Liverpool vs Chelsea preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Anfield Sat, 9 May - 11:30 AM
Premier League
LiverpoolLIV
ChelseaCHE
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 11:30 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Liverpool hosts Chelsea at Anfield in a Premier League regular season encounter for the 2025/2026 campaign, pitting the 4th-placed Reds against the 9th-placed Blues. Liverpool enters with a commanding 92.33 power score compared to Chelsea's 88.35, securing a 4-point advantage that underscores their structural dominance, especially on home turf. Form tells a stark tale: Liverpool's 24.17 rating reflects consistent excellence, while Chelsea's 0 signals deep struggles after recent outings. The Reds' higher league standing amplifies their momentum, with Anfield's atmosphere poised to intimidate. Chelsea must overcome not just Liverpool's prowess but their own inconsistencies to salvage points. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics, the focus shifts to Liverpool's overall superiority in transitions and squad balance. This matchup hinges on the hosts capitalizing on their edges in a bid to climb the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Liverpool holds a 4-point power advantage (92.33 vs 88.35) and home edge at Anfield, ranking 4th to Chelsea's 9th.
  • Form: Liverpool's form score of 24.17 towers over Chelsea's 0.
  • Squad: Liverpool's squad powers their top-4 position, while Chelsea's supports mid-table standing.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Liverpool's superior power score suggests stronger transition play at home.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable, with low-confidence proxies used.
  • Market: Liverpool 51.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24% (Δ+0%) | Chelsea 24.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Chelsea C. McFarlane
C. McFarlane
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Everton Rank: 88 W
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 90 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Everton Rank: 88 L
Newcastle United Rank: 89 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 23 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
51.35%
Draw
24.01%
Away Chelsea
24.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.33
88.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Chelsea
Power Score
92.33
88.35
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
7
18

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Chelsea — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Chelsea

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
73 matches
Chelsea CHE Away
Match Record
24
Wins
26
23
Draws
23
26
Losses
24
Goals
80
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
80
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Anfield
Capacity
61276
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Craig Pawson
Matthew Wilkes
Robert Madley
Lee Betts

Lineup

Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

28
Freddie Woodman
Freddie Woodman Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Defender
7.09
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
6.96
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Defender
6.82
26
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson Defender
6.68
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder
6.86
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Midfielder
7.12
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Midfielder
6.63
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
7.06
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Attacker
7.06
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Attacker
7.36
Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

12
Filip Jørgensen
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper
6.64
3
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Defender
6.88
4
Tosin Adarabioyo
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender
6.72
23
Trevoh Chalobah
Trevoh Chalobah Defender
6.93
27
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Defender
6.82
8
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Midfielder
7.25
25
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder
7.05
45
Roméo Lavia
Roméo Lavia Midfielder
6.65
9
Liam Delap
Liam Delap Attacker
6.62
10
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer Attacker
6.99
20
João Pedro
João Pedro Attacker
7.14

CONCLUSION

Liverpool's multifaceted edges position them as clear favorites in this Anfield showdown. Their power superiority, red-hot form, and home advantage outweigh Chelsea's efforts to rebound from a form slump. While set-piece and efficiency insights are absent, the Reds' 4-point lead and higher standing signal control in transitions and open play. Chelsea faces an uphill battle, needing defensive resilience and counter potency to disrupt. Expect Liverpool to leverage Anfield's roar for a convincing display, solidifying their top-4 push while exposing the Blues' vulnerabilities.