Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Maksimir
1. HNL
Lokomotiva ZagrebLOK
3 1
GoricaGorica
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Mirko Maric - 12'
Ante Kavelj - 40' (Own Goal)
Noel Djurkovic - 90+2'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Lokomotiva Zagreb secured a 3-1 victory over Gorica in a competitive league match. Starting strongly, they went into halftime with a 2-0 advantage. Despite Gorica possessing the ball more at 54 percent to the home side's 46 percent, Lokomotiva Zagreb converted their chances well to claim all three points. As the stronger team, they delivered a performance consistent with their status. No red cards were shown to either side, allowing the game to flow without major interruptions. The significant deviation observed underscored the home team's dominance in key moments. Overall, the result reflected their superior execution on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 Gorica. Lokomotiva Zagreb showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were available to determine outcome consistency.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match indicators for the winner.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable for assessment of both sides.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the match flow or scoreline progression.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for either team prevented any distortion in dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Škobić
A. Škobić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Reljan
M. Reljan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Đerđ
F. Đerđ
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Pavlešić
P. Pavlešić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 68 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 75 D
Varaždin Rank: 70 D
Rijeka Rank: 75 L
Osijek Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 67 L
Rijeka Rank: 75 L
Osijek Rank: 67 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 64 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 65 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.17
63.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
Power Score
68.17
63.25
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
326
481

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Gorica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gorica
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.89
34.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.63
29.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lokomotiva Zagreb -0.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Gorica +0.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gorica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lokomotiva Zagreb Gorica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Gorica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lokomotiva Zagreb
vs
Gorica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lokomotiva Zagreb Gorica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.20
Gorica 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Gorica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.01
Gorica 0.05
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Gorica had peak pressure around 26'.
  • Gorica started the game with stronger pressure.
LOK Pressure Gorica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Gorica reached the top pressure at 26' (99.41).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb LOK Home
8 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
17
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:35:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Antonio Škobić
Marko Reljan
Filip Đerđ
Patrik Pavlešić

Statistics

Possession
LOK
44%
Gorica
56%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 7
55 Dangerous attacks 74
46 Possession 54
9 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 14
5 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 3
18 Throwins 23
2 Assists 0
2 Dribble Attempts 5
2 Successful Dribbles 5
13 Successful Dribbles Percentage 71

Attacking

77 Attacks 102

Possession

19 Long Passes 24
374 Passes 442
304 Successful Passes 372
81 Successful Passes Percentage 84
8 Key Passes 12

Defensive

3 Saves 1
2 Tackles 11
10 Interceptions 4
34 Duels Won 55

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 26

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Antonio Škobić

Starting XI ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
6.95
4
Athanasios Triantafyllou
Athanasios Triantafyllou Defender
6.95
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Defender
6.75
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Defender
7.42
23
Marko Vesovic
Marko Vesovic Defender
6.45
7
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Midfielder
6.48
8
Ivan Katic
Ivan Katic Midfielder
6.25
21
Teodor Kralevski
Teodor Kralevski
Defender80'
6.5
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic (C) Midfielder
6.55
28
Noel Djurkovic
Noel Djurkovic
Attacker90+3'
7.23
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak Midfielder
6.55
15
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi
Attacker63'
6.29
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Midfielder
6.34
9
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar
Midfielder63'
6.09
24
Mirko Maric
Mirko Maric Attacker
7.27
14
Marcel Lorber
Marcel Lorber
Midfielder80'
6.41
Referee : Antonio Škobić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.18
32
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic (C) Defender
6.56
34
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Defender
6.88
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.6
2
Filip Braut
Filip Braut Midfielder
7.24
18
Bartol Kardum
Bartol Kardum
Attacker85'
6.45
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
7.48
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
7.19
66
Juraj Frigan
Juraj Frigan Midfielder
6.51
99
Medin Gashi
Medin Gashi
Attacker78'
6.48
4
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic Attacker
7.24
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic
Attacker56'
7.12
9
Patrik Mijic
Patrik Mijic Attacker
7.15
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Attacker
6.95

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Noel Djurkovic → Matija Subotic
8th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Noel Djurkovic
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
90+2'
85'
Event
Bartol Kardum → Filip Braut
7th Substitution
Event
Teodor Kralevski → Ivan Katic 
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Marcel Lorber → Mirko Maric
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Athanasios Triantafyllou
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
79'
79'
Event
Patrik Mijic
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 6th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Medin Gashi → Juraj Frigan
4th Substitution
Event
Marko Pajac
Delay of game / 5th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Dominik Thaqi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
68'
Event
Leon Belcar → Jakov-Anton Vasilj
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Dominik Thaqi → Mirko Susak
3rd Substitution
63'
60'
Event
Bruno Bogojevic
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
56'
Event
Luka Vrzic → Kevin Custovic
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ivan Katic 
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Marko Vesovic
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
45+1'
Event
Domagoj Pavicic
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ante Kavelj
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
40'
Event
Mirko Maric
Field Goal / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot with the left foot results in a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Noel Durkovic scores, making it 3-1.
90
Substitution Substitution
Noel Durkovic is substituted off for Matija Subotic.
89
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Bartol Kardum replaces Filip Braut.
80
Update Update
Teodor Kralevski is on, and Ivan Katic is off.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marcel Lorber comes on for Mirko Maric.
79
Attempt Attempt
Mirko Maric takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Patrik Mijic.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Athanasios Triantafyllou.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Update Update
Medin Gashi is on, and Juraj Frigan is off.
74
Attempt Attempt
Tino Jukic attempts a header but misses the shot.
74
Attempt Attempt
Marko Pajac takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Pajac receives a yellow card.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Thaqi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Matija Subotic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Pajac receives a yellow card.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Thaqi receives a yellow card.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Dominik Thaqi.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Dominik Thaqi comes on for Mirko Susak.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Leon Belcar comes on for Jakov-Anton Vasilj.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Bruno Bogojevic scores with a right-footed shot.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ante Kavelj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Mirko Maric takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Update Update
Luka Vrzic comes on for Kevin Custovic.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Vesovic receives a yellow card.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Domagoj Pavicic.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ivan Katic.
41
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Pavicic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ante Kavelj results in an own goal.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ante Kavelj scores an own goal, making it 2-0.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Ante Kavelj takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
33
Update Update
Ante Kavelj's header is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic attempts a header but misses the shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic attempts a header but misses the shot.
23
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Domagoj Pavicic with his right foot, but it misses the target.
16
Attempt Attempt
Filip Braut takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Mirko Maric scores with a header.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mirko Maric scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Marko Pajac.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Antonio Skobic.

CONCLUSION

Lokomotiva Zagreb's 3-1 win over Gorica demonstrated their clinical finishing despite lower possession. Leading 2-0 at the break, they withstood Gorica's second-half pressure to maintain the advantage. The absence of red cards ensured a fair contest where the better team prevailed. Significant structural elements favored the home side, aligning with the final outcome. Efficiency remained consistent, allowing them to secure the points. This result positions Lokomotiva Zagreb favorably in the standings as they continue their campaign with confidence. The match highlighted the importance of converting opportunities effectively in limited time with the ball.