Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Victoria Stadium Thu, 6 Aug - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Lincoln Red ImpsLRI
1 – 1
Omonia NicosiaOMO
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Mateo Maric - 90+3'

CONTEXT

Lincoln Red Imps hosted Omonia Nicosia in the first leg of their tie and played out a 1-1 draw after a goalless opening period. The home side held 44 percent possession while the visitors controlled 56 percent yet neither team could break the deadlock before the interval. Lincoln Red Imps emerged as the stronger side on paper but the final scoreline reflected a balanced contest that produced one goal for each team. No red cards were shown and expected goals figures remained unavailable. The outcome deviated significantly from pre-match projections centered on Lincoln Red Imps. Second-half adjustments proved decisive in leveling the score at 1-1.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lincoln Red Imps produced a significant 78.2 percent deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 result was not aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals were not recorded during the match.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 draw shaped the aggregate outlook for the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics faced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Ağayev
?. Ağayev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Z. Zeynalov
Z. Zeynalov
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Əmirəli
A. Əmirəli
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Qurbanov
T. Qurbanov
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lincoln Red Imps J. Pavón Domínguez
J. Pavón Domínguez
VS
Omonia Nicosia H. Berg
H. Berg
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lincoln Red Imps
16.04%
Draw
21.78%
Away Omonia Nicosia
62.18%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lincoln Red Imps
+11.63%
Draw
-68.94%
Omonia Nicosia
+57.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.67
20
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lincoln Red Imps
Omonia Nicosia
Power Score
26.67
20
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lincoln Red Imps — Opponent-weighted form score
Omonia Nicosia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lincoln Red Imps Omonia Nicosia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lincoln Red Imps

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Omonia Nicosia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Omonia Nicosia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lincoln Red Imps Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Omonia Nicosia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lincoln Red Imps
vs
Omonia Nicosia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lincoln Red Imps Omonia Nicosia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lincoln Red Imps 0.00
Omonia Nicosia 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Omonia Nicosia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lincoln Red Imps 0.00
Omonia Nicosia 0.00
Lincoln Red Imps
Omonia Nicosia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LRI had peak pressure around 52'.
  • OMO started the game with stronger pressure.
LRI Pressure OMO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LRI reached the top pressure at 52' (95.36).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Victoria Stadium
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Əliyar Ağayev
Zeynal Zeynalov
Akif Əmirəli
Tural Qurbanov

Statistics

Possession
LRI
45%
OMO
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Shots 6
41 Dangerous attacks 48
44 Possession 56
7 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 23
5 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 3
17 Throwins 22

Attacking

73 Attacks 93

Defensive

4 Saves 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
23 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Əliyar Ağayev

Starting XI ▼

13
Jaylan Hankins
Jaylan Hankins Goalkeeper
3
Christian Rutjens
Christian Rutjens Defender
5
Gabri Cardozo Defender
6
Bernardo Lopes
Bernardo Lopes (C) Defender
66
Julliani Eersteling
Julliani Eersteling Defender
4
Nico Clara Pinto
Nico Clara Pinto Midfielder
10
Álex Mula
Álex Mula
Midfielder73'
23
Joe
Joe Midfielder
19
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi Attacker
16
Leon Mason
Leon Mason
Midfielder85'
32
Facundo Álvarez
Facundo Álvarez Attacker
44
Manu Toledano
Manu Toledano Attacker
99
Ayman El Ghobashy
Ayman El Ghobashy Attacker
20
Ethan Britto
Ethan Britto
Defender85'
Referee : Əliyar Ağayev

Starting XI ▼

40
Fabiano
Fabiano (C) Goalkeeper
27
Stefan Simic
Stefan Simic Defender
29
Jure Balkovec
Jure Balkovec Defender
30
Nikolas Panagiotou
Nikolas Panagiotou Defender
7
Jaden Montnor
Jaden Montnor Midfielder
10
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Midfielder81'
11
Ewandro Costa
Ewandro Costa Midfielder
14
Mateo Maric
Mateo Maric Midfielder
21
Mihlali Mayambela
Mihlali Mayambela Midfielder
22
Muamer Tankovic
Muamer Tankovic
Midfielder63'
74
Panagiotis Andreou
Panagiotis Andreou Midfielder
82
Andreas Christou
Andreas Christou Midfielder
99
Loïs Diony
Loïs Diony Attacker
85
Angelos Neofytou
Angelos Neofytou
Attacker63'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jaylan Hankins
7th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+4'
Event
Jure Balkovec
6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Mateo Maric
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Leon Mason
Roughing / 5th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Ethan Britto → Ayman El Ghobashy
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Leon Mason → Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Joe
Roughing / 4th Yellowcard
82'
81'
Event
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis → Jaden Montnor
5th Substitution
Event
Ethan Jolley → Gabri Cardozo
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Álex Mula → Nico Clara Pinto
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Christian Rutjens
Field Goal / 1st Goal
71'
Event
Manu Toledano
Holding / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
Event
Ayman El Ghobashy
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
63'
Event
Angelos Neofytou → Loïs Diony
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Muamer Tankovic → Mihlali Mayambela
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Mateo Maric
Roughing / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jure Balkovec.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jaylan Hankins receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Panagiotis Andreou scores, making it 1-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leon Mason.
85
Update Update
Ethan Britto is on, and Ayam Elghobashy is off.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Leon Mason is replaced by Yussef Flalhi Idrissi.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Joe.
80
Update Update
Anastasios Chatzigiovannis is on, Jaden Montnor is off.
77
Update Update
Ethan Jolley comes on for Gabri Cardozo.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Mula comes on for Nico Pinto.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oliva Christian Rutjens scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Facundo Alvarez.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
63
Update Update
Angelos Neofytou is on, and Lois Diony is off.
63
Update Update
Muamer Tankovic comes on for Mihlali Mayambela.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mateo Maric receives a yellow card.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Aghayev Aliyev.

CONCLUSION

Lincoln Red Imps and Omonia Nicosia shared the points in a tightly contested opener that finished 1-1. Both sides created opportunities after the break yet defensive organization kept the score level. The home team exceeded expectations by holding firm against a possession-dominant opponent. With no dismissals the game flowed evenly across both halves. This result leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture. Lincoln Red Imps will look to build on their resilience while Omonia Nicosia aim to convert greater possession into a decisive advantage next time. The draw sets up an intriguing second leg where tactical adjustments could prove pivotal.