Lincoln Red Imps vs Inter Club d'Escaldes preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Victoria Stadium Tue, 7 Jul - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps
3 1
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes
Full Time Tue, 7 Jul 4:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Nano - 16' (P)
Manu Toledano - 26'
Facundo Álvarez - 66'
Goal
|
Goal
Christian Rutjens - 45+2' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Lincoln Red Imps defeated Inter Club d'Escaldes 3-1 in the opening leg of their two-legged tie. The home team established a 2-1 halftime advantage before adding a third goal after the break. Possession favored the away side at 61 percent against Lincoln's 39 percent, yet the hosts proved more clinical in front of goal. No disciplinary issues arose as both teams finished with eleven players. Pre-match indicators pointed to Lincoln as the stronger side, and they delivered a performance consistent with that assessment. The significant deviation observed in the outcome highlighted the home side's ability to overcome expectations. This result leaves Lincoln in a commanding position for the second leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lincoln Red Imps recorded a significant deviation from pre-match indicators in the 3-1 result.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with expectations for both sides throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with the observed scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with pre-match projections for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals figures were not recorded in the available match data.
  • Event impact: The 3-1 first leg result gives Lincoln Red Imps a two-goal advantage heading into leg two.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, leaving match dynamics free of numerical imbalances.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Ferreira Gonçalves
J. Ferreira Gonçalves
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. da Silva Martins
M. da Silva Martins
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Oliveira Silva
D. Oliveira Silva
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lincoln Red Imps J. Pavón Domínguez
J. Pavón Domínguez
VS
Inter Club d'Escaldes F. Ortiz Martinez
F. Ortiz Martinez
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lincoln Red Imps
42.08%
Draw
27.27%
Away Inter Club d'Escaldes
30.65%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lincoln Red Imps
-55.24%
Draw
+25.36%
Inter Club d'Escaldes
+29.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lincoln Red Imps
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lincoln Red Imps — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Club d'Escaldes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lincoln Red Imps Inter Club d'Escaldes

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lincoln Red Imps

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Club d'Escaldes
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
59.23
34.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.43
59.23
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lincoln Red Imps +1.81 Efficiency Index
vs
Inter Club d'Escaldes -1.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Inter Club d'Escaldes
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Club d'Escaldes
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lincoln Red Imps Inter Club d'Escaldes
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Inter Club d'Escaldes
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Inter Club d'Escaldes
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lincoln Red Imps
vs
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lincoln Red Imps Inter Club d'Escaldes
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lincoln Red Imps 0.23
Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Inter Club d'Escaldes
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lincoln Red Imps 0.01
Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.04
Lincoln Red Imps
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Lincoln Red Imps had peak pressure around 62'.
  • Lincoln Red Imps started the game with stronger pressure.
Lincoln Red Imps Pressure Inter Club d'Escaldes Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Lincoln Red Imps reached the top pressure at 62' (58.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps Home
0 matches
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:51:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Santana García
Spain
1 N. Santana García
J. Eersteling
Substitution
Netherlands
66 J. Eersteling
B. Gaspar Lopes
Gibraltar
6 (C) B. Gaspar Lopes
O. Rutjens
Spain
3 O. Rutjens
M. González Maroto
Spain
21 M. González Maroto
J. Martínez Oliver
Spain
23 J. Martínez Oliver
F. Álvarez
Substitution
Argentina
32 F. Álvarez
A. García Montero
Substitution
Spain
18 A. García Montero
A. Sosa Peña
Spain
8 A. Sosa Peña
A. Mula Sanchez
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Mula Sanchez
M. Toledano Ortiz
Substitution
Spain
44 M. Toledano Ortiz
J. Díaz Sánchez
Spain
13 J. Díaz Sánchez
J. Torres Martínez
Colombia
3 (C) J. Torres Martínez
A. Hernández Martínez
2 A. Hernández Martínez
J. Erraji
Morocco
5 J. Erraji
M. Pochettino
Substitution
Argentina
24 M. Pochettino
P. Molina Serafín
Substitution
Spain
19 P. Molina Serafín
V. Alonso Madueño
Spain
6 V. Alonso Madueño
A. Otegui Khalife
Substitution
Spain
14 A. Otegui Khalife
F. Hassany
Substitution
Spain
9 F. Hassany
B. Monedero
Substitution
Spain
70 B. Monedero
D. Berlanga Ouggouti
Morocco
11 D. Berlanga Ouggouti

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 07, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Victoria Stadium
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Pedro Ribeiro
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Martins
David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Statistics

Possession
Lincoln Red Imps
45%
Inter Club d'Escaldes
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
9 Shots 13
82 Dangerous attacks 100
39 Possession 61
3 Corners 6
15 Free kicks 20
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
4 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 34

Attacking

77 Attacks 84

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
19 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

1
Nauzet García
Nauzet García Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Christian Rutjens
Christian Rutjens Defender
6.06
6
Bernardo Lopes
Bernardo Lopes (C) Defender
6.26
66
Julliani Eersteling
Julliani Eersteling Defender
6.26
2
Ethan Jolley
Ethan Jolley
Defender76'
6.5
8
Mandi
Mandi Midfielder
6.33
10
Álex Mula
Álex Mula Midfielder
6.37
19
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Attacker59'
6.5
18
Toni García
Toni García Midfielder
6.37
4
Nico Clara Pinto
Nico Clara Pinto
Midfielder79'
6.5
21
Nano
Nano Midfielder
6.79
23
Joe
Joe Midfielder
6.37
32
Facundo Álvarez
Facundo Álvarez Attacker
6.82
77
Rubén García
Rubén García
Attacker79'
6.5
44
Manu Toledano
Manu Toledano Attacker
6.79
9
Kike Gómez
Kike Gómez
Attacker59'
6.59
Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

13
Javi Díaz
Javi Díaz Goalkeeper
5.68
2
Anwar Hernández
Anwar Hernández Defender
5.86
3
Jilmar Torres
Jilmar Torres (C) Defender
5.88
5
Jaouad Erraji
Jaouad Erraji Defender
5.88
24
Maurizio Pochettino
Maurizio Pochettino Defender
5.88
23
Lamine Diaby
Lamine Diaby
Defender75'
6.5
6
Víctor Alonso
Víctor Alonso Midfielder
6.18
11
Domi Berlanga
Domi Berlanga Midfielder
6.18
14
Antonio Otegui
Antonio Otegui Midfielder
6.18
17
Dacu
Dacu
Defender75'
6.5
19
Pablo Molina
Pablo Molina Midfielder
6.27
8
David López
David López
Midfielder63'
6.37
9
Faysal Chouaib
Faysal Chouaib Attacker
6.43
7
Juan Cámara
Juan Cámara
Midfielder57'
6.37
70
Borja Arellano
Borja Arellano Attacker
6.43
22
Toni Paredes
Toni Paredes
Attacker63'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rubén García → Facundo Álvarez
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Nico Clara Pinto → Toni García
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Ethan Jolley → Julliani Eersteling
8th Substitution
76'
75'
Event
Lamine Diaby → Maurizio Pochettino
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Dacu → Antonio Otegui
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Anwar Hernández
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Facundo Álvarez
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
66'
63'
Event
David López → Pablo Molina
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Toni Paredes → Borja Arellano
5th Substitution
Event
Kike Gómez → Manu Toledano
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi → Álex Mula
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Mandi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Manu Toledano
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
57'
Event
Juan Cámara → Faysal Chouaib
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Christian Rutjens
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
Event
Lee Casciaro
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
31'
Event
Manu Toledano
Field Goal / 1st Goal
26'
Event
Nano
Penalty / 1st Penalty
16'

Match Commentary

89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Update Update
Ruben Garcia comes on for Facundo Alvarez.
86
Update Update
Ethan Jolley comes on for Julliani Eersteling.
79
Substitution Substitution
Adri Gomes is substituted for Antonio Otegui Khalife.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Anwar Habib Hernandez.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Enrique Gomez Bernal, known as Kike, comes on for Manuel Toledano Ortiz.
63
Update Update
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi comes on for Alex Mula.
60
Update Update
On Juan del Carmen Camara Mesa, off Chouaib Faysal.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
59
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 2-1.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Oliva Christian Rutjens makes it 2-1.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0, assisted by Nano Mariano Gonzalez Maroto.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Lincoln Red Imps 3-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes. Structural assessment: Lincoln Red Imps exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.