Lommel SK vs Westerlo preview

Belgium flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium
Soevereinstadion
Pro League
Lommel SKLSK
4 0
WesterloKVC
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
Tom Reyners - 30', 89'
Lucas Schoofs - 45+4'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Lommel SK secured a 4-0 victory over Westerlo with a halftime score of 2-0. Westerlo held 56 percent possession as the stronger team on paper yet Lommel SK claimed the win. Home expected goals stood at 1.23 against away expected goals of 0.83 for a differential of 0.4. No red cards occurred for either side. The result aligned with expected goals and showed a significant 100 percent deviation favoring Lommel SK. Efficiency remained in line with overall patterns. Possession favored the visitors but did not translate to goals or shots that altered the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lommel SK recorded a significant 100 percent deviation as the winner against the stronger team Westerlo.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with performance metrics for both Lommel SK and Westerlo.
  • xG alignment: Outcome aligned with xG values as Lommel SK won with 1.23 home xG against 0.83 away xG.
  • Market alignment: Result proved consistent with market alignment indicators in the data.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations listed home at 1.23 and away at 0.83 with a 0.4 differential.
  • Event impact: Halftime score of 2-0 shaped the progression to the final 4-0 result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Verbeke
B. Verbeke
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Y. De Neve
Y. De Neve
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Van Dyck
J. Van Dyck
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Simonini
M. Simonini
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lommel SK L. Johnson
L. Johnson
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 75 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 80 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 79 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 87 L
Antwerp Rank: 73 L
Standard Liège Rank: 73 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 75 W
Genk Rank: 78 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
39.83
68.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lommel SK
Westerlo
Power Score
39.83
68.62
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
318
279

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lommel SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lommel SK Westerlo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lommel SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lommel SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Westerlo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.55
35.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.80
34.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lommel SK -0.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Westerlo +0.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lommel SK
Westerlo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lommel SK
vs
Westerlo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lommel SK Westerlo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
38%
12%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.47 vs -0.10
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lommel SK Westerlo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
12%
38%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.10 vs -0.47
Lommel SK
Westerlo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lommel SK
vs
Westerlo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lommel SK Westerlo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lommel SK 0.30
Westerlo 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lommel SK Westerlo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lommel SK 0.00
Westerlo 0.09
Lommel SK
Westerlo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KVC had peak pressure around 18'.
  • LSK started the game with stronger pressure.
LSK Pressure KVC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KVC reached the top pressure at 18' (88.92).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Soevereinstadion
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bert Verbeke
Yves De Neve
Jonas Van Dyck
Matonga Simonini

Statistics

Possession
LSK
46%
KVC
54%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 5
44 Dangerous attacks 61
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 3
3 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 24
6 Successful Headers 6
4 Assists 0
19 Dribble Attempts 26
12 Successful Dribbles 14
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

75 Attacks 105
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

51 Long Passes 43
400 Passes 524
342 Successful Passes 453
86 Successful Passes Percentage 86
11 Key Passes 16
27 Successful Long Passes 19
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

4 Saves 2
15 Tackles 11
13 Interceptions 6
43 Duels Won 36

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 15
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

23
Matthias Pieklak
Matthias Pieklak Goalkeeper
7.81
2
Jason van Duiven
Jason van Duiven Defender
9.48
3
Timothy Eyoma
Timothy Eyoma Defender
7.28
4
Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye Defender
7.46
5
Dries Wouters
Dries Wouters Defender
7.3
6
Joey Pelupessy
Joey Pelupessy Midfielder
7
10
Tom Reyners
Tom Reyners Midfielder
2
8.53
15
Lucas Schoofs
Lucas Schoofs (C) Midfielder
7.23
21
Stredair Appuah
Stredair Appuah Midfielder
7.85
46
Niek Corthouts
Niek Corthouts
Attacker72'
6.61
41
Sverre Nypan
Sverre Nypan Midfielder
6.51
11
Zalán Vancsa
Zalán Vancsa
Midfielder5'
6.94
9
Don-Angelo Konadu
Don-Angelo Konadu Attacker
7.4
30
R. Seuntjens
R. Seuntjens
Attacker58'
6.33
Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal (C) Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Amando Lapage
Amando Lapage Defender
6.79
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Defender
6
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba Defender
6.07
2
Lasse Flø
Lasse Flø
Defender46'
6.3
28
Dylan Ourega
Dylan Ourega Defender
6.07
7
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Midfielder
6.62
47
Minhyeok Yang
Minhyeok Yang
Attacker46'
6.45
12
Reda Laalaoui
Reda Laalaoui Midfielder
6.86
45
Ibrahim Fofana
Ibrahim Fofana
Midfielder62'
6.96
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Midfielder
6.67
17
David Amegnaglo
David Amegnaglo
Attacker75'
6.63
14
Cisse Sandra
Cisse Sandra Midfielder
6.33
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Midfielder
6.82
9
Norman Bassette
Norman Bassette Attacker
6.4
22
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba
Attacker46'
6.4

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tom Reyners
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
Event
Niek Corthouts
Penalty disallowed
86'
75'
Event
David Amegnaglo → Isa Sakamoto
8th Substitution
Event
Niek Corthouts → Stredair Appuah
7th Substitution
72'
62'
Event
Ibrahim Fofana → Reda Laalaoui
6th Substitution
Event
R. Seuntjens → Don-Angelo Konadu
5th Substitution
58'
Event
Don-Angelo Konadu
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
46'
Event
Lasse Flø → Lucas Mbamba
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba → Norman Bassette
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Minhyeok Yang → Shunsuke Saito
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lucas Schoofs
Header / 2nd Goal
45+4'
Event
Tom Reyners
Header / 1st Goal
30'
Event
Zalán Vancsa → Sverre Nypan
1st Substitution
5'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Min-Hyuk Yang takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tom Reyners takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tom Reyners scores to make it 4-0, assisted by Jason van Duiven.
88
Attempt Attempt
David Amegnaglo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Update Update
VAR decision results in the cancellation of the penalty awarded to Niek Corthouts.
82
Attempt Attempt
David Amegnaglo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
David Amegnaglo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
Offside.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Attempt Attempt
Cisse Sandra takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Attempt Attempt
David Amegnaglo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Update Update
David Amegnaglo is on, and Isa Sakamoto is off.
72
Substitution Substitution
Niek Corthouts is substituted off for Stredair Appuah.
72
Update Update
On Niek Corthouts, off Stredair Appuah.
71
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Joey Pelupessy takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Zalan Vancsa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Stredair Appuah takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Substitution Substitution
Ralf Seuntjens is substituted off for Don-Angelo Konadu.
58
Attempt Attempt
Zalan Vancsa's left-footed shot is blocked.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Jason van Duiven takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Don-Angelo Konadu with his right foot results in a goal.
51
Attempt Attempt
Stredair Appuah takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Don-Angelo Konadu scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Stredair Appuah.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Lasse Flo is on, and Lucas Mbamba-Muanda is off.
46
Update Update
On Min-Hyuk Yang, off Shunsuke Saito.
46
Update Update
Felix Emmanuel Tsimba is on, and Norman Bassette is off.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Lucas Schoofs Head Shot Goal
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lucas Schoofs scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Jason van Duiven.
44
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Tom Reyners Head Shot Goal
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tom Reyners scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Jason van Duiven.
22
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Mbamba-Muanda takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Update Update
Offside.
21
Attempt Attempt
Reda Laalaoui takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Don-Angelo Konadu takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
15
Attempt Attempt
Reda Laalaoui attempts a header but misses the shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Ourega takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Cisse Sandra takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Update Update
Zalan Vancsa comes on, replacing Sverre Halseth Nypan.
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Don-Angelo Konadu with his left foot is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Bert Verbeke.

CONCLUSION

Lommel SK completed the 4-0 result through effective conversion despite lower possession and xG totals. Westerlo maintained control of the ball at 56 percent but failed to generate sufficient threat. The halftime advantage of 2-0 allowed Lommel SK to manage the game without major adjustments. Consistency between the actual outcome and xG metrics confirmed the performance gap. No disciplinary events altered the flow. The significant deviation by the home side highlighted execution differences on the day. Overall the match reflected data patterns without external factors influencing the scoreline.