Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk SplitHajduk Split
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lokomotiva Zagreb host Hajduk Split at Stadion Kranjčevićeva in a pivotal 1. HNL regular season match of the 2025/2026 campaign. The sixth-placed hosts face second-placed visitors who hold a clear power advantage, rated at 72.35 to Lokomotiva's 63.19 for a 9.2 point edge. Hajduk's superior standing underscores their title contention, yet Lokomotiva boast better recent form at 24.17 versus 18.94, hinting at potential upset potential on home turf. This clash juxtaposes Hajduk's attacking depth against Lokomotiva's resilience, with both sides lacking recent outing details. Absent advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces due to unavailable xG data, the focus shifts to tactical battles and individual duels. Hajduk aim to extend their strong run in the table, while Lokomotiva seek points to climb. Expect a tense affair where home advantage meets quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split hold a 9.2 point power advantage and second place over Lokomotiva Zagreb's sixth.
  • Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb lead with a form score of 24.17 against Hajduk Split's 18.94.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split sit second in the 1. HNL, above Lokomotiva Zagreb in sixth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to absent xG metrics and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable for attack and defense.
  • Market: Lokomotiva Zagreb 25.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 49.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 D
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 63 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 63 W
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 62 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 15 - 33
33
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiva Zagreb
25.06%
Draw
25.77%
Away Hajduk Split
49.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.19
72.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Power Score
63.19
72.35
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
397
156

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
12
Wins
33
15
Draws
15
33
Losses
12
Goals
59
Goals Scored
101
101
Goals Conceded
59
-42
Goal Difference
+42
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:02:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Savatović
32 L. Savatović
T. Jukić
5 T. Jukić
D. Kamenović
33 D. Kamenović
L. Dajčer
16 L. Dajčer
M. Pajač
17 M. Pajač
M. Subotic
10 M. Subotic
B. Bošković
6 B. Bošković
M. Šušak
11 M. Šušak
P. Smiljanić
25 P. Smiljanić
J. Vasilj
29 J. Vasilj
I. Abdallah Sabra
9 I. Abdallah Sabra
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
D. Melnjak
17 D. Melnjak
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
R. Raçi
14 R. Raçi
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
6 H. Guillamón Sanmartín
A. Sanyang
24 A. Sanyang
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
I. Almena Horcajo
30 I. Almena Horcajo
M. Livaja
10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Capacity
8850
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

32
Luka Savatovic
Luka Savatovic Goalkeeper
6.44
9
Ibrahim Sabra
Ibrahim Sabra Centre Forward
6.6
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Right Back
6.73
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic Defensive Midfield
6.65
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic Defensive Midfield
6.91
33
Dimitrije Kamenovic
Dimitrije Kamenovic Right Back
6.44
16
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Left Back
6.58
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Left Back
7.11
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak Right Wing
6.65
25
Pavle Smiljanic
Pavle Smiljanic Attacking Midfield
6.8
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Left Wing
6.68

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.92
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Centre Forward
7.13
14
Ron Raci
Ron Raci Right Back
6.87
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
7.01
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Right Back
6.84
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Left Back
6.78
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.86
24
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang Left Wing
6.78
6
Hugo Guillamón
Hugo Guillamón Defensive Midfield
6.93
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Right Wing
6.97
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.28

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split's power edge and higher league position position them as the team to beat, despite Lokomotiva Zagreb's superior form score suggesting home resistance. Without detailed efficiency or set piece insights, the match hinges on Hajduk's quality exploiting transitions against a gritty Lokomotiva defense. The visitors' 9.2 point superiority tips the scales, but Stadion Kranjčevićeva could inspire the hosts to frustrate. Key will be Hajduk maintaining structure amid Lokomotiva's momentum, likely leading to a hard-fought contest where away strength prevails narrowly.