LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv preview

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Cherkasy Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
1 – 1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 25 Regular Season
Artur Ryabov - 55'
Goal
|
Goal
Peter Mandela Itodo - 70'

CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played out a 1-1 draw in a balanced encounter. The match was goalless at halftime with both teams level at 0-0. LNZ Cherkasy, deemed the stronger team, held just 36% possession against Metalist's 64% dominance. Despite the away side's control, LNZ equalized late to secure a share of the points. No red cards were issued, and no second-half tactical adjustments were notable. Pre-match market probabilities listed the draw at 86.1%, with each team at 7% for a win, indicating high expectation for parity. The outcome registered a moderate 13.9% structural deviation towards LNZ Cherkasy. Efficiency shift stayed in line with norms, though xG data remains unavailable for deeper analysis.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result showed moderate 13.9% structural deviation towards LNZ Cherkasy.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed true with the draw outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable as data not provided.
  • Event impact: No major events altered match progression.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
VS
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
2.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: W
Veres Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: W
Veres Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
SK Poltava Rank: W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LNZ Cherkasy
36.84%
Draw
34.46%
Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
28.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
LNZ Cherkasy
+29.89%
Draw
-51.63%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
+21.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.07
29.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Power Score
32.07
29.67
League Position
2
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LNZ Cherkasy ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LNZ Cherkasy
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.00
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 8'.
  • LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.
LNZ Cherkasy Pressure Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 8' (60.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Home
3 matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T12:00:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 N. Muravskyi
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
R. Didyk
Substitution
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
E. Tverdokhlib
Substitution
Ukraine
22 E. Tverdokhlib
A. Ryabov
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
D. Kuzyk
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
D. Varakuta
Ukraine
30 D. Varakuta
O. Martynyuk
Ukraine
24 O. Martynyuk
A. Shabanov
Ukraine
31 A. Shabanov
V. Salyuk
Ukraine
13 V. Salyuk
I. Krupskyi
Ukraine
27 I. Krupskyi
B. Zabergja
Substitution
Kosovo
26 B. Zabergja
Y. Pavliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Pavliuk
I. Kaliuzhnyi
Ukraine
5 I. Kaliuzhnyi
E. Rashica
Substitution
Albania
19 E. Rashica
C. Mba
Substitution
Nigeria
99 C. Mba
D. Antyukh
Ukraine
15 D. Antyukh

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Cherkasy Arena
Capacity
10321
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Maksim Koziryatskiy
Andrii Semenov
Taras Chopilko
Oleksandr Omelchenko

Statistics

Possession
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Shots 2
59 Dangerous attacks 55
36 Possession 64
3 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 6

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 12
1 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 3

Attacking

64 Attacks 88

Defensive

1 Saves 0

Discipline

6 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.59
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
6.47
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.65
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.66
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
6.73
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
6.51
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari
Midfielder90+4'
6.59
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi Defender
6.54
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
6.59
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.3
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
6.46
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk
Attacker68'
6.72
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.78
18
Abdul Awudu
Abdul Awudu
Midfielder75'
6.76
Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Starting XI ▼

30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
6.44
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
6.59
18
Yevgen Pavlyuk
Yevgen Pavlyuk Defender
6.6
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
6.41
27
Ilya Krupskyi
Ilya Krupskyi Defender
6.56
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov Defender
6.51
5
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi Midfielder
6.63
15
Denys Antyukh
Denys Antyukh Midfielder
6.65
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica Midfielder
6.46
8
Sebastian Castillo
Sebastian Castillo
Attacker81'
6.62
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja Midfielder
6.62
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko
Midfielder65'
6.52
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba Attacker
6.52
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo
Attacker65'
6.76

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Muharrem Jashari → Roman Didyk
6th Substitution
90+4'
81'
Event
Sebastian Castillo → Ermir Rashica
5th Substitution
Event
Abdul Awudu → Mark Assinor
4th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Peter Mandela Itodo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Danylo Kravchuk → Yegor Tverdokhlib
3rd Substitution
68'
65'
Event
Ivan Lytvynenko → Baton Zabergja
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Peter Mandela Itodo → Christian Mba
1st Substitution
Event
Artur Ryabov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
55'

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv highlighted defensive solidity amid possession disparity. LNZ, as the stronger team, overcame 36% possession to match Metalist's control, ending even at 0-0 halftime. Market alignment validated pre-match draw favoritism at 86.1%, with moderate 13.9% deviation for LNZ indicating slight overachievement. Efficiency in line and no red cards preserved natural flow. This result reflects competitive equilibrium, offering each side a platform for future improvement without decisive shifts.