salzburg
53.48%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mjällby
+21.59%
Draw
+20.57%
Salzburg
-42.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.97
71.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Salzburg
Power Score
65.97
71.02
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
363
224

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Salzburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Salzburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.97
39.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.71
35.97
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby -0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Salzburg +0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Salzburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby
vs
Salzburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Salzburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
41%
7%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.52 vs -0.19
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Salzburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
7%
41%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.19 vs -0.52
Mjällby
Salzburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mjällby
vs
Salzburg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Salzburg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby 0.43
Salzburg 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Salzburg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby 0.01
Salzburg 0.00
Mjällby
Salzburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RBS had peak pressure around 32'.
  • RBS started the game with stronger pressure.
MJA Pressure RBS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RBS reached the top pressure at 32' (90.92).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nikolai Balakin
Oleksandr Berkut
Viktor Matyash
Dmytro Panchyshyn

Statistics

Possession
MJA
37%
RBS
63%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 9
23 Dangerous attacks 68
31 Possession 69
2 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 84
9 Goal Kicks 9
9 Goal Attempts 13
4 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
6 Dribble Attempts 9
6 Successful Dribbles 9
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

74 Attacks 133

Possession

30 Long Passes 29
297 Passes 671
71 Successful Passes Percentage 90
9 Key Passes 17

Defensive

6 Saves 1
20 Tackles 16
12 Interceptions 7
42 Duels Won 49

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Nikolai Balakin

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
8.11
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.97
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
7.08
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen Defender
6.36
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
7.1
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.6
6
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård
Midfielder84'
6.47
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson (C) Midfielder
6.81
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg Midfielder
6.95
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath
Midfielder70'
6.57
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
6.6
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand
Defender90'
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.97
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
6.46
26
Ian Hoffmann
Ian Hoffmann
Defender70'
6.7
Referee : Nikolai Balakin

Starting XI ▼

52
Christian Zawieschitzky
Christian Zawieschitzky Goalkeeper
7.09
18
Nikolas Veratschnig
Nikolas Veratschnig (C) Defender
7.67
31
Dominik Schmid
Dominik Schmid Defender
8.02
44
Kévin Boma
Kévin Boma Defender
7.03
47
Valentin Zabransky
Valentin Zabransky Defender
7.3
15
Bartosz Mazurek
Bartosz Mazurek Midfielder
6.86
14
Maurits Kjærgaard
Maurits Kjærgaard
Midfielder60'
6.65
23
Damir Redzic
Damir Redzic Midfielder
7.5
33
Aboubacar Camara
Aboubacar Camara
Attacker74'
6.49
32
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
7.27
9
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
6.37
8
Sota Kitano
Sota Kitano
Midfielder74'
6.55
11
Yorbe Vertessen
Yorbe Vertessen Attacker
6.87
19
Karim Konaté
Karim Konaté
Attacker60'
6.7
20
Edmund Baidoo
Edmund Baidoo Attacker
8.13
7
Umut Tohumcu
Umut Tohumcu
Midfielder81'
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Tom Pettersson
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
Event
Ludvig Tidstrand → Jeppe Kjær
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Mads Enggård → Viktor Gustafson
8th Substitution
84'
81'
Event
Umut Tohumcu → Edmund Baidoo
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Aboubacar Camara → Damir Redzic
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Sota Kitano → Haris Tabakovic
6th Substitution
Event
Ian Hoffmann → Áki Samuelsen
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Villiam Granath → Olle Lindberg
4th Substitution
70'
60'
Event
Maurits Kjærgaard → Bartosz Mazurek
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Karim Konaté → Yorbe Vertessen
2nd Substitution
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellowcard
58'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Tom Pettersson gives the opposing team a 1-0 lead.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
90
Update Update
Ludvig Tidstrand comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
84
Substitution Substitution
Enggard Mads is substituted for Viktor Gustafsson.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Umut Tohumcu is on, and Edmund Baidoo is off.
74
Update Update
Aboubacar Camara comes on for Damir Redzic.
74
Update Update
Sota Kitano replaces Haris Tabakovic.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Villiam Granath comes on for Olle Lindberg.
70
Substitution Substitution
Ian Hoffmann is substituted for Aki Samuelsen.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
Maurits Kjaergaard comes on for Bartosz Mazurek.
60
Update Update
Karim Konate comes on for Yorbe Vertessen.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aki Samuelsen.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mykola Balakin.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mjällby 0-1 Salzburg. Structural assessment: Salzburg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.