Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjällby preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Victoria Stadium Tue, 28 Jul - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Full Time Tue, 28 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lincoln Red Imps 0–0 Mjällby. The match ended in a draw. Lincoln Red Imps showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 44%–56%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant deviation was recorded for Lincoln Red Imps in this fixture.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was not aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No specific xG expectations were recorded for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The second leg concluded with a 0-0 draw confirming Mjällby's aggregate lead.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Tsakalidis
A. Tsakalidis
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Kostaras
P. Kostaras
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Dimitriadis
L. Dimitriadis
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Polychronis
F. Polychronis
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lincoln Red Imps J. Pavón Domínguez
J. Pavón Domínguez
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
Inter Club d'Escaldes Rank: D
Inter Club d'Escaldes Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lincoln Red Imps
20.25%
Draw
23.29%
Away Mjällby
56.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lincoln Red Imps
+16.28%
Draw
-64.45%
Mjällby
+48.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.78
24.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lincoln Red Imps
Mjällby
Power Score
27.78
24.31
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lincoln Red Imps Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lincoln Red Imps Mjällby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Lincoln Red Imps

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.70
31.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.70
31.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lincoln Red Imps +0.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Mjällby 0.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Mjällby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lincoln Red Imps Mjällby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Mjällby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Mjällby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Lincoln Red Imps
vs
Mjällby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lincoln Red Imps Mjällby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Mjällby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Lincoln Red Imps
Mjällby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LRI had peak pressure around 49'.
  • MJA started the game with stronger pressure.
LRI Pressure MJA Pressure
Pressure Index: LRI reached the top pressure at 49' (45.86).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lincoln Red Imps LRI Home
1 matches
Mjällby MJA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-29T00:00:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Victoria Stadium
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alexandros Tsakalidis
Polychronis Kostaras
Lazaros Dimitriadis
Fotis Polychronis

Statistics

Possession
LRI
48%
MJA
52%

Top Statistics

7 Shots 5
79 Dangerous attacks 75
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 8
22 Free kicks 29
4 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

6 Substitutions 6
18 Throwins 15

Attacking

105 Attacks 122

Defensive

9 Saves 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
28 Fouls 23

Lineup

Referee : Alexandros Tsakalidis

Starting XI

1
Nauzet García
Nauzet García Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Christian Rutjens
6.5
5
Gabri Cardozo
Gabri Cardozo
Defender88'
6
Bernardo Lopes
6.5
66
Julliani Eersteling
6.49
8
Mandi
Mandi Midfielder
6.45
18
Toni García
Toni García Midfielder
6.45
4
Nico Clara Pinto
Nico Clara Pinto
Midfielder46'
6.5
21
Nano
Nano Midfielder
6.45
23
Joe
Joe Midfielder
6.5
2
Ethan Jolley
Ethan Jolley
Defender71'
6.5
9
Kike Gómez
Kike Gómez Attacker
6.5
19
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
6.5
32
Facundo Álvarez
Facundo Álvarez Attacker
6.5
10
Álex Mula
Álex Mula
Midfielder46'
6.5
44
Manu Toledano
Manu Toledano Attacker
6.5
Referee : Alexandros Tsakalidis

Starting XI

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
6.49
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén
Defender82'
6.5
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.5
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
6.49
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen Defender
6.5
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath
Midfielder64'
6.5
9
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef Midfielder
6.5
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær
Attacker46'
6.46
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
6.5
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder66'
6.5
22
Jesper Gustavsson
6.45
39
Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson
6.5
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson
Midfielder64'
6.5
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.5
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Gabri Cardozo Christian Rutjens
10th Substitution
88'
82'
Event
Axel Norén Ludvig Svanberg
9th Substitution
Event
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Ethan Jolley Joe
8th Substitution
71'
69'
Event
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Olle Lindberg Elliot Stroud
7th Substitution
Event
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi Kike Gómez
6th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Villiam Granath Max Nielsen
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Viktor Gustafson Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson
5th Substitution
56'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
49'
Event
Álex Mula Facundo Álvarez
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Nico Clara Pinto Toni García
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Jeppe Kjær Ali Youssef
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
42'
39'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Jesper Gustavsson
89
Corner Corner
Corner
88
Corner Corner
Corner
82
Update Update
On Axel Noren,Off Ludvig Svanberg
80
Corner Corner
Corner
79
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Julliani Eersteling
77
Corner Corner
Corner
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Armando Mandi
71
Update Update
On Ethan Jolley,Off Joe
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Jeppe Kjaer
68
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Update Update
On Olle Lindberg,Off Elliot Stroud
65
Update Update
On Yussef Flalhi Idrissi,Off Enrique Gomez Bernal,Kike
64
Update Update
On Villiam Granath,Off Max Nielsen
64
Update Update
On Viktor Gustafsson,Off Romeo Leandersson
63
Corner Corner
Corner
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ludvig Svanberg
52
Corner Corner
Corner
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Nano Mariano Gonzalez Maroto
46
Update Update
On Jeppe Kjaer,Off Ali Youssef
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Nano Mariano Gonzalez Maroto
46
Update Update
On Nico Pinto,Off Toni Garcia
46
Update Update
On Jeppe Kjaer,Off Ali Youssef
46
Update Update
On Alex Mula,Off Facundo Alvarez
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Toni Garcia
42
Corner Corner
Corner
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Aki Samuelsen
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Tom Pettersson
23
Corner Corner
Corner
18
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Corner Corner
Corner
8
Corner Corner
Corner
7
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee:Alexandros Tsakalidis

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw in the second leg preserved Mjällby's three-goal aggregate advantage secured in the opening fixture. Lincoln Red Imps controlled less of the ball and failed to create sufficient pressure to overturn the deficit. Possession figures indicated Mjällby maintained a slight edge without translating it into goals. The lack of disciplinary incidents allowed both teams to complete the match with full complements. Analytical indicators pointed to a performance that aligned with efficiency measures yet diverged from other pre-match benchmarks. The result confirmed progression for the visitors while highlighting the structural challenges faced by the home side across the tie.