Los Angeles FC vs San Diego preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
BMO Stadium Today - 2:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Full Time Today 2:30 AM
Regular Season
|
Goal
Anders Dreyer - 89' (P)
|

CONTEXT

Los Angeles FC hosted San Diego in a match that concluded with a 0-1 final score after a scoreless first half. The home side held 40 percent possession but managed only 0.93 expected goals compared to the visitors 1.19. San Diego played with ten men after receiving a red card yet secured the victory. The stronger team on paper fell short as the outcome remained consistent with the underlying metrics. Possession favored the away side at 60 percent throughout the contest. The significant deviation came from San Diego despite the numerical disadvantage in the second half.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Los Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego. San Diego showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall performance.
  • xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG values of 0.93 to 1.19.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with the pre match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Los Angeles FC generated 0.93 xG while San Diego posted 1.19 xG.
  • Event impact: The away victory occurred after the second half red card.
  • Red card distortion: The away team red card introduced clear distortion to the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Elfath
I. Elfath
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Los Angeles FC M. Dos Santos
M. Dos Santos
VS
San Diego M. Varas
M. Varas
1.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 75 D
Sporting KC Rank: 53 W
Real Salt Lake Rank: 65 W
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 W
Seattle Sounders Rank: 67 W
Nashville SC Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Minnesota United Rank: 67 D
Dallas Rank: 67 W
Colorado Rapids Rank: 61 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 73 L
Cincinnati Rank: 69 D
Austin Rank: 58 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.98
66.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Power Score
72.98
66.75
League Position
2
13
Global Rank
196
356

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Los Angeles FC Opponent-weighted form score
San Diego Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Los Angeles FC San Diego

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Los Angeles FC

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

San Diego

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Los Angeles FC
vs
San Diego
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Los Angeles FC San Diego
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
46%
77%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.43 vs +0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Los Angeles FC San Diego
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
77%
46%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.08 vs -0.43
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Los Angeles FC
vs
San Diego
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Los Angeles FC San Diego
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Los Angeles FC San Diego
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SDL had peak pressure around 93'.
  • LAF started the game with stronger pressure.
LAF Pressure SDL Pressure
Pressure Index: SDL reached the top pressure at 93' (91.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Los Angeles FC LAF Home
3 matches
San Diego SDL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
5
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T02:00:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 02:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
BMO Stadium
Capacity
22000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ismail Elfath

Statistics

Possession
LAF
43%
SDL
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 4
19 Dangerous attacks 46
40 Possession 60
9 Corners 7
12 Free kicks 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
5 Goal Kicks 7
4 Substitutions 5
11 Throwins 13
9 Successful Headers 9
12 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Successful Dribbles 3
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

52 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

56 Long Passes 31
398 Passes 593
325 Successful Passes 524
82 Successful Passes Percentage 88
11 Key Passes 8
20 Successful Long Passes 17
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

1 Saves 3
20 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 11
46 Duels Won 42

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 15
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

4 Offsides 4
21 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI

1
Hugo Lloris
Hugo Lloris Goalkeeper
6.91
5
Ryan Porteous
Ryan Porteous Defender
7.04
23
Yevgen Cheberko
Yevgen Cheberko Defender
6.38
24
Ryan Hollingshead
6.8
21
Ryan Raposo
Ryan Raposo
Midfielder90'
6.74
33
Aaron Long
Aaron Long Defender
7.09
4
Eddie Segura
Eddie Segura Midfielder
6.84
17
Jeremy Ebobisse
Jeremy Ebobisse
Attacker90'
6.46
11
Timothy Tillman
Timothy Tillman Midfielder
6.93
66
Mathieu Choinière
Mathieu Choinière Midfielder
6.98
7
Heung-min Son
Heung-min Son Attacker
7.21
18
Jacob Shaffelburg
6.78
99
Denis Bouanga
Denis Bouanga Attacker
7.43
Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI

1
CJ dos Santos
CJ dos Santos Goalkeeper
7.04
3
Dagur Dan Thórhallsson
6.73
5
Kieran Sargeant
Kieran Sargeant Defender
6.66
26
Manu Duah
Manu Duah Defender
6.95
97
Christopher McVey
6.8
6
Jeppe Tverskov
Jeppe Tverskov Midfielder
7.23
8
Onni Valakari
Onni Valakari Midfielder
7.13
70
Alejandro Alvarado
Alejandro Alvarado Midfielder
6.83
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
7.25
Marcus Ingvartsen
85'
10
Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer Attacker
7.64
19
David Vazquez
David Vazquez Attacker
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+6'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Jeremy Ebobisse Eddie Segura
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Ryan Raposo Ryan Hollingshead
9th Substitution
90'
90'
Event
6th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
88'
Event
Penalty awarded
85'
Event
Christopher McVey Ian Murphy
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Amahl Pellegrino Marcus Ingvartsen
7th Substitution
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
80'
75'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Jeppe Tverskov  Alejandro Alvarado 
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Onni Valakari Gabriel Pirani
5th Substitution
Event
Mathieu Choinière Timothy Tillman
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Jacob Shaffelburg Tyler Boyd
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
53'
Event
Elias Achouri Lewis Morgan 
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
29'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Goal disallowed
21'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Son Heung-Min
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second Yellow Card - Anders Dreyer
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nkosi Burgess Head Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mathieu Choiniere Right Footed Shot Blocked
90
Update Update
On Jeremy Ebobisse,Off Eddie Segura
90
Update Update
On Ryan Raposo,Off Ryan Hollingshead
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Anders Dreyer
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Anders Dreyer Left Footed Shot Goal
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Anders Dreyer 0-1
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeppe Tverskov Head Shot Saved
87
Corner Corner
Corner
85
Update Update
On Christopher Mcvey,Off Ian Murphy
85
Update Update
On Amahl Pellegrino,Off Marcus Ingvartsen
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ryan Hollingshead Left Footed Shot Missed
80
Update Update
Offside
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Marco Delgado
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Onni Valakari
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
73
Update Update
Offside
73
Update Update
On Jeppe Tverskov,Off Alejandro Alvarado Jr
73
Corner Corner
Corner
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eddie Segura Head Shot Saved
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eddie Segura Head Shot Blocked
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Son Heung-Min Right Footed Shot Blocked
71
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Update Update
Offside
65
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Update Update
Offside
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Timothy Tillman Right Footed Shot Blocked
64
Update Update
Offside
64
Corner Corner
Corner
63
Update Update
Offside
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Eddie Segura
60
Update Update
Offside
58
Corner Corner
Corner
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gabriel Pirani Right Footed Shot Missed
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Son Heung-Min Left Footed Shot Missed
53
Update Update
On Mohamed Elias Achouri,Off Lewis Morgan
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Denis Bouanga Right Footed Shot Saved
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ryan Hollingshead Head Shot Missed
50
Corner Corner
Corner
49
Corner Corner
Corner
48
Corner Corner
Corner
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oscar Verhoeven Right Footed Shot Saved
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lewis Morgan Head Shot Missed
43
Corner Corner
Corner
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Ingvartsen Left Footed Shot Blocked
42
Corner Corner
Corner
42
Update Update
Offside
40
Corner Corner
Corner
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Ingvartsen Left Footed Shot Blocked
39
Corner Corner
Corner
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Anders Dreyer Left Footed Shot Missed
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eddie Segura Right Footed Shot Missed
36
Corner Corner
Corner
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
29
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Corner Corner
Corner
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR Decision - Goal Disallowed - Handball - Denis Bouanga
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Denis Bouanga 1-0
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Denis Bouanga 1-0
20
Update Update
Offside
18
Corner Corner
Corner
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marco Delgado Left Footed Shot Missed
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Son Heung-Min Left Footed Shot Missed
2
Update Update
Offside
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee:Ismail Elfath

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Los Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego. Structural assessment: San Diego exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.